Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Thunderbirds         Coach  =   Brett Jeffares        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.4749756    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 321 H Islip                  NY C  Sec 11  (15- 3, 92.3)     5- 6   
 324 H Sayville               NY C  Sec 11  ( 8-10, 84.6)    12- 7   
 328 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 0-15, 59.2)    18- 2   
 330 H Northport              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 88.7)    12- 6   
 405 A Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 65.8)    16- 4   
 407 A Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 85.7)    15-14   
 410 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 3-13, 72.1)    18- 3   
 419 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 89.5)     7- 8   
 421 A Walt Whitman           NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 8, 81.6)     7- 6   
 425 A West Islip             NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 91.4)     8-11   
 427 H Sachem East            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 80.7)    11-10  o
 429 H Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (13- 5, 95.2)     4-12   
 503 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 81.6)    15-11   
 506 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 97.0)     8-16   
 509 A William Floyd          NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 75.4)    16- 4   
 511 H Ward Melville          NY A  Sec 11  (20- 2, 99.9)     6-11   
 516 H Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 8, 85.4)    17-10   
 519 A Smithtown East         NY A  Sec 11  (15- 4, 97.0)    10-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Islip                   5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.73
   324 H Sayville               12- 7       5     3           1.03
   328 H Copiague               18- 2      16    29           0.00
   330 H Northport              12- 6       6     0    +++    6.12
   405 A Brentwood              16- 4      12    22           0.00
   407 A Huntington             15-14       1     2          -1.71
   410 H Longwood               18- 3      15    16           0.00
   419 H Commack                 7- 8      -1     0          -0.07
   421 A Walt Whitman            7- 6       1     6    --    -5.84
   425 A West Islip              8-11      -3    -2          -0.05
   427 H Sachem East            11-10  o    1     7    ---   -6.88
   429 H Smithtown West          4-12      -8    -6          -1.38
   503 A Lindenhurst            15-11       4     6    -     -2.83
   506 A Smithtown East          8-16      -8    -8           0.57
   509 A William Floyd          16- 4      12    12           0.00
   511 H Ward Melville           6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   516 H Sachem North           17-10       7     3    +      3.80
   519 A Smithtown East         10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.57

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Sachem East            11-10  o    1     7    ---   -6.88
   421 A Walt Whitman            7- 6       1     6    --    -5.84
   503 A Lindenhurst            15-11       4     6    -     -2.83

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Northport              12- 6       6     0    +++    6.12
   519 A Smithtown East         10-12      -2    -8    +++    6.57
   511 H Ward Melville           6-11      -5   -11    ++     5.00
   321 H Islip                   5- 6      -1    -3    +      2.73
   516 H Sachem North           17-10       7     3    +      3.80
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.48 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 67.79 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating. 35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.5
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.0
/