Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Falcons              Coach  =   Sean Muldowney        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.8211975    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Dist-X  (10-10, 85.0)     8- 9   
 330 H Clarence               NY A  Sec 6   (10- 7, 93.6)     4-10   
 403 A West Seneca East       NY C  Sec 6   (14- 5, 92.9)     8-11   
 404 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 98.9)     4-17   
 406 H Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 88.6)    10-14   
 425 H North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 69.9)    21- 6   
 428 H Silver Creek           NY D  Sec 6   ( 6- 8, 81.5)    12- 7   
 502 A Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-15, 75.7)    15- 7   
 504 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 87.6)     8- 6   
 508 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   ( 9- 9, 86.4)    12-10   
 509 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 78.0)    11- 9   
 511 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 98.7)     5-19   
 513 A Erie-McDowell          PA    Dist-X  ( 8-11, 83.7)    11-10   
 516 H Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.1)     4-14   
 517 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 94.7)     8-15   
 518 A Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 87.8)    10-11   
 523 H Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 78.0)    19- 4   
 525 A Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 98.7)     6-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Erie Cathedral Prep     8- 9      -1     1          n/a  
   330 H Clarence                4-10      -6    -5          -0.42
   403 A West Seneca East        8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.13
   404 A Hamburg                 4-17     -13   -13           0.00
   406 H Williamsville North    10-14      -4     0    -     -3.44
   425 H North Tonawanda        21- 6      15    18           0.00
   428 H Silver Creek           12- 7       5     6          -1.51
   502 A Sweet Home             15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00
   504 H West Seneca West        8- 6       2     0           1.55
   508 A East Aurora            12-10       2     0    +      2.65
   509 A Lockport               11- 9       2     7    --    -5.74
   511 A Orchard Park            5-19     -14   -12           0.00
   513 A Erie-McDowell          11-10       1     2          n/a  
   516 H Lancaster               4-14     -10   -11           0.00
   517 H Niagara Wheatfield      8-15      -7    -6          -0.30
   518 A Williamsville East     10-11      -1    -2           1.03
   523 H Lockport               19- 4      15    10           0.00
   525 A Orchard Park            6-18     -12   -12           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   509 A Lockport               11- 9       2     7    --    -5.74
   325 A Erie Cathedral Prep     8- 9      -1     1    -          
   406 H Williamsville North    10-14      -4     0    -     -3.44
   502 A Sweet Home             15- 7       8    10    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A West Seneca East        8-11      -3    -7    ++     4.13
   508 A East Aurora            12-10       2     0    +      2.65
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.87 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 73.31 Local SOS Rank.............    16
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    14
 Local Quality Win Rating.-50.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    9.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/