Region = VA 4A DullesW          
   Nickname = A Raiders              Coach  =   Dave Colangelo        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.3167114    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 H Freedom-South Riding   VA 4A DullesE (14- 5, 92.5)     8- 9   
 322 A Potomac Falls          VA 5A No-Loud ( 5- 9, 79.6)    12- 5   
 325 H Tuscarora              VA 5A No-Loud ( 3-12, 73.4)    15- 2   
 331 A Loudoun Valley         VA 4A DullesW ( 5-11, 80.0)     7- 5   
 406 H Woodgrove              VA 4A DullesW ( 7- 8, 82.1)    14- 3   
 418 A John Champe            VA 4A DullesE ( 9- 6, 86.2)    13- 6   
 425 A George Mason           VA 4A DullesE ( 4-11, 73.1)    10- 6   
 425 H Park View              VA 4A DullesE ( 1-14, 61.7)    21- 0   
 427 A Fauquier               VA 4A Evergrn (10- 7, 85.8)    12-10   
 429 A Briar Woods            VA 5A No-Loud (16- 3, 97.6)     2-11   
 502 H Riverside              VA 4A DullesW (20- 0, 98.4)     3-15   
 505 A Rock Ridge             VA 4A DullesE ( 4-12, 77.1)     9- 7   
 509 H Dominion               VA 4A DullesE (14- 5, 92.1)     5-13   
 515 A Heritage-Leesburg      VA 4A DullesW ( 4-10, 79.8)    16- 8   
 519 H Woodgrove              VA 4A DullesW ( 7- 8, 82.1)    10- 9  o
 522 A Riverside              VA 4A DullesW (20- 0, 98.4)     3-15   
 526 A Brentsville            VA 4A Evergrn (10- 5, 85.6)    11- 7   
 531 A Dominion               VA 4A DullesE (14- 5, 92.1)     8- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 H Freedom-South Riding    8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.56
   322 A Potomac Falls          12- 5       7     7          -0.41
   325 H Tuscarora              15- 2      13    15           0.00
   331 A Loudoun Valley          7- 5       2     6    --    -4.97
   406 H Woodgrove              14- 3      11     6    +      3.14
   418 A John Champe            13- 6       7     0    +++    6.14
   425 A George Mason           10- 6       4    13    ---   -6.00
   425 H Park View              21- 0      21    27           0.00
   427 A Fauquier               12-10       2     1           0.80
   429 A Briar Woods             2-11      -9   -10           1.00
   502 H Riverside               3-15     -12    -9          -0.55
   505 A Rock Ridge              9- 7       2     9    ---   -7.94
   509 H Dominion                5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.83
   515 A Heritage-Leesburg      16- 8       8     7           0.75
   519 H Woodgrove              10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.86
   522 A Riverside               3-15     -12   -11           0.00
   526 A Brentsville            11- 7       4     1    +      2.63
   531 A Dominion                8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   425 A George Mason           10- 6       4    13    ---   -6.00
   505 A Rock Ridge              9- 7       2     9    ---   -7.94
   331 A Loudoun Valley          7- 5       2     6    --    -4.97
   509 H Dominion                5-13      -8    -3    --    -4.83
   519 H Woodgrove              10- 9  o    1     6    --    -5.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A John Champe            13- 6       7     0    +++    6.14
   531 A Dominion                8- 9      -1    -5    ++     4.07
   320 H Freedom-South Riding    8- 9      -1    -3    +      2.56
   406 H Woodgrove              14- 3      11     6    +      3.14
   526 A Brentsville            11- 7       4     1    +      2.63
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.97 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.82 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    65
 Local Quality Win Rating.-10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.0
/