Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Tigers               Coach  =   Paul Deon             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.1300354    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 404 H Conard-West Hartford   CT L          ( 9- 9, 74.6)     4- 3   
 405 H Foran                  CT M          (12- 5, 71.9)    18- 3   
 410 A Amity Regional         CT L          ( 5-11, 69.2)     4- 3   
 413 A Simsbury               CT L          (11- 9, 80.4)     7- 5   
 415 N Mattituck-Greenport    NY C  Sec 11  ( 7- 8, 78.2)    13- 4   
 418 H Cheshire HS            CT L          (17- 6, 84.3)     6-13   
 420 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 6-10, 64.2)    16- 2   
 422 H Glastonbury            CT L          (17- 4, 89.6)     1-10   
 424 A Xavier                 CT L          (12- 8, 80.4)     6-11   
 429 A Joel Barlow            CT M          (11- 9, 79.5)    12- 4   
 501 H Guilford               CT M          ( 9- 9, 78.2)    10- 7   
 506 A East Lyme              CT M          (11- 8, 73.6)     7- 8  o
 508 H Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          (12- 7, 78.6)     7- 5   
 510 A North Haven            CT M          (15- 4, 80.6)     4- 7   
 515 H Norwich Free Academy   CT L          ( 5-11, 62.8)    16- 2   
 517 H Fairfield Prep         CT L          (15- 5, 88.1)     7- 8  o
 520 A Xavier                 CT L          (12- 8, 80.4)     5- 9   
 527 H Newington              CT M          ( 8-10, 62.8)    17- 1   
 531 A Berlin                 CT M          (13- 6, 69.1)    12- 2   
 603 A Weston                 CT M          (15- 5, 82.5)     4- 3   
 607 N North Haven            CT M          (15- 4, 80.6)     7- 4   
 610 N New Canaan             CT M          (15- 6, 90.1)     6- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   404 H Conard-West Hartford    4- 3       1     6    --    -5.46
   405 H Foran                  18- 3      15     9           0.88
   410 A Amity Regional          4- 3       1    10    ---   -9.00
   413 A Simsbury                7- 5       2     0    +      2.58
   415 N Mattituck-Greenport    13- 4       9     2          n/a  
   418 H Cheshire HS             6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.78
   420 A Hamden                 16- 2      14    15           0.00
   422 H Glastonbury             1-10      -9    -8          -0.48
   424 A Xavier                  6-11      -5     0    --    -4.40
   429 A Joel Barlow            12- 4       8     0    +++    7.69
   501 H Guilford               10- 7       3     2           0.10
   506 A East Lyme               7- 8  o   -1     6    ---   -7.17
   508 H Notre Dame-West Haven   7- 5       2     2          -0.48
   510 A North Haven             4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.16
   515 H Norwich Free Academy   16- 2      14    18           0.00
   517 H Fairfield Prep          7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    6.07
   520 A Xavier                  5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.40
   527 H Newington              17- 1      16    18           0.00
   531 A Berlin                 12- 2      10    10           0.00
   603 A Weston                  4- 3       1    -2    +      3.67
   607 N North Haven             7- 4       3     0    +      3.21
   610 N New Canaan              6- 9      -3    -9    +++    6.68

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Amity Regional          4- 3       1    10    ---   -9.00
   506 A East Lyme               7- 8  o   -1     6    ---   -7.17
   404 H Conard-West Hartford    4- 3       1     6    --    -5.46
   424 A Xavier                  6-11      -5     0    --    -4.40
   418 H Cheshire HS             6-13      -7    -3    -     -3.78
   510 A North Haven             4- 7      -3     0    -     -2.16
   520 A Xavier                  5- 9      -4     0    -     -3.40

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 N Mattituck-Greenport    13- 4       9     2    +++        
   429 A Joel Barlow            12- 4       8     0    +++    7.69
   517 H Fairfield Prep          7- 8  o   -1    -7    +++    6.07
   610 N New Canaan              6- 9      -3    -9    +++    6.68
   413 A Simsbury                7- 5       2     0    +      2.58
   603 A Weston                  4- 3       1    -2    +      3.67
   607 N North Haven             7- 4       3     0    +      3.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 80.44 Local Power Rank...........    15
 Local SOS Rating......... 53.48 Local SOS Rank.............    19
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    26
 Local Quality Win Rating.  0.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 14- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.3
/