Region = VA 4A Evergrn          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Eric Morrison         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.3921585    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Handley                VA    Indep   ( 9- 2, 93.6)    12- 7   
 324 A Loudoun Valley         VA 4A DullesW ( 5-11, 80.0)    11-10  o
 330 H Broad Run              VA 5A No-Loud ( 8- 7, 89.3)     7-12   
 403 A Hylton                 VA 6A Conf-4  ( 4-10, 71.4)    16- 2   
 405 H Rock Ridge             VA 4A DullesE ( 4-12, 77.1)    19-11   
 418 A Battlefield            VA 6A Cedar   ( 9- 7, 86.5)    11-12  o
 424 A Culpeper County        VA 4A Evergrn ( 7- 7, 79.7)    16-12   
 427 H Loudoun County         VA 4A DullesW (12- 6, 88.0)    10-12   
 501 H Brentsville            VA 4A Evergrn (10- 5, 85.6)    10-12   
 502 A Freedom-South Riding   VA 4A DullesE (14- 5, 92.5)     9-20   
 503 A James Monroe           VA 4A Evergrn ( 3-12, 66.9)     1- 0   
 504 A Liberty-Bealeton       VA 4A Evergrn ( 5- 9, 68.6)    18- 1   
 508 H Kettle Run             VA 4A Evergrn ( 9- 6, 84.7)    14- 7   
 515 H James Monroe           VA 4A Evergrn ( 3-12, 66.9)    13- 2   
 519 H Kettle Run             VA 4A Evergrn ( 9- 6, 84.7)    12- 4   
 522 N Brentsville            VA 4A Evergrn (10- 5, 85.6)    12-14   
 526 A Freedom-South Riding   VA 4A DullesE (14- 5, 92.5)     3-16   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Handley                12- 7       5    -7          n/a  
   324 A Loudoun Valley         11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.82
   330 H Broad Run               7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.50
   403 A Hylton                 16- 2      14    13           0.00
   405 H Rock Ridge             19-11       8     9          -1.69
   418 A Battlefield            11-12  o   -1    -1           0.65
   424 A Culpeper County        16-12       4     5          -1.21
   427 H Loudoun County         10-12      -2    -1          -0.80
   501 H Brentsville            10-12      -2     1    -     -3.12
   502 A Freedom-South Riding    9-20     -11    -7    -     -2.39
   504 A Liberty-Bealeton       18- 1      17    16           0.00
   508 H Kettle Run             14- 7       7     2    ++     4.96
   515 H James Monroe           13- 2      11    19           0.00
   519 H Kettle Run             12- 4       8     2    ++     5.96
   522 N Brentsville            12-14      -2     0    -     -2.17
   526 A Freedom-South Riding    3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.39

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 A Loudoun Valley         11-10  o    1     4    -     -3.82
   330 H Broad Run               7-12      -5    -2    -     -2.50
   501 H Brentsville            10-12      -2     1    -     -3.12
   502 A Freedom-South Riding    9-20     -11    -7    -     -2.39
   522 N Brentsville            12-14      -2     0    -     -2.17
   526 A Freedom-South Riding    3-16     -13    -7    -     -2.39

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Handley                12- 7       5    -7    +++        
   508 H Kettle Run             14- 7       7     2    ++     4.96
   519 H Kettle Run             12- 4       8     2    ++     5.96
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.82 Local Power Rank...........    29
 Local SOS Rating......... 62.12 Local SOS Rank.............    48
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.51 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    51
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   12.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/