Region = DC    WCAC             
   Nickname = D Falcons              Coach  =   Matt Durkin           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.7694168    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 307 H Georgetown Prep        DC    IAC     (14- 6, 89.9)    10-22   
 310 A Friends                MD B  MIAA    ( 8- 7, 89.0)    10- 7   
 313 H The Heights            MD    MILL-W  (14- 6, 93.8)     6- 9   
 321 H Paul VI                DC    WCAC    (16- 6, 99.9)     3-12   
 324 A Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    (10-10, 90.9)    10- 7   
 327 H Archbishop Spalding    MD A  MIAA    ( 5-13, 83.3)     5-14   
 328 A Bishop Ireton          DC    WCAC    ( 2-17, 78.3)    13- 5   
 404 A Bullis                 DC    IAC     (18- 3, 94.6)     3-12   
 407 H Mount St Joseph        MD A  MIAA    ( 3-10, 80.6)     4- 5   
 410 A St Christopher's       VA 1  VIP     (11- 8, 91.5)     5- 7   
 413 A St Marys Ryken         DC    WCAC    ( 9-10, 91.0)     8-13   
 417 H DeMatha                DC    WCAC    (12- 8, 95.9)     7-12   
 418 H St Andrews Episcopal   DC    MAC     (12- 6, 91.6)     6- 5   
 420 A Gonzaga                DC    WCAC    (14- 7, 99.6)     3-11   
 425 H St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (11- 5, 98.8)     6-11   
 502 A St Johns DC            DC    WCAC    (11- 5, 98.8)     5-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Georgetown Prep        10-22     -12    -2          n/a  
   310 A Friends                10- 7       3    -3          n/a  
   313 H The Heights             6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.44
   321 H Paul VI                 3-12      -9   -12           1.00
   324 A Bishop O'Connell       10- 7       3    -5    +++    8.39
   327 H Archbishop Spalding     5-14      -9     4          n/a  
   328 A Bishop Ireton          13- 5       8     7           0.87
   404 A Bullis                  3-12      -9    -9          n/a  
   407 H Mount St Joseph         4- 5      -1     6          n/a  
   410 A St Christopher's        5- 7      -2    -5          n/a  
   413 A St Marys Ryken          8-13      -5    -5           0.55
   417 H DeMatha                 7-12      -5    -8    +      3.52
   418 H St Andrews Episcopal    6- 5       1    -4    ++     5.18
   420 A Gonzaga                 3-11      -8   -14    +      2.00
   425 H St Johns DC             6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   502 A St Johns DC             5-11      -6   -13    ++     4.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   307 H Georgetown Prep        10-22     -12    -2    ---        
   327 H Archbishop Spalding     5-14      -9     4    ---        
   407 H Mount St Joseph         4- 5      -1     6    ---        

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A Friends                10- 7       3    -3    +++        
   324 A Bishop O'Connell       10- 7       3    -5    +++    8.39
   418 H St Andrews Episcopal    6- 5       1    -4    ++     5.18
   425 H St Johns DC             6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   502 A St Johns DC             5-11      -6   -13    ++     4.00
   313 H The Heights             6- 9      -3    -6    +      3.44
   410 A St Christopher's        5- 7      -2    -5    +          
   417 H DeMatha                 7-12      -5    -8    +      3.52
   420 A Gonzaga                 3-11      -8   -14    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.43 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.29 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    20
 Local Quality Win Rating.  5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    6.5 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  4-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/