Conf =  Sec4                      Region = MN 1  East             
   Nickname = N Mustangs             Coach  =   Matthew Puskarich     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.0098572    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 417 N Tartan                 MN 1  MetEast (13- 3, 93.8)     2- 8   
 420 H Hermantown/Proctor     MN 1  Indep   (10- 6, 79.1)    16- 8   
 425 H East Ridge             MN 1  East    ( 5-10, 79.3)     6-10   
 426 A Park Cottage Grove     MN 1  East    (12- 4, 89.8)     3-15   
 502 A Duluth United          MN 1  Indep   ( 6- 9, 77.4)     4- 5  o
 504 A White Bear Lake        MN 1  East    (10- 5, 85.7)     5-12   
 506 A Hill-Murray            MN 1  MetEast ( 4-10, 71.6)    16- 6   
 509 A Forest Lake            MN 1  East    ( 3-12, 69.4)    14- 5   
 511 H Roseville              MN 1  East    ( 3-11, 73.4)     9- 3   
 516 A Stillwater             MN 1  East    (10- 5, 89.3)     4- 9   
 518 H Cretin-Derham Hall     MN 1  East    ( 9- 5, 84.4)     7- 9   
 523 H Woodbury               MN 1  East    ( 2-12, 73.1)     7- 1   
 525 A Centennial             MN 1  NoWest  ( 6- 9, 77.6)     7- 6   
 601 A Stillwater             MN 1  East    (10- 5, 89.3)     6- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   417 N Tartan                  2- 8      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   420 H Hermantown/Proctor     16- 8       8     2    ++     5.48
   425 H East Ridge              6-10      -4     2    ---   -6.28
   426 A Park Cottage Grove      3-15     -12   -10           0.00
   502 A Duluth United           4- 5  o   -1     2    -     -3.28
   504 A White Bear Lake         5-12      -7    -6          -0.93
   506 A Hill-Murray            16- 6      10     8           1.97
   509 A Forest Lake            14- 5       9    10          -1.00
   511 H Roseville               9- 3       6     8    -     -2.22
   516 A Stillwater              4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.61
   518 H Cretin-Derham Hall      7- 9      -2    -2           0.83
   523 H Woodbury                7- 1       6     8    -     -2.53
   525 A Centennial              7- 6       1     2          -1.03
   601 A Stillwater              6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.61

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 H East Ridge              6-10      -4     2    ---   -6.28
   502 A Duluth United           4- 5  o   -1     2    -     -3.28
   511 H Roseville               9- 3       6     8    -     -2.22
   523 H Woodbury                7- 1       6     8    -     -2.53

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   601 A Stillwater              6- 8      -2    -9    +++    7.61
   417 N Tartan                  2- 8      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   420 H Hermantown/Proctor     16- 8       8     2    ++     5.48
   516 A Stillwater              4- 9      -5    -9    ++     4.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.62 Local Power Rank...........    39
 Local SOS Rating......... 59.88 Local SOS Rank.............    31
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    49
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    54
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    47
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.7
/