Region = PA 2A Sec1             
   Nickname = A Colts                Coach  =   Steve Stead           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.0919876    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 324 H Upper St Clair         PA 3A Sec1    (13- 7, 95.3)     8-12   
 327 H Canon-McMillan         PA 3A Sec1    (11- 5, 92.8)     7- 6   
 330 A Quaker Valley          PA 2A Sec1    (13- 4, 89.0)     7- 8   
 403 A Seneca Valley          PA 3A Sec3    (14- 6, 93.3)     4-16   
 406 H Winchester Thurston    PA 2A Sec1    ( 0-10, 62.4)    16- 1   
 410 H Norwin                 PA 3A Sec2    ( 3- 6, 79.2)    20- 7   
 413 A Trinity Area           PA 2A Sec1    ( 7-12, 76.3)    16- 4   
 417 H Hempfield Greensburg   PA 3A Sec2    ( 4-10, 74.7)    16- 8   
 420 A Moon Area              PA 2A Sec1    (10- 6, 89.2)    10-18   
 421 H North Catholic-Wuerl   PA 2A Sec2    (12- 5, 89.2)    11-10   
 424 A Fox Chapel             PA 3A Sec2    ( 5-10, 83.7)     6- 5  o
 427 H Gateway                PA 2A Sec1    ( 5-13, 73.6)    17- 9   
 428 H Central Catholic       PA 3A Sec1    ( 5- 8, 84.0)     9- 3   
 504 A Seton LaSalle          PA 2A Sec1    ( 1-10, 68.6)    15- 4   
 510 H South Fayette          PA 2A Sec1    ( 7- 8, 82.8)     7- 6 4o
 516 N Freeport Area          PA 2A Sec2    ( 7- 7, 82.1)     9- 8  o
 518 N Hampton                PA 2A Sec2    (13- 5, 92.9)     5-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   324 H Upper St Clair          8-12      -4    -6    +      2.67
   327 H Canon-McMillan          7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.22
   330 A Quaker Valley           7- 8      -1    -1           0.40
   403 A Seneca Valley           4-16     -12    -5    --    -4.30
   406 H Winchester Thurston    16- 1      15    26           0.00
   410 H Norwin                 20- 7      13     9           0.59
   413 A Trinity Area           16- 4      12    11           0.00
   417 H Hempfield Greensburg   16- 8       8    13    -     -2.00
   420 A Moon Area              10-18      -8    -1    ---   -6.40
   421 H North Catholic-Wuerl   11-10       1     0           1.61
   424 A Fox Chapel              6- 5  o    1     3    -     -2.94
   427 H Gateway                17- 9       8    15    -     -2.00
   428 H Central Catholic        9- 3       6     4           1.43
   504 A Seton LaSalle          15- 4      11    19           0.00
   510 H South Fayette           7- 6 4o    1     5    --    -4.82
   516 N Freeport Area           9- 8  o    1     6    --    -5.05
   518 N Hampton                 5-10      -5    -4          -0.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Moon Area              10-18      -8    -1    ---   -6.40
   403 A Seneca Valley           4-16     -12    -5    --    -4.30
   510 H South Fayette           7- 6 4o    1     5    --    -4.82
   516 N Freeport Area           9- 8  o    1     6    --    -5.05
   417 H Hempfield Greensburg   16- 8       8    13    -     -2.00
   424 A Fox Chapel              6- 5  o    1     3    -     -2.94
   427 H Gateway                17- 9       8    15    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   327 H Canon-McMillan          7- 6       1    -4    ++     5.22
   324 H Upper St Clair          8-12      -4    -6    +      2.67
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.11 Local Power Rank...........    17
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.95 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.54 Local RPI Rank.............    16
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    15
 Local Quality Win Rating. 15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    15
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/