Region = MI 2  Reg15-2          
   Nickname = I Pilots               Coach  =   Matt Lorio            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.6595764    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 325 A Grosse Pointe South    MI 2  Reg15-2 ( 4-13, 73.7)    12- 6   
 328 A Detroit Country Day    MI 2  Reg13-2 (10-12, 86.2)     3-10   
 401 A AA Gabriel Richard     MI 2  Reg14-2 (13- 7, 81.4)     5- 6 3o
 402 A OL St Mary's           MI 2  Reg16-2 (12- 8, 84.7)    12-14   
 406 A Cranbrook              MI 2  Reg14-2 (13- 9, 87.3)     6-15   
 407 A Brighton               MI 1  Reg2-1  (14- 7, 87.8)    10- 7   
 422 H Forest Hills Northern  MI 2  Reg10-2 ( 8-10, 80.9)    13- 4   
 423 H Detroit Catholic Cent  MI 1  Reg4-1  (15- 6, 94.3)     9-15   
 425 A Univ Detroit Jesuit    MI 1  Reg6-1  ( 5- 8, 78.5)    12- 9   
 427 A Brother Rice           MI 1  Reg7-1  (20- 4, 98.7)     7-14   
 429 A Midland                MI 1  Reg8-1  (13- 7, 85.1)     9- 5   
 506 A Troy Athens            MI 1  Reg6-1  (13- 5, 90.2)     9-10   
 509 A Lake Orion             MI 1  Reg5-1  (14- 5, 86.5)    10-11   
 511 A University Liggett     MI 2  Reg15-2 ( 9- 6, 79.7)    16-14   
 512 A Grosse Pointe North    MI 2  Reg15-2 (14- 4, 87.4)    13-14   
 520 H Utica Eisenhower       MI 1  Reg7-1  ( 4-14, 72.0)    12- 4   
 522 H Warren Cousino         MI 2  Reg15-2 ( 5-11, 60.4)    24- 0   
 525 H University Liggett     MI 2  Reg15-2 ( 9- 6, 79.7)     9- 6   
 531 N Grosse Pointe North    MI 2  Reg15-2 (14- 4, 87.4)    10- 8   
 602 N Detroit Country Day    MI 2  Reg13-2 (10-12, 86.2)     7-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   325 A Grosse Pointe South    12- 6       6     9    -     -3.13
   328 A Detroit Country Day     3-10      -7    -3    -     -3.64
   401 A AA Gabriel Richard      5- 6 3o   -1     1    -     -2.41
   402 A OL St Mary's           12-14      -2    -1          -0.17
   406 A Cranbrook               6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.57
   407 A Brighton               10- 7       3    -4    +++    7.91
   422 H Forest Hills Northern  13- 4       9     4    ++     4.04
   423 H Detroit Catholic Cent   9-15      -6    -8    +      2.40
   425 A Univ Detroit Jesuit    12- 9       3     4          -1.30
   427 A Brother Rice            7-14      -7   -15    +      3.00
   429 A Midland                 9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.21
   506 A Troy Athens             9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.33
   509 A Lake Orion             10-11      -1    -3    +      2.61
   511 A University Liggett     16-14       2     3          -1.11
   512 A Grosse Pointe North    13-14      -1    -4    +      3.51
   520 H Utica Eisenhower       12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   522 H Warren Cousino         24- 0      24    25           0.00
   525 H University Liggett      9- 6       3     6    -     -3.12
   531 N Grosse Pointe North    10- 8       2    -2    ++     5.00
   602 N Detroit Country Day     7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   406 A Cranbrook               6-15      -9    -4    --    -4.57
   602 N Detroit Country Day     7-13      -6    -1    --    -4.15
   325 A Grosse Pointe South    12- 6       6     9    -     -3.13
   328 A Detroit Country Day     3-10      -7    -3    -     -3.64
   401 A AA Gabriel Richard      5- 6 3o   -1     1    -     -2.41
   520 H Utica Eisenhower       12- 4       8    13    -     -2.00
   525 H University Liggett      9- 6       3     6    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Brighton               10- 7       3    -4    +++    7.91
   429 A Midland                 9- 5       4    -2    +++    6.21
   506 A Troy Athens             9-10      -1    -7    +++    6.33
   422 H Forest Hills Northern  13- 4       9     4    ++     4.04
   531 N Grosse Pointe North    10- 8       2    -2    ++     5.00
   423 H Detroit Catholic Cent   9-15      -6    -8    +      2.40
   427 A Brother Rice            7-14      -7   -15    +      3.00
   509 A Lake Orion             10-11      -1    -3    +      2.61
   512 A Grosse Pointe North    13-14      -1    -4    +      3.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 84.35 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.61 Local SOS Rank.............    15
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    29
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    35
 Local Quality Win Rating.-60.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    42
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -6.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.3
/