Region = OH 1  Reg-4            
   Nickname = H Firebirds            Coach  =   Dave Reed             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.3547211    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 317 H Indian Hill            OH 2  Reg-8   (13- 7, 87.2)    14- 6   
 322 A Oakwood                OH 2  Reg-7   (12- 4, 85.2)     4- 6   
 324 H Lebanon                OH 1  Reg-4   ( 8-10, 78.4)    11- 2   
 325 H Anthony Wayne          OH 1  Reg-1   (11- 7, 85.2)     8- 5   
 329 A Mason                  OH 1  Reg-4   (11- 9, 90.4)     5- 7   
 403 H Oak Hills              OH 1  Reg-4   ( 8- 9, 78.3)    20- 7   
 418 A La Salle               OH 1  Reg-4   (10- 9, 78.4)    13- 8   
 421 H Centerville            OH 1  Reg-4   ( 7-10, 80.1)     9- 8   
 422 H Fairfield              OH 1  Reg-4   ( 3-12, 66.4)    23- 3   
 426 H Elder-Cincinnati       OH 1  Reg-4   (10- 7, 86.1)     8- 1   
 427 H Archbishop Moeller     OH 1  Reg-4   (17- 7, 95.4)     7- 8   
 503 A Sycamore               OH 1  Reg-4   ( 6-13, 79.5)     9- 5   
 504 H Beavercreek            OH 1  Reg-3   ( 7-13, 72.3)    14- 6   
 506 H Summit Country Day     OH 2  Reg-8   (14- 6, 89.6)    14- 7   
 508 H Loveland               OH 1  Reg-4   (13- 6, 90.2)     9-14   
 510 A Springboro             OH 1  Reg-4   (14- 2, 92.4)     7- 8  o
 512 H Lakota East            OH 1  Reg-4   (10- 9, 84.8)     8- 7   
 517 H Elder-Cincinnati       OH 1  Reg-4   (10- 7, 86.1)    11- 8   
 520 A Cincinnati St Xavier   OH 1  Reg-4   (17- 5, 99.9)     7-25   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   317 H Indian Hill            14- 6       8     2    ++     5.57
   322 A Oakwood                 4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.93
   324 H Lebanon                11- 2       9    11          -1.00
   325 H Anthony Wayne           8- 5       3     4          -1.49
   329 A Mason                   5- 7      -2    -3           1.30
   403 H Oak Hills              20- 7      13    11           0.00
   418 A La Salle               13- 8       5     8    -     -3.71
   421 H Centerville             9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.58
   422 H Fairfield              23- 3      20    23           0.00
   426 H Elder-Cincinnati        8- 1       7     3    +      3.44
   427 H Archbishop Moeller      7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   503 A Sycamore                9- 5       4     7    -     -3.67
   504 H Beavercreek            14- 6       8    17    -     -2.00
   506 H Summit Country Day     14- 7       7     0    +++    6.88
   508 H Loveland                9-14      -5     0    --    -4.50
   510 A Springboro              7- 8  o   -1    -5    ++     4.28
   512 H Lakota East             8- 7       1     4    -     -3.83
   517 H Elder-Cincinnati       11- 8       3     3          -0.56
   520 A Cincinnati St Xavier    7-25     -18   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 H Centerville             9- 8       1     9    ---   -8.58
   508 H Loveland                9-14      -5     0    --    -4.50
   322 A Oakwood                 4- 6      -2     1    -     -3.93
   418 A La Salle               13- 8       5     8    -     -3.71
   503 A Sycamore                9- 5       4     7    -     -3.67
   504 H Beavercreek            14- 6       8    17    -     -2.00
   512 H Lakota East             8- 7       1     4    -     -3.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 H Summit Country Day     14- 7       7     0    +++    6.88
   317 H Indian Hill            14- 6       8     2    ++     5.57
   427 H Archbishop Moeller      7- 8      -1    -5    ++     4.77
   510 A Springboro              7- 8  o   -1    -5    ++     4.28
   426 H Elder-Cincinnati        8- 1       7     3    +      3.44
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.41 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 66.73 Local SOS Rank.............    36
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    23
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    82
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    35
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 13- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/