Conf =  Sec4                      Region = MN 1  MetEast          
   Nickname = N Zephyrs              Coach  =   Pete Moosbrugger      

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   94.8578339    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 413 H Stillwater             MN 1  East    (10- 5, 89.3)     8- 6   
 418 A St Paul Central        MN 1  Indep   ( 1- 8, 61.9)    16- 1   
 421 A White Bear Lake        MN 1  East    (10- 5, 85.7)    13- 8   
 425 A St Thomas Academy      MN 1  MetEast (10- 5, 87.0)    14- 6   
 427 A North St Paul          MN 1  MetEast ( 1-11, 57.5)    25- 0   
 429 H Wayzata                MN 1  Lake    (13- 5, 91.4)     8- 5   
 503 H Hill-Murray            MN 1  MetEast ( 4-10, 71.6)    16- 2   
 506 H Benilde St. Margaret   MN 1  MetWest (16- 3, 92.9)    10-13   
 509 H Tartan                 MN 1  MetEast (13- 3, 93.8)    11-10   
 511 A Hastings               MN 1  MetEast ( 8- 7, 82.6)    18- 8   
 513 H Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   (14- 5, 93.0)     9- 8   
 519 A Simley                 MN 1  MetEast ( 8- 6, 83.9)     9- 6   
 520 H East Ridge             MN 1  East    ( 5-10, 79.3)     7- 5   
 601 H St Paul Central        MN 1  Indep   ( 1- 8, 61.9)    29- 1   
 603 H Stillwater             MN 1  East    (10- 5, 89.3)    10- 8   
 606 N Tartan                 MN 1  MetEast (13- 3, 93.8)    13-12  o
 613 N Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   (14- 5, 93.0)    13-12   
 615 N Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (18- 1, 99.9)    11-12  o
 617 N Wayzata                MN 1  Lake    (13- 5, 91.4)     8- 9  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Stillwater              8- 6       2     4    -     -2.58
   418 A St Paul Central        16- 1      15    30           0.00
   421 A White Bear Lake        13- 8       5     6          -1.19
   425 A St Thomas Academy      14- 6       8     4    +      3.06
   427 A North St Paul          25- 0      25    34           0.00
   429 H Wayzata                 8- 5       3     2           0.60
   503 H Hill-Murray            16- 2      14    22           0.00
   506 H Benilde St. Margaret   10-13      -3     0    -     -3.92
   509 H Tartan                 11-10       1     0           0.93
   511 A Hastings               18- 8      10     9           0.69
   513 H Prior Lake              9- 8       1     0           0.19
   519 A Simley                  9- 6       3     8    --    -5.03
   520 H East Ridge              7- 5       2    14    ---   -8.00
   601 H St Paul Central        29- 1      28    31           0.00
   603 H Stillwater             10- 8       2     4    -     -2.58
   606 N Tartan                 13-12  o    1     0           1.89
   613 N Prior Lake             13-12       1     0           1.15
   615 N Eagan                  11-12  o   -1    -7    +++    6.02
   617 N Wayzata                 8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.44

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 H East Ridge              7- 5       2    14    ---   -8.00
   519 A Simley                  9- 6       3     8    --    -5.03
   413 H Stillwater              8- 6       2     4    -     -2.58
   506 H Benilde St. Margaret   10-13      -3     0    -     -3.92
   603 H Stillwater             10- 8       2     4    -     -2.58
   617 N Wayzata                 8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.44

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   615 N Eagan                  11-12  o   -1    -7    +++    6.02
   425 A St Thomas Academy      14- 6       8     4    +      3.06
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 92.88 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.40 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.66 Local RPI Rank.............     4
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......    11
 Local Quality Win Rating.165.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  4- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/