Region = MI 2  Reg14-2          
   Nickname = I Falcons              Coach  =   Bill Sovinski         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   80.0652313    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Canton                 MI 1  Reg3-1  (15- 7, 82.7)     4-11   
 328 H Ann Arbor Huron        MI 2  Reg12-2 ( 1-12, 56.7)    14- 1   
 401 A Salem                  MI 1  Reg3-1  (12- 8, 79.9)     3-12   
 404 A Brother Rice Orange    MI    Indep   ( 8- 0, 92.7)     2- 8   
 408 H Bedford                MI 2  Reg13-2 ( 6-13, 66.0)     9- 4   
 410 A University Liggett     MI 2  Reg15-2 ( 9- 6, 79.7)     4- 8   
 425 A Royal Oak Shrine       MI 2  Reg14-2 ( 6- 7, 73.1)    13- 7   
 427 H AA Gabriel Richard     MI 2  Reg14-2 (13- 7, 81.4)     6-12   
 429 H Ann Arbor Greenhills   MI 2  Reg14-2 ( 7- 9, 75.8)    10- 4   
 502 H Bishop Foley           MI 2  Reg15-2 ( 8- 5, 70.0)    13- 3   
 504 A Riverview-Gab Richard  MI 2  Reg13-2 ( 7- 8, 62.7)    17- 0   
 505 A Lapeer                 MI 1  Reg8-1  ( 5- 9, 68.7)     7- 8   
 509 H Royal Oak Shrine       MI 2  Reg14-2 ( 6- 7, 73.1)    13- 4   
 513 N AA Gabriel Richard     MI 2  Reg14-2 (13- 7, 81.4)     4-11   
 519 H Royal Oak Shrine       MI 2  Reg14-2 ( 6- 7, 73.1)     4- 3   
 524 A AA Gabriel Richard     MI 2  Reg14-2 (13- 7, 81.4)     3- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Canton                  4-11      -7    -5          -1.53
   328 H Ann Arbor Huron        14- 1      13    20           0.00
   401 A Salem                   3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.35
   404 A Brother Rice Orange     2- 8      -6   -18    ++     4.00
   408 H Bedford                 9- 4       5    11    --    -5.00
   410 A University Liggett      4- 8      -4    -5           1.50
   425 A Royal Oak Shrine       13- 7       6     1    ++     4.87
   427 H AA Gabriel Richard      6-12      -6    -4          -1.82
   429 H Ann Arbor Greenhills   10- 4       6     1    ++     4.54
   502 H Bishop Foley           13- 3      10     7    +      2.71
   504 A Riverview-Gab Richard  17- 0      17    11           0.00
   505 A Lapeer                  7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.54
   509 H Royal Oak Shrine       13- 4       9     4    ++     4.85
   513 N AA Gabriel Richard      4-11      -7    -5          -1.31
   519 H Royal Oak Shrine        4- 3       1     4    -     -3.15
   524 A AA Gabriel Richard      3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.20

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   505 A Lapeer                  7- 8      -1     5    ---   -6.54
   408 H Bedford                 9- 4       5    11    --    -5.00
   401 A Salem                   3-12      -9    -5    -     -3.35
   519 H Royal Oak Shrine        4- 3       1     4    -     -3.15

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 A Brother Rice Orange     2- 8      -6   -18    ++     4.00
   425 A Royal Oak Shrine       13- 7       6     1    ++     4.87
   429 H Ann Arbor Greenhills   10- 4       6     1    ++     4.54
   509 H Royal Oak Shrine       13- 4       9     4    ++     4.85
   502 H Bishop Foley           13- 3      10     7    +      2.71
   524 A AA Gabriel Richard      3- 8      -5    -7    +      2.20
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 75.75 Local Power Rank...........    71
 Local SOS Rating......... 49.76 Local SOS Rank.............    76
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.52 Local RPI Rank.............    55
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    39
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    73
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -3.7
/