Conf =  Puget                     Region = WA    Private          
   Nickname = A Lancers              Coach  =   Jim McLaughlin        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   72.4541473    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 311 H Curtis                 WA 4A         (12- 5, 84.1)     6-22   
 318 H Auburn-Riverside       WA 4A         ( 3-11, 65.8)    16-15   
 321 A Olympia                WA 4A         ( 1-13, 56.1)    14- 2   
 323 A Emerald Ridge          WA 4A         (12- 5, 82.3)     8-20   
 327 A Tahoma                 WA 4A         (16- 2, 92.7)     0-21   
 401 H Emerald Ridge          WA 4A         (12- 5, 82.3)     9-21   
 406 H West Seattle           WA 3A         ( 7-10, 70.8)    19-16   
 410 H Seattle Prep           WA    Private (10- 6, 88.2)     4-20   
 413 A Sumner                 WA 4A         (11- 6, 85.9)     0-22   
 429 H Rogers                 WA 4A         ( 9- 8, 79.4)     6-18   
 503 A Auburn-Riverside       WA 4A         ( 3-11, 65.8)    14-23   
 505 H Bellarmine Prep        WA    Private ( 7-10, 76.7)    11-19   
 509 H Olympia                WA 4A         ( 1-13, 56.1)    12- 1   
 512 A Bellarmine Prep        WA    Private ( 7-10, 76.7)     4-21   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   311 H Curtis                  6-22     -16   -18           0.00
   318 H Auburn-Riverside       16-15       1     0           0.76
   321 A Olympia                14- 2      12     8           1.10
   323 A Emerald Ridge           8-20     -12   -17           0.00
   327 A Tahoma                  0-21     -21   -27           0.00
   401 H Emerald Ridge           9-21     -12   -16           0.00
   406 H West Seattle           19-16       3    -4    +++    7.79
   410 H Seattle Prep            4-20     -16   -22           0.00
   413 A Sumner                  0-22     -22   -20           0.00
   429 H Rogers                  6-18     -12   -13           0.00
   503 A Auburn-Riverside       14-23      -9     0    ---   -8.20
   505 H Bellarmine Prep        11-19      -8   -10    +      2.00
   509 H Olympia                12- 1      11     9           0.06
   512 A Bellarmine Prep         4-21     -17   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 A Auburn-Riverside       14-23      -9     0    ---   -8.20

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 H West Seattle           19-16       3    -4    +++    7.79
   505 H Bellarmine Prep        11-19      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 65.50 Local Power Rank...........    66
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.20 Local SOS Rank.............    25
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.41 Local RPI Rank.............    60
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    59
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   17.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -8.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -21.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -18.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -18.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.7
/