Conf =  Puget                     Region = WA 4A                  
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   John Lefferts         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.4255981    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 313 H Bellarmine Prep        WA    Private ( 7-10, 76.7)    18- 0   
 318 A Eastside Catholic      WA    Private (15- 2, 98.8)     3-18   
 320 A Sumner                 WA 4A         (11- 6, 85.9)    19- 7   
 322 A Curtis                 WA 4A         (12- 5, 84.1)    19- 5   
 325 H Rogers                 WA 4A         ( 9- 8, 79.4)    18- 6   
 327 H Kennedy Catholic       WA    Private ( 4-10, 65.5)    21- 0   
 328 H White River            WA 2A 1A/2A   (10- 8, 74.5)    15- 2   
 331 A Olympia                WA 4A         ( 1-13, 56.1)    20- 0   
 404 H Auburn-Riverside       WA 4A         ( 3-11, 65.8)    19- 3   
 407 H Sumner                 WA 4A         (11- 6, 85.9)    20-11   
 411 A Eastlake               WA 4A         (11- 8, 87.7)    10- 7   
 413 H Peninsula              WA 3A         (13- 4, 83.4)    14- 8   
 418 A Emerald Ridge          WA 4A         (12- 5, 82.3)    17-15   
 421 H Kamiak                 WA 4A         ( 5-15, 71.9)    20- 2   
 427 A Rogers                 WA 4A         ( 9- 8, 79.4)    16-10   
 501 A Bellarmine Prep        WA    Private ( 7-10, 76.7)    18- 2   
 506 H Curtis                 WA 4A         (12- 5, 84.1)    21-13   
 512 H Issaquah               WA 4A         (13- 8, 87.8)    14-15  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   313 H Bellarmine Prep        18- 0      18    16           0.00
   318 A Eastside Catholic       3-18     -15    -6    -     -3.40
   320 A Sumner                 19- 7      12     6    +      3.71
   322 A Curtis                 19- 5      14     8           1.90
   325 H Rogers                 18- 6      12    13           0.00
   327 H Kennedy Catholic       21- 0      21    27           0.00
   328 H White River            15- 2      13    18           0.00
   331 A Olympia                20- 0      20    36           0.00
   404 H Auburn-Riverside       19- 3      16    27           0.00
   407 H Sumner                 20-11       9     7           1.67
   411 A Eastlake               10- 7       3     4          -1.49
   413 H Peninsula              14- 8       6     9    -     -3.79
   418 A Emerald Ridge          17-15       2     9    ---   -7.87
   421 H Kamiak                 20- 2      18    21           0.00
   427 A Rogers                 16-10       6    12    --    -4.00
   501 A Bellarmine Prep        18- 2      16    15           0.00
   506 H Curtis                 21-13       8     9          -1.14
   512 H Issaquah               14-15  o   -1     5    ---   -6.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A Emerald Ridge          17-15       2     9    ---   -7.87
   512 H Issaquah               14-15  o   -1     5    ---   -6.44
   427 A Rogers                 16-10       6    12    --    -4.00
   318 A Eastside Catholic       3-18     -15    -6    -     -3.40
   413 H Peninsula              14- 8       6     9    -     -3.79

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Sumner                 19- 7      12     6    +      3.71
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.70 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 57.40 Local SOS Rank.............    20
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    2.0 Championship Rank .......     5
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     7
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   16.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 2 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    9.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -15.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    4.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    7.7
/