Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Gordie Hodgson        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   95.8730927    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 H Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 88.2)    12- 8   
 328 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 95.2)    10-11  o
 330 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 85.4)     8- 7   
 405 H Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 97.0)     6-10   
 407 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 77.5)    17- 0   
 410 A Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.5)    14- 4   
 413 A Seaford                NY C  Sec 8   ( 0-16, 72.0)    16- 3   
 419 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 87.0)    10- 7   
 421 H Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 85.7)    15-10   
 425 H North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 4-12, 73.1)    13- 2   
 427 A Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 88.7)    18-10   
 429 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 75.1)    14- 7   
 503 A Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (20- 2, 99.9)     7- 8 3o
 506 H Half Hollow Hills West NY B  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 84.6)    19- 8   
 509 H West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.4)    14-10   
 511 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 59.2)    21- 1   
 519 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.5)    11- 9   
 525 N Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (20- 2, 99.9)     6-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 H Riverhead              12- 8       4     5          -1.49
   328 A Smithtown West         10-11  o   -1    -1           0.63
   330 A Sachem North            8- 7       1     8    ---   -7.19
   405 H Smithtown East          6-10      -4    -3          -0.76
   407 H Patchogue-Medford      17- 0      17    16           0.00
   410 A Commack                14- 4      10     4    ++     5.94
   413 A Seaford                16- 3      13    21          n/a  
   419 A Bay Shore              10- 7       3     6    -     -3.58
   421 H Huntington             15-10       5     8    -     -3.03
   425 H North Babylon          13- 2      11    20           0.00
   427 A Northport              18-10       8     4    +      3.13
   429 A Middle Country         14- 7       7    18    -     -3.00
   503 A Ward Melville           7- 8 3o   -1    -6    ++     5.34
   506 H Half Hollow Hills West 19- 8      11     9           0.88
   509 H West Islip             14-10       4     2           1.62
   511 H Copiague               21- 1      20    34           0.00
   519 H Commack                11- 9       2     4    -     -2.23
   525 N Ward Melville           6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.74

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 A Sachem North            8- 7       1     8    ---   -7.19
   419 A Bay Shore              10- 7       3     6    -     -3.58
   421 H Huntington             15-10       5     8    -     -3.03
   429 A Middle Country         14- 7       7    18    -     -3.00
   519 H Commack                11- 9       2     4    -     -2.23
   525 N Ward Melville           6-15      -9    -6    -     -2.74

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Commack                14- 4      10     4    ++     5.94
   503 A Ward Melville           7- 8 3o   -1    -6    ++     5.34
   427 A Northport              18-10       8     4    +      3.13
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.64 Local Power Rank...........     5
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.40 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.63 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .   12.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating.135.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     4
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -3.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  9- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/