Conf =  NWCIAC                    Region = CT S                   
   Nickname = T Bears                Coach  =   Dave Emery            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   78.5918121    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Ellington              CT S          (14- 6, 71.8)     5- 2   
 408 A East Catholic          CT S          (12- 8, 75.8)     5-12   
 410 H Tolland                CT S          ( 4-13, 54.8)    16- 4   
 411 H Suffield HS            CT S          ( 5-10, 60.7)    16- 4   
 415 H RHAM                   CT M          ( 8- 9, 65.2)    13- 7   
 417 H Somers                 CT S          (20- 1, 85.8)     7-22   
 419 A Canton                 CT S          ( 6-10, 57.7)    15- 0   
 421 A Somers                 CT S          (20- 1, 85.8)     6-18   
 424 A Ellington              CT S          (14- 6, 71.8)     9-10  o
 502 A Suffield HS            CT S          ( 5-10, 60.7)    14- 4   
 506 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk  CT L          ( 8-10, 72.6)     4- 9   
 508 H Hall-West Hartford     CT L          ( 6-10, 69.5)     1- 7   
 510 H Canton                 CT S          ( 6-10, 57.7)    19- 2   
 516 A Northwest Catholic     CT S          ( 5-11, 63.0)    19- 7   
 520 A Avon HS                CT M          ( 8-10, 70.4)    17- 9   
 522 A Tolland                CT S          ( 4-13, 54.8)    16- 4   
 523 H Ellington              CT S          (14- 6, 71.8)     9- 6   
 525 H Somers                 CT S          (20- 1, 85.8)    11-20   
 531 A East Catholic          CT S          (12- 8, 75.8)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Ellington               5- 2       3     0    +      2.29
   408 A East Catholic           5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.48
   410 H Tolland                16- 4      12    17           0.00
   411 H Suffield HS            16- 4      12    11           0.00
   415 H RHAM                   13- 7       6     7          -1.35
   417 H Somers                  7-22     -15   -13           0.00
   419 A Canton                 15- 0      15    13           0.00
   421 A Somers                  6-18     -12   -14           0.00
   424 A Ellington               9-10  o   -1     0          -0.45
   502 A Suffield HS            14- 4      10    10           0.00
   506 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.92
   508 H Hall-West Hartford      1- 7      -6     3    ---   -9.07
   510 H Canton                 19- 2      17    14           0.00
   516 A Northwest Catholic     19- 7      12     8           1.72
   520 A Avon HS                17- 9       8     0    +++    7.08
   522 A Tolland                16- 4      12    16           0.00
   523 H Ellington               9- 6       3     0    +      2.29
   525 H Somers                 11-20      -9   -13           1.00
   531 A East Catholic           7-13      -6    -4          -1.48

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   508 H Hall-West Hartford      1- 7      -6     3    ---   -9.07
   506 H Brien McMahon-Norwalk   4- 9      -5     0    --    -4.92
   408 A East Catholic           5-12      -7    -4    -     -2.48

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   520 A Avon HS                17- 9       8     0    +++    7.08
   407 H Ellington               5- 2       3     0    +      2.29
   523 H Ellington               9- 6       3     0    +      2.29
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 71.92 Local Power Rank...........    36
 Local SOS Rating......... 41.11 Local SOS Rank.............    44
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    28
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    45
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.0 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -4.0
/