Region = NY C  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Chiefs               Coach  =   Tom Kincella          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.7999115    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 327 A Eden                   NY D  Sec 6   (14- 4, 95.7)     6-14   
 331 N Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.1)     4-11   
 419 H Williamsville South    NY C  Sec 6   ( 5- 9, 85.6)     9-13   
 421 A Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 84.3)     6- 5   
 424 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 88.6)     7- 9   
 426 A Grand Island           NY C  Sec 6   (18- 2, 96.7)     5- 9   
 428 A West Seneca East       NY C  Sec 6   (14- 5, 92.9)     1- 9   
 504 H Lake Shore Central     NY C  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 80.8)    15-13   
 510 H Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 84.3)    13- 6   
 511 H Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 72.0)    16- 6   
 512 A Lake Shore Central     NY C  Sec 6   ( 5-11, 80.8)    15- 9   
 516 H East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 86.4)     8-14   
 517 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-15, 75.7)    13- 4   
 519 H Lew-Port               NY C  Sec 6   ( 1-11, 72.0)    13- 2   
 523 H Amherst Central        NY C  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 84.3)    11-12  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 A Eden                    6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   331 N Lancaster               4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
   419 H Williamsville South     9-13      -4     1    --    -5.58
   421 A Amherst Central         6- 5       1     0           0.43
   424 A Williamsville North     7- 9      -2    -3           1.71
   426 A Grand Island            5- 9      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   428 A West Seneca East        1- 9      -8    -8           0.00
   504 H Lake Shore Central     15-13       2     6    --    -4.38
   510 H Amherst Central        13- 6       7     2    ++     4.14
   511 H Lew-Port               16- 6      10    15           0.00
   512 A Lake Shore Central     15- 9       6     4           1.90
   516 H East Aurora             8-14      -6     0    ---   -6.76
   517 A Sweet Home             13- 4       9     9          -0.18
   519 H Lew-Port               13- 2      11    15           0.00
   523 H Amherst Central        11-12  o   -1     2    -     -3.86

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   516 H East Aurora             8-14      -6     0    ---   -6.76
   419 H Williamsville South     9-13      -4     1    --    -5.58
   504 H Lake Shore Central     15-13       2     6    --    -4.38
   523 H Amherst Central        11-12  o   -1     2    -     -3.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 A Grand Island            5- 9      -4   -11    +++    6.00
   510 H Amherst Central        13- 6       7     2    ++     4.14
   327 A Eden                    6-14      -8   -10    +      2.00
   331 N Lancaster               4-11      -7   -13    +      3.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.00 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.25 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    21
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  7- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    6.3
/