Conf = L-1 Region = NY A Sec 11 Nickname = Y Thunderbirds Coach = Gordie HodgsonGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 95.8730927 Date Opponent Conference (W-L, PR) Score 325 H Riverhead NY A Sec 11 (11- 6, 88.2) 12- 8 328 A Smithtown West NY A Sec 11 (13- 5, 95.2) 10-11 o 330 A Sachem North NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 8, 85.4) 8- 7 405 H Smithtown East NY A Sec 11 (15- 4, 97.0) 6-10 407 H Patchogue-Medford NY A Sec 11 ( 7- 9, 77.5) 17- 0 410 A Commack NY A Sec 11 (11- 6, 89.5) 14- 4 413 A Seaford NY C Sec 8 ( 0-16, 72.0) 16- 3 419 A Bay Shore NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 7, 87.0) 10- 7 421 H Huntington NY A Sec 11 ( 6-10, 85.7) 15-10 425 H North Babylon NY A Sec 11 ( 4-12, 73.1) 13- 2 427 A Northport NY A Sec 11 ( 9- 9, 88.7) 18-10 429 A Middle Country NY A Sec 11 ( 5-11, 75.1) 14- 7 503 A Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (20- 2, 99.9) 7- 8 3o 506 H Half Hollow Hills West NY B Sec 11 ( 8- 9, 84.6) 19- 8 509 H West Islip NY A Sec 11 (12- 6, 91.4) 14-10 511 H Copiague NY A Sec 11 ( 0-15, 59.2) 21- 1 519 H Commack NY A Sec 11 (11- 6, 89.5) 11- 9 525 N Ward Melville NY A Sec 11 (20- 2, 99.9) 6-15PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 325 H Riverhead 12- 8 4 5 -1.49 328 A Smithtown West 10-11 o -1 -1 0.63 330 A Sachem North 8- 7 1 8 --- -7.19 405 H Smithtown East 6-10 -4 -3 -0.76 407 H Patchogue-Medford 17- 0 17 16 0.00 410 A Commack 14- 4 10 4 ++ 5.94 413 A Seaford 16- 3 13 21 n/a 419 A Bay Shore 10- 7 3 6 - -3.58 421 H Huntington 15-10 5 8 - -3.03 425 H North Babylon 13- 2 11 20 0.00 427 A Northport 18-10 8 4 + 3.13 429 A Middle Country 14- 7 7 18 - -3.00 503 A Ward Melville 7- 8 3o -1 -6 ++ 5.34 506 H Half Hollow Hills West 19- 8 11 9 0.88 509 H West Islip 14-10 4 2 1.62 511 H Copiague 21- 1 20 34 0.00 519 H Commack 11- 9 2 4 - -2.23 525 N Ward Melville 6-15 -9 -6 - -2.74UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 330 A Sachem North 8- 7 1 8 --- -7.19 419 A Bay Shore 10- 7 3 6 - -3.58 421 H Huntington 15-10 5 8 - -3.03 429 A Middle Country 14- 7 7 18 - -3.00 519 H Commack 11- 9 2 4 - -2.23 525 N Ward Melville 6-15 -9 -6 - -2.74OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Commack 14- 4 10 4 ++ 5.94 503 A Ward Melville 7- 8 3o -1 -6 ++ 5.34 427 A Northport 18-10 8 4 + 3.13/
LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Local Power Rating....... 93.64 Local Power Rank........... 5 Local SOS Rating......... 69.40 Local SOS Rank............. 11 Local RPI Rating......... 0.63 Local RPI Rank............. 7 Championship Probability . 12.0 Championship Rank ....... 4 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank..... 4 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals .... 12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ...... 7.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 5.6 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... -3.8 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 0.1 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 2.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 4.3