Conf =  Dist-III                  Region = PA    Lan-Leb          
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Allen Shissler        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.1628418    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H West Chester East      PA    ChesMon (11- 9, 87.0)     8-18   
 327 H Central Dauphin        PA    Mid 1   ( 7-11, 82.7)    16- 9   
 329 H Lancaster Cou Day      PA    Lan-Leb (13- 6, 86.3)     7- 6   
 403 A Hempfield              PA    Lan-Leb (12- 7, 94.3)     1-14   
 405 H Ephrata                PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-13, 80.6)    14- 9   
 408 H West York              PA    York    ( 6- 9, 85.5)     7-10   
 410 A Conestoga Valley       PA    Lan-Leb ( 5-13, 76.0)    14- 7   
 412 H Warwick                PA    Lan-Leb (12- 8, 90.5)     8-10   
 418 A Manheim Township       PA    Lan-Leb (19- 4, 98.4)     6-15   
 420 H Lampeter-Strasburg     PA    Lan-Leb ( 5- 9, 82.1)    13-10   
 422 A Wyomissing             PA    Berks-2 ( 5-13, 77.3)    13- 4   
 425 H Cedar Crest            PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-13, 77.0)     8- 7 2o
 428 H Cocalico               PA    Lan-Leb (12- 9, 87.7)     5-10   
 429 A York Catholic          PA    York    (15- 6, 92.5)    13-21   
 502 A Penn Manor             PA    Lan-Leb ( 9- 8, 90.2)     9- 7   
 504 A Garden Spot            PA    Lan-Leb ( 2-15, 69.8)    17- 7   
 516 A Governor Mifflin       PA    Berks-1 (14- 6, 92.3)     7- 8  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H West Chester East       8-18     -10     0          n/a  
   327 H Central Dauphin        16- 9       7     3    +      3.26
   329 H Lancaster Cou Day       7- 6       1     0           0.85
   403 A Hempfield               1-14     -13    -9          -0.83
   405 H Ephrata                14- 9       5     5          -0.82
   408 H West York               7-10      -3     0    -     -3.95
   410 A Conestoga Valley       14- 7       7     9    -     -2.12
   412 H Warwick                 8-10      -2    -4    +      2.09
   418 A Manheim Township        6-15      -9   -13           1.00
   420 H Lampeter-Strasburg     13-10       3     4          -1.35
   422 A Wyomissing             13- 4       9     7           1.14
   425 H Cedar Crest             8- 7 2o    1     9    ---   -8.38
   428 H Cocalico                5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.70
   429 A York Catholic          13-21      -8    -7          -0.67
   502 A Penn Manor              9- 7       2    -4    +++    7.00
   504 A Garden Spot            17- 7      10    15           0.00
   516 A Governor Mifflin        7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    6.18

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H West Chester East       8-18     -10     0    ---        
   425 H Cedar Crest             8- 7 2o    1     9    ---   -8.38
   408 H West York               7-10      -3     0    -     -3.95
   410 A Conestoga Valley       14- 7       7     9    -     -2.12
   428 H Cocalico                5-10      -5    -1    -     -3.70

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Penn Manor              9- 7       2    -4    +++    7.00
   516 A Governor Mifflin        7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    6.18
   327 H Central Dauphin        16- 9       7     3    +      3.26
   412 H Warwick                 8-10      -2    -4    +      2.09
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.78 Local Power Rank...........    28
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.13 Local SOS Rank.............    29
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    30
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    31
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.7
/