Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Blue Devils          Coach  =   Kevin Travis          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.0679016    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Kings Park             NY B  Sec 11  ( 5-10, 77.9)    16- 6   
 328 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (20- 2, 99.9)     1-12   
 330 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 87.0)     9-13   
 405 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.4)     3- 8   
 407 H Connetquot             NY A  Sec 11  (11- 7, 88.5)    14-15   
 410 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 88.7)    12- 8   
 415 A Cold Spring Harbor     NY C  Sec 8   (21- 0, 99.9)    12-16   
 419 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 85.4)    12-13   
 421 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (14- 4, 93.6)    10-15   
 425 H Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 75.1)    17- 3   
 427 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.5)     9-10  o
 429 N North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 73.1)    16- 8   
 503 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 95.2)     3- 8   
 506 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.5)    17- 4   
 509 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 97.0)     7-14   
 511 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 88.2)     8- 7   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Kings Park             16- 6      10     7    +      2.16
   328 A Ward Melville           1-12     -11   -14           0.00
   330 A Bay Shore               9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.64
   405 H West Islip              3- 8      -5    -5           0.57
   407 H Connetquot             14-15      -1    -2           1.71
   410 H Northport              12- 8       4    -2    +++    6.91
   415 A Cold Spring Harbor     12-16      -4   -14          n/a  
   419 A Sachem North           12-13      -1     0          -1.24
   421 A Half Hollow Hills East 10-15      -5    -8    +      3.03
   425 H Middle Country         17- 3      14    10           0.00
   427 A Commack                 9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.88
   429 N North Babylon          16- 8       8    12    -     -2.00
   503 A Smithtown West          3- 8      -5    -9    ++     4.57
   506 H Patchogue-Medford      17- 4      13     8           1.73
   509 H Smithtown East          7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   511 A Riverhead               8- 7       1    -2    +      3.62

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Bay Shore               9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.64
   429 N North Babylon          16- 8       8    12    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 H Northport              12- 8       4    -2    +++    6.91
   415 A Cold Spring Harbor     12-16      -4   -14    +++        
   503 A Smithtown West          3- 8      -5    -9    ++     4.57
   324 H Kings Park             16- 6      10     7    +      2.16
   421 A Half Hollow Hills East 10-15      -5    -8    +      3.03
   427 A Commack                 9-10  o   -1    -3    +      2.88
   509 H Smithtown East          7-14      -7   -11    +      3.00
   511 A Riverhead               8- 7       1    -2    +      3.62
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.70 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.79 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    27
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/