Conf =  Northeast                 Region = MA 2  North            
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Tim Murphy            

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   81.8041534    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 403 H Hamilton-Wenham        MA 3  North   (17- 2, 86.7)     4- 7   
 406 H North Reading          MA 3  North   (15- 7, 82.9)     4-10   
 411 H Gloucester             MA 2  North   ( 5-13, 69.9)    10- 3   
 412 H Peabody                MA 1  North   ( 6-12, 72.9)     9- 8   
 418 A Ipswich                MA 3  North   (20- 2, 90.9)     4-16   
 420 H Pentucket              MA 3  North   (12- 6, 80.4)     8-10   
 421 A Lynnfield              MA 3  North   ( 5-13, 68.7)    14- 6   
 424 H Medford                MA 1  North   ( 6-13, 66.8)    17-12   
 425 A Salem                  MA 1  North   ( 3-16, 56.7)    16- 1   
 427 A Gloucester             MA 2  North   ( 5-13, 69.9)     8- 4   
 501 A Beverly                MA 2  North   (13-10, 83.8)     5-16   
 504 H Marblehead             MA 2  North   (11- 9, 82.4)     3-14   
 509 A Peabody                MA 1  North   ( 6-12, 72.9)    11- 5   
 516 A Dracut                 MA 2  North   ( 5-15, 70.7)     9- 8   
 518 A Malden Catholic        MA 2  North   ( 9-11, 80.0)     5- 8   
 519 H Swampscott             MA 3  North   (13- 8, 71.7)    10- 9   
 522 H Georgetown             MA 3  North   ( 5-12, 67.6)    15- 4   
 524 A Woburn                 MA 1  North   ( 6-12, 74.3)    12- 5   
 531 A Malden Catholic        MA 2  North   ( 9-11, 80.0)     2-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Hamilton-Wenham         4- 7      -3    -9    +++    6.11
   406 H North Reading           4-10      -6    -5          -0.74
   411 H Gloucester             10- 3       7     7          -0.74
   412 H Peabody                 9- 8       1     4    -     -3.68
   418 A Ipswich                 4-16     -12   -14           0.00
   420 H Pentucket               8-10      -2    -2           0.76
   421 A Lynnfield              14- 6       8     7           0.41
   424 H Medford                17-12       5    10    --    -5.00
   425 A Salem                  16- 1      15    19           0.00
   427 A Gloucester              8- 4       4     6    -     -2.46
   501 A Beverly                 5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.49
   504 H Marblehead              3-14     -11    -4    --    -5.22
   509 A Peabody                11- 5       6     3    +      2.61
   516 A Dracut                  9- 8       1     5    --    -4.59
   518 A Malden Catholic         5- 8      -3    -3           0.67
   519 H Swampscott             10- 9       1     5    --    -4.87
   522 H Georgetown             15- 4      11     9           0.03
   524 A Woburn                 12- 5       7     2    ++     4.99
   531 A Malden Catholic         2-11      -9    -3    --    -5.33

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   424 H Medford                17-12       5    10    --    -5.00
   504 H Marblehead              3-14     -11    -4    --    -5.22
   516 A Dracut                  9- 8       1     5    --    -4.59
   519 H Swampscott             10- 9       1     5    --    -4.87
   531 A Malden Catholic         2-11      -9    -3    --    -5.33
   412 H Peabody                 9- 8       1     4    -     -3.68
   427 A Gloucester              8- 4       4     6    -     -2.46
   501 A Beverly                 5-16     -11    -7    -     -2.49

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 H Hamilton-Wenham         4- 7      -3    -9    +++    6.11
   524 A Woburn                 12- 5       7     2    ++     4.99
   509 A Peabody                11- 5       6     3    +      2.61
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 76.97 Local Power Rank...........    92
 Local SOS Rating......... 50.15 Local SOS Rank.............   124
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.50 Local RPI Rank.............   107
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    61
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    95
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    3.0
/