Region = DC    IAC              
   Nickname = D Bears                Coach  =   Rob Bordley           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.9000015    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 309 H Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (16- 6, 99.9)     8- 4   
 317 H McCallie School        TN 1  East    (10- 5, 92.9)    17- 9   
 321 H St Mary's Annapolis    MD A  MIAA    (13- 7, 88.5)    15- 7   
 324 H Brunswick School       NE 1  West    (15- 1, 99.0)    11- 6   
 330 H Northern/Calv Cty      MD 32 East-2  (18- 2, 94.4)    12- 5   
 401 H Mount St Joseph        MD A  MIAA    ( 3-10, 80.6)    18- 6   
 404 A Severn                 MD A  MIAA    (12- 8, 91.2)    11- 5   
 407 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (16- 7, 91.5)    16-11   
 410 H St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (11- 5, 98.8)    10- 6   
 413 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     (18- 3, 94.6)    10- 8   
 415 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (12- 8, 95.9)    13- 8   
 418 H Saint Ignatius Prep    CA    WCAL    (19- 2, 99.9)    15-11   
 419 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-05 (15- 5, 93.0)     8- 5   
 421 H St Albans              DC    IAC     (10- 9, 86.5)    12- 5   
 424 H Robinson               VA 6A Concord (15- 3, 97.7)    15- 9   
 428 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (14- 6, 89.9)    13- 7   
 430 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (14- 7, 99.6)    10- 8   
 502 A Episcopal HS           DC    IAC     (10-11, 85.4)    15- 7   
 504 A Churchill              MD 43 West-1  (18- 2, 92.7)    14- 4   
 509 H St Stephen/St Agnes    DC    IAC     (16- 7, 91.5)    14- 7   
 512 H Bullis                 DC    IAC     (18- 3, 94.6)    18- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Paul VI                 8- 4       4     1          n/a  
   317 H McCallie School        17- 9       8     8          n/a  
   321 H St Mary's Annapolis    15- 7       8    12    -     -2.00
   324 H Brunswick School       11- 6       5     1          n/a  
   330 H Northern/Calv Cty      12- 5       7     6          n/a  
   401 H Mount St Joseph        18- 6      12    20           0.00
   404 A Severn                 11- 5       6     7          -1.55
   407 H St Stephen/St Agnes    16-11       5     9    --    -4.59
   410 H St Johns DC            10- 6       4     2          n/a  
   413 A Bullis                 10- 8       2     4    -     -2.16
   415 H DeMatha                13- 8       5     5          n/a  
   418 H Saint Ignatius Prep    15-11       4     0          n/a  
   419 H Cardinal Gibbons        8- 5       3     7          n/a  
   421 H St Albans              12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00
   424 H Robinson               15- 9       6     3          n/a  
   428 H Georgetown Prep        13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   430 A Gonzaga                10- 8       2     0          n/a  
   502 A Episcopal HS           15- 7       8    13    -     -2.00
   504 A Churchill              14- 4      10     6          n/a  
   509 H St Stephen/St Agnes    14- 7       7     9    -     -2.59
   512 H Bullis                 18- 7      11     6    +      3.50

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H St Stephen/St Agnes    16-11       5     9    --    -4.59
   419 H Cardinal Gibbons        8- 5       3     7    --         
   428 H Georgetown Prep        13- 7       6    11    --    -4.00
   321 H St Mary's Annapolis    15- 7       8    12    -     -2.00
   413 A Bullis                 10- 8       2     4    -     -2.16
   421 H St Albans              12- 5       7    14    -     -3.00
   502 A Episcopal HS           15- 7       8    13    -     -2.00
   509 H St Stephen/St Agnes    14- 7       7     9    -     -2.59

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   309 H Paul VI                 8- 4       4     1    +          
   324 H Brunswick School       11- 6       5     1    +          
   418 H Saint Ignatius Prep    15-11       4     0    +          
   424 H Robinson               15- 9       6     3    +          
   430 A Gonzaga                10- 8       2     0    +          
   504 A Churchill              14- 4      10     6    +          
   512 H Bullis                 18- 7      11     6    +      3.50
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 99.90 Local Power Rank...........     1
 Local SOS Rating......... 84.41 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............     2
 Championship Probability .   38.0 Championship Rank .......     1
 Local Quality Win Rating.185.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     2
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 21- 0 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  7- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 10- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    9.3
/