Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-05          
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   Mike Ricucci          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.2415543    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Cedar Ridge            NC    Conf-06 (12- 5, 81.3)    11-10   
 303 H Jack Britt             NC    Conf-05 ( 8- 7, 77.3)    15- 7   
 304 H Carrboro               NC    Conf-06 (13- 4, 81.4)    12- 6   
 307 A Chapel Hill            NC    Conf-06 (12- 9, 78.0)     7- 8   
 309 H W.G. Enloe             NC    Conf-04 ( 4-12, 70.2)    11- 5   
 317 H Voyager Academy        NC    Conf-06 ( 5- 9, 63.1)    21- 8   
 321 H Cary Academy           NC 1  NCISAA  ( 5-10, 76.0)    12- 4   
 322 A Athens Drive           NC    Conf-03 ( 9-10, 81.8)    14-13  o
 324 H Pinecrest              NC    Conf-05 ( 6- 8, 74.2)    13- 3   
 328 H New Bern               NC    Conf-02 (13- 3, 80.8)    12-10   
 330 A Durham Riverside       NC    Conf-05 ( 1- 5, 67.3)    16-10   
 404 H Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-05 (15- 5, 93.0)     4-11   
 406 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (10- 6, 79.3)    15-11   
 415 N Whitman                MD 43 West-1  (12- 5, 83.2)     7-11   
 415 A Walter Johnson         MD 43 West-1  ( 8- 7, 79.8)     8- 9   
 418 H Northern Durham        NC    Conf-05 ( 6- 8, 69.8)    16- 5   
 421 A Friendship             NC    Conf-03 ( 4-13, 74.3)    18-10   
 506 A New Bern               NC    Conf-02 (13- 3, 80.8)    14- 7   
 509 A Cardinal Gibbons       NC    Conf-05 (15- 5, 93.0)     5-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Cedar Ridge            11-10       1     1          -0.07
   303 H Jack Britt             15- 7       8     6           1.38
   304 H Carrboro               12- 6       6     2    +      3.49
   307 A Chapel Hill             7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.39
   309 H W.G. Enloe             11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   317 H Voyager Academy        21- 8      13    20           0.00
   321 H Cary Academy           12- 4       8     8          n/a  
   322 A Athens Drive           14-13  o    1     0           0.45
   324 H Pinecrest              13- 3      10     9           0.35
   328 H New Bern               12-10       2     3          -1.09
   330 A Durham Riverside       16-10       6    15    --    -4.00
   404 H Cardinal Gibbons        4-11      -7    -9    +      2.10
   406 A East Chapel Hill       15-11       4     3           0.95
   415 N Whitman                 7-11      -4     0          n/a  
   415 A Walter Johnson          8- 9      -1     2          n/a  
   418 H Northern Durham        16- 5      11    14           0.00
   421 A Friendship             18-10       8     8          -0.10
   506 A New Bern               14- 7       7     1    ++     5.40
   509 A Cardinal Gibbons        5-18     -13   -10           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 A Chapel Hill             7- 8      -1     4    --    -5.39
   309 H W.G. Enloe             11- 5       6    13    --    -4.00
   330 A Durham Riverside       16-10       6    15    --    -4.00
   415 N Whitman                 7-11      -4     0    -          
   415 A Walter Johnson          8- 9      -1     2    -          

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   506 A New Bern               14- 7       7     1    ++     5.40
   304 H Carrboro               12- 6       6     2    +      3.49
   404 H Cardinal Gibbons        4-11      -7    -9    +      2.10
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.13 Local Power Rank...........    24
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.86 Local SOS Rank.............    34
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    14
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -10.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/