Conf =  MIDWEST                   Region = PA 3A Sec3             
   Nickname = A Tigers               Coach  =   John Rullan           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.8400726    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Mount Lebanon          PA 3A Sec1    (13-10, 94.4)     3- 5   
 328 A Upper St Clair         PA 3A Sec1    (13- 7, 95.3)    11- 9   
 329 A Shaler Area            PA 3A Sec3    ( 5-14, 80.2)    14- 2   
 405 H Pine Richland          PA 3A Sec3    (13- 5, 98.1)     9- 7   
 413 H Shady Side Academy     PA 3A Sec2    (13- 9, 92.6)     4- 3   
 415 H State College          PA    Mid 1   (12- 9, 88.1)    12- 1   
 418 A Butler Area            PA 3A Sec3    ( 9- 8, 89.7)     8- 3   
 421 H Birmingham             MI 1  Reg6-1  ( 4-13, 77.0)    11- 2   
 424 H Sewickley Academy      PA 3A Sec3    ( 5-10, 83.4)    15- 2   
 425 H Kiski Prep             PA    Indep   (14- 8, 96.9)     5- 6   
 428 H Mars Area              PA 2A Sec2    (21- 3, 99.9)    10-12   
 502 A Seneca Valley          PA 3A Sec3    (14- 6, 93.3)    10- 5   
 504 A Franklin Regional      PA 3A Sec2    ( 8- 8, 85.8)    15- 1   
 505 H Bethel Park            PA 3A Sec1    ( 9- 7, 93.1)     6- 5   
 509 H North Hills            PA 3A Sec3    ( 3-14, 75.6)    16- 1   
 511 H Peters Township        PA 3A Sec1    (14- 7, 95.9)     9- 3   
 512 N Worthington Kilbourne  OH 2  Reg-7   (11-11, 87.8)     7- 3   
 513 N Thomas Worthington     OH 1  Reg-3   ( 3-16, 77.4)    12- 6   
 518 H Mount Lebanon          PA 3A Sec1    (13-10, 94.4)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Mount Lebanon           3- 5      -2     3    --    -5.85
   328 A Upper St Clair         11- 9       2     1           0.04
   329 A Shaler Area            14- 2      12    17           0.00
   405 H Pine Richland           9- 7       2     0           1.88
   413 H Shady Side Academy      4- 3       1     5    --    -4.58
   415 H State College          12- 1      11    10          n/a  
   418 A Butler Area             8- 3       5     7    -     -2.50
   421 H Birmingham             11- 2       9    21          n/a  
   424 H Sewickley Academy      15- 2      13    14           0.00
   425 H Kiski Prep              5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.34
   428 H Mars Area              10-12      -2    -1          -0.32
   502 A Seneca Valley          10- 5       5     3           1.08
   504 A Franklin Regional      15- 1      14    11           0.00
   505 H Bethel Park             6- 5       1     5    --    -4.11
   509 H North Hills            16- 1      15    22           0.00
   511 H Peters Township         9- 3       6     2    +      3.64
   512 N Worthington Kilbourne   7- 3       4     9          n/a  
   513 N Thomas Worthington     12- 6       6    20          n/a  
   518 H Mount Lebanon           6- 9      -3     3    ---   -6.85

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Mount Lebanon           6- 9      -3     3    ---   -6.85
   324 H Mount Lebanon           3- 5      -2     3    --    -5.85
   413 H Shady Side Academy      4- 3       1     5    --    -4.58
   505 H Bethel Park             6- 5       1     5    --    -4.11
   512 N Worthington Kilbourne   7- 3       4     9    --         
   513 N Thomas Worthington     12- 6       6    20    --         
   418 A Butler Area             8- 3       5     7    -     -2.50
   425 H Kiski Prep              5- 6      -1     1    -     -2.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 H Peters Township         9- 3       6     2    +      3.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.73 Local Power Rank...........     3
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.54 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .   11.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    4.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  5- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.9
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  7- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/