Region = TN 1  East             
   Nickname = N Big Red              Coach  =   Matt Garvey           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.3917847    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 224 N Vestavia Hills         AL    West    (17- 1, 99.9)     8- 7  o
 303 A Louisville Trinity     KY 1  KSLL    (18- 3, 99.4)    12- 9   
 304 A Louisville St Xavier   KY 1  KSLL    (16- 4, 99.9)     8-10   
 310 H Pope                   GA 6A Area04  (15- 6, 91.3)     5- 8   
 315 A Father Ryan            TN 1  West    ( 9- 9, 87.5)    14-13   
 317 A Charlotte Latin        NC 1  NCISAA  (10- 8, 89.2)     8- 9  o
 318 A Lake Norman            NC    Conf-11 (19- 5, 91.7)    12- 9   
 320 A Wando                  SC 5A SCHSL   (14- 4, 99.9)    13-14   
 329 H Centennial             TN 1  East    ( 5-11, 81.8)    17- 2   
 331 H Memphis Univ School    TN 1  West    (16- 3, 99.9)    10-13   
 403 H Cathedral              IN    ICC     (21- 4, 99.9)     7-12   
 408 H Christian Bros         TN 1  West    (14- 7, 93.1)    13- 8   
 411 A Franklin               TN 1  East    ( 6- 9, 83.4)    16- 8   
 412 A Baylor School          TN 1  East    ( 6-15, 77.7)    14- 2   
 419 A Ensworth               TN 2  Central (12- 8, 95.6)     7- 8  o
 426 H Ravenwood              TN 1  East    (12- 5, 90.7)    10- 5   
 428 A McCallie School        TN 1  East    (10- 5, 92.9)    14- 9   
 513 H Franklin               TN 1  East    ( 6- 9, 83.4)    19- 4   
 519 N McCallie School        TN 1  East    (10- 5, 92.9)     7-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 N Vestavia Hills          8- 7  o    1    -6          n/a  
   303 A Louisville Trinity     12- 9       3    -8          n/a  
   304 A Louisville St Xavier    8-10      -2    -8          n/a  
   310 H Pope                    5- 8      -3     3          n/a  
   315 A Father Ryan            14-13       1     3    -     -2.51
   317 A Charlotte Latin         8- 9  o   -1     2          n/a  
   318 A Lake Norman            12- 9       3     0          n/a  
   320 A Wando                  13-14      -1    -8          n/a  
   329 H Centennial             17- 2      15    13           0.00
   331 H Memphis Univ School    10-13      -3    -4           1.35
   403 H Cathedral               7-12      -5    -5          n/a  
   408 H Christian Bros         13- 8       5     2    +      2.59
   411 A Franklin               16- 8       8     7           0.37
   412 A Baylor School          14- 2      12    13           0.00
   419 A Ensworth                7- 8  o   -1    -3          n/a  
   426 H Ravenwood              10- 5       5     4           0.14
   428 A McCallie School        14- 9       5    -1    +++    6.88
   513 H Franklin               19- 4      15    12           0.00
   519 N McCallie School         7-16      -9     0    ---   -9.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Pope                    5- 8      -3     3    ---        
   519 N McCallie School         7-16      -9     0    ---   -9.37
   315 A Father Ryan            14-13       1     3    -     -2.51
   317 A Charlotte Latin         8- 9  o   -1     2    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   224 N Vestavia Hills          8- 7  o    1    -6    +++        
   303 A Louisville Trinity     12- 9       3    -8    +++        
   304 A Louisville St Xavier    8-10      -2    -8    +++        
   320 A Wando                  13-14      -1    -8    +++        
   428 A McCallie School        14- 9       5    -1    +++    6.88
   318 A Lake Norman            12- 9       3     0    +          
   408 H Christian Bros         13- 8       5     2    +      2.59
   419 A Ensworth                7- 8  o   -1    -3    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.30 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 82.27 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............     3
 Championship Probability .   10.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/