Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-03          
   Nickname = C Falcons              Coach  =   John Larkin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.4107819    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 H Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-10, 85.9)     9- 6   
 303 A Friendship             NC    Conf-03 ( 4-13, 74.3)    18-10   
 307 A Fuquay-Varina          NC    Conf-03 ( 1-16, 68.0)    17- 3   
 316 H Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (15- 5, 89.3)    11- 7   
 317 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-03 ( 4-13, 72.3)    20- 6   
 321 A Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (22- 0, 99.9)     5-19   
 322 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-10, 78.4)    16- 8   
 324 H Athens Drive           NC    Conf-03 ( 9-10, 81.8)    12- 4   
 328 A Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-10, 85.9)     7- 6   
 404 H Fuquay-Varina          NC    Conf-03 ( 1-16, 68.0)    17- 5   
 407 H Broughton              NC    Conf-04 (17- 1, 89.9)    10-15   
 418 A Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (15- 5, 89.3)     9-11   
 421 H Cary HS                NC    Conf-03 ( 4-13, 72.3)    19- 8   
 422 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-10, 78.4)    18- 7   
 426 H Friendship             NC    Conf-03 ( 4-13, 74.3)    20- 6   
 427 H Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (22- 0, 99.9)     6-17   
 428 A Athens Drive           NC    Conf-03 ( 9-10, 81.8)    11- 8   
 505 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 (12- 5, 84.2)    12- 7   
 509 A Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (22- 0, 99.9)     6-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 H Holly Springs           9- 6       3     3          -0.60
   303 A Friendship             18-10       8    13    -     -2.00
   307 A Fuquay-Varina          17- 3      14    19           0.00
   316 H Apex                   11- 7       4     0    +      3.81
   317 A Cary HS                20- 6      14    15           0.00
   321 A Middle Creek            5-19     -14   -11           0.00
   322 A Panther Creek          16- 8       8     9          -1.60
   324 H Athens Drive           12- 4       8     7           0.39
   328 A Holly Springs           7- 6       1     2          -1.10
   404 H Fuquay-Varina          17- 5      12    21           0.00
   407 H Broughton              10-15      -5     0    --    -4.51
   418 A Apex                    9-11      -2    -1          -0.69
   421 H Cary HS                19- 8      11    17           0.00
   422 H Panther Creek          18- 7      11    11           0.00
   426 H Friendship             20- 6      14    15           0.00
   427 H Middle Creek            6-17     -11   -10           0.00
   428 A Athens Drive           11- 8       3     6    -     -3.11
   505 A Wilmington New Hanover 12- 7       5     3           1.21
   509 A Middle Creek            6-17     -11   -11           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Broughton              10-15      -5     0    --    -4.51
   303 A Friendship             18-10       8    13    -     -2.00
   428 A Athens Drive           11- 8       3     6    -     -3.11

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   316 H Apex                   11- 7       4     0    +      3.81
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.70 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.11 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    17
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    37
 Local Quality Win Rating. 85.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/