Conf =  CathCon                   Region = MA 2  North            
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Matt O'Neil           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.2170410    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 408 H Wakefield              MA 2  North   (20- 1, 94.7)     5-12   
 411 H Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (19- 4, 94.7)     0-14   
 413 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1  North   ( 8-10, 84.7)     1-13   
 415 A Beverly                MA 2  North   (13-10, 83.8)     3-10   
 420 H Arlington              MA 2  CenEast ( 7- 9, 78.0)    14-13 2o
 424 H Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   ( 9-11, 83.6)     9-10  o
 427 A Xaverian Bros          MA 1  South   ( 9-11, 86.0)     1-16   
 429 H Triton Regional        MA 3  North   (14- 7, 81.1)     9- 6   
 504 A Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (19- 4, 94.7)     0-12   
 506 A Woburn                 MA 1  North   ( 6-12, 74.3)    14- 7   
 509 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1  North   ( 8-10, 84.7)     5- 7   
 511 A Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   ( 9-11, 83.6)     7-10   
 513 A Gloucester             MA 2  North   ( 5-13, 69.9)    14- 4   
 515 H Xaverian Bros          MA 1  South   ( 9-11, 86.0)     5- 8   
 516 H Arlington Catholic     MA 3  CenEast ( 8- 9, 74.6)    15- 4   
 518 H Danvers                MA 2  North   (11- 8, 77.0)     8- 5   
 522 H Arlington              MA 2  CenEast ( 7- 9, 78.0)    13- 7   
 524 A Austin Prep            MA 3  North   (17- 6, 82.5)     9- 5   
 531 H Danvers                MA 2  North   (11- 8, 77.0)    11- 2   
 603 A Wakefield              MA 2  North   (20- 1, 94.7)     3-19   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   408 H Wakefield               5-12      -7   -14    +      3.00
   411 H Boston College HS       0-14     -14   -14           0.00
   413 A St Johns Prep Danvers   1-13     -12    -5    --    -4.70
   415 A Beverly                 3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.52
   420 H Arlington              14-13 2o    1     2          -1.68
   424 H Catholic Memorial       9-10  o   -1    -2           1.91
   427 A Xaverian Bros           1-16     -15    -6    -     -3.38
   429 H Triton Regional         9- 6       3     0    +      3.42
   504 A Boston College HS       0-12     -12   -15           0.00
   506 A Woburn                 14- 7       7     5           1.96
   509 H St Johns Prep Danvers   5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.02
   511 A Catholic Memorial       7-10      -3    -4           1.19
   513 A Gloucester             14- 4      10     9           0.51
   515 H Xaverian Bros           5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.34
   516 H Arlington Catholic     15- 4      11     6    +      3.94
   518 H Danvers                 8- 5       3     3          -0.67
   522 H Arlington              13- 7       6     2    +      3.32
   524 A Austin Prep             9- 5       4    -3    +++    7.16
   531 H Danvers                11- 2       9     3    ++     5.33
   603 A Wakefield               3-19     -16   -15           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 A St Johns Prep Danvers   1-13     -12    -5    --    -4.70
   415 A Beverly                 3-10      -7    -4    -     -2.52
   427 A Xaverian Bros           1-16     -15    -6    -     -3.38

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   524 A Austin Prep             9- 5       4    -3    +++    7.16
   531 H Danvers                11- 2       9     3    ++     5.33
   408 H Wakefield               5-12      -7   -14    +      3.00
   429 H Triton Regional         9- 6       3     0    +      3.42
   509 H St Johns Prep Danvers   5- 7      -2    -4    +      2.02
   515 H Xaverian Bros           5- 8      -3    -5    +      2.34
   516 H Arlington Catholic     15- 4      11     6    +      3.94
   522 H Arlington              13- 7       6     2    +      3.32
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.00 Local Power Rank...........    68
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.95 Local SOS Rank.............    17
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    70
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......   105
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    89
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-11 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/