Region = KY 2  North            
   Nickname = Y Commodores           Coach  =   Clay Tanner           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   76.2254257    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 A Louisville Ballard     KY 1  KSLL    (10- 7, 81.2)     3- 7   
 305 A North Hardin           KY 2  South   ( 5-14, 61.0)    17- 4   
 308 H North Oldham           KY 1  KSLL    ( 8-11, 76.8)     3- 8   
 311 A Dixie Heights          KY 2  North   ( 3-13, 57.0)    14- 5   
 314 A Scott County           KY 2  North   ( 9- 6, 67.9)    11- 6   
 318 H DuPont Manual          KY 1  KSLL    ( 3-13, 69.2)     5- 7   
 319 A Bryan Station          KY 2  North   ( 4-13, 58.9)    15- 0   
 321 A Lexington Henry Clay   KY 2  North   (12- 6, 87.6)     4-13   
 323 H Woodford County        KY 2  South   ( 5-16, 63.3)    11- 2   
 325 H Central Hardin         KY 2  South   (11- 6, 71.6)    13- 9   
 328 A Madison County LC      KY 2  North   ( 7-10, 62.8)    17- 2   
 410 H Lexington Dunbar       KY 2  South   (15- 7, 85.0)     7-14   
 412 A Covington Catholic     KY 2  North   (16- 5, 82.3)     6-13   
 417 N Lafayette              KY 2  North   ( 6- 9, 64.7)     9- 3   
 425 A Anderson County        KY 2  South   ( 1-19, 51.7)    18- 1   
 426 A Lexington Sayre        KY 2  North   ( 5-11, 69.6)     9- 7   
 428 H Northern Kentucky LC   KY 2  North   (10- 7, 75.3)     8- 7  o
 429 H Elizabethtown          KY 2  South   ( 7- 9, 65.0)    13- 7   
 509 H Lexington Sayre        KY 2  North   ( 5-11, 69.6)    14-12   
 511 A Lexington Henry Clay   KY 2  North   (12- 6, 87.6)     2-19   
 516 A Covington Catholic     KY 2  North   (16- 5, 82.3)     5-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Louisville Ballard      3- 7      -4    -8    ++     4.08
   305 A North Hardin           17- 4      13    12           0.00
   308 H North Oldham            3- 8      -5     0    --    -4.52
   311 A Dixie Heights          14- 5       9    16          -1.00
   314 A Scott County           11- 6       5     5          -0.27
   318 H DuPont Manual           5- 7      -2     7    ---   -9.13
   319 A Bryan Station          15- 0      15    14           0.00
   321 A Lexington Henry Clay    4-13      -9   -14           1.00
   323 H Woodford County        11- 2       9    13          -1.00
   325 H Central Hardin         13- 9       4     4          -0.72
   328 A Madison County LC      17- 2      15    10           0.00
   410 H Lexington Dunbar        7-14      -7    -8           1.68
   412 A Covington Catholic      6-13      -7    -9    +      2.16
   417 N Lafayette               9- 3       6    10    --    -4.00
   425 A Anderson County        18- 1      17    21           0.00
   426 A Lexington Sayre         9- 7       2     3          -1.53
   428 H Northern Kentucky LC    8- 7  o    1     1          -0.01
   429 H Elizabethtown          13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   509 H Lexington Sayre        14-12       2     6    --    -4.70
   511 A Lexington Henry Clay    2-19     -17   -14           0.00
   516 A Covington Catholic      5-15     -10    -9          -0.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   318 H DuPont Manual           5- 7      -2     7    ---   -9.13
   308 H North Oldham            3- 8      -5     0    --    -4.52
   417 N Lafayette               9- 3       6    10    --    -4.00
   429 H Elizabethtown          13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   509 H Lexington Sayre        14-12       2     6    --    -4.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Louisville Ballard      3- 7      -4    -8    ++     4.08
   412 A Covington Catholic      6-13      -7    -9    +      2.16
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 74.75 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 44.10 Local SOS Rank.............    18
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    19
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -8.3
/