Region = NY A  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Red Devils           Coach  =   Charles Warkenthien   

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.5025864    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (13- 6, 98.9)     4- 6   
 330 A Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 86.9)    10- 4   
 401 H Webster Thomas         NY B  Sec 5   (13- 4, 92.5)     4-14   
 404 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 88.6)     6- 5   
 406 H Williamsville East     NY B  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 87.8)    10- 6   
 420 A Lockport               NY A  Sec 6   ( 3-13, 78.0)    12- 2   
 422 A Penn Yan               NY D  Sec 5   (10-10, 86.2)     4- 5   
 425 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-15, 75.7)    19- 4   
 427 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 1-16, 69.9)    22- 0   
 502 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.1)     8- 9  o
 504 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 94.7)     8- 7   
 509 H Orchard Park           NY A  Sec 6   (14- 5, 98.7)     9- 8   
 511 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 7-10, 87.6)    10- 6   
 513 H Erie Cathedral Prep    PA    Dist-X  (10-10, 85.0)    13- 4   
 515 H Canisius               NY P  Sec 6   (11- 6, 98.4)     3-11   
 518 H Akron                  NY D  Sec 6   (18- 2, 98.5)     7-11   
 525 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (16- 2, 99.1)     2-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H Hamburg                 4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.21
   330 A Frontier               10- 4       6     5           0.42
   401 H Webster Thomas          4-14     -10     2          n/a  
   404 A Williamsville North     6- 5       1     3    -     -2.88
   406 H Williamsville East     10- 6       4     6    -     -2.98
   420 A Lockport               12- 2      10    14           0.00
   422 A Penn Yan                4- 5      -1     6          n/a  
   425 H Sweet Home             19- 4      15    19           0.00
   427 A North Tonawanda        22- 0      22    22           0.00
   502 A Lancaster               8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.63
   504 H Niagara Wheatfield      8- 7       1     0           0.98
   509 H Orchard Park            9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.96
   511 H West Seneca West       10- 6       4     7    -     -3.18
   513 H Erie Cathedral Prep    13- 4       9     9          n/a  
   515 H Canisius                3-11      -8    -3    --    -4.33
   518 H Akron                   7-11      -4    -3          -0.19
   525 A Lancaster               2-10      -8    -6          -1.37

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Webster Thomas          4-14     -10     2    ---        
   422 A Penn Yan                4- 5      -1     6    ---        
   515 H Canisius                3-11      -8    -3    --    -4.33
   404 A Williamsville North     6- 5       1     3    -     -2.88
   406 H Williamsville East     10- 6       4     6    -     -2.98
   511 H West Seneca West       10- 6       4     7    -     -3.18

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   502 A Lancaster               8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.63
   509 H Orchard Park            9- 8       1    -3    ++     4.96
   328 H Hamburg                 4- 6      -2    -4    +      2.21
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 93.60 Local Power Rank...........    11
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.62 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.57 Local RPI Rank.............    10
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating. 75.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     8
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -0.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.7
/