Region = NC 2  NCISAA           
   Nickname = C Hurricanes           Coach  =   Paul Gilbert          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   85.7413864    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 303 A Cox Mill LC            NC    Indep   (13- 4, 99.9)     6-12   
 304 A Charlotte Cou Day      NC 1  NCISAA  (17-10, 92.5)     4-16   
 314 H Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 7- 7, 76.5)    15- 5   
 320 H Providence Day         NC 1  NCISAA  (17- 6, 93.5)     9-12   
 323 H Wilmington Laney       NC    Conf-01 ( 9- 6, 81.0)    11-10   
 324 N Asheville School       NC 2  NCISAA  ( 7- 5, 85.5)     8- 7   
 329 A Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 (12- 5, 84.2)     6-18   
 330 A St. David's School     NC 2  NCISAA  ( 8- 7, 76.4)    20- 6   
 401 H Clayton                NC    NCC     (10- 2, 98.6)    18-14   
 404 A Parrott Academy        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 7- 7, 76.5)    17- 5   
 407 A Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 ( 3-13, 68.0)    20-10   
 410 H Epiphany School        NC 2  NCISAA  ( 0- 5, 61.1)    16- 4   
 411 H North Raleigh Christia NC 1  NCISAA  ( 6-10, 75.3)    17- 8   
 418 H Ravenscroft School     NC 1  NCISAA  (10- 6, 90.6)     4-13   
 419 H Wilmington Ashley      NC    Conf-01 ( 3-13, 68.0)    20-10   
 421 A Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 3- 8, 69.1)    21-10   
 427 H Wilmington New Hanover NC    Conf-01 (12- 5, 84.2)    13-14   
 505 H Cary Christian         NC 2  NCISAA  ( 3- 8, 69.1)    16- 0   
 513 H Covenant Day           NC 2  NCISAA  ( 3-17, 71.8)    15- 5   
 516 H Asheville School       NC 2  NCISAA  ( 7- 5, 85.5)    16-14   
 520 A Forsyth Cou Day        NC 2  NCISAA  (11- 6, 83.7)    13-12   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   303 A Cox Mill LC             6-12      -6   -12          n/a  
   304 A Charlotte Cou Day       4-16     -12    -5    --    -4.27
   314 H Parrott Academy        15- 5      10    12           0.00
   320 H Providence Day          9-12      -3    -4           1.40
   323 H Wilmington Laney       11-10       1     7          n/a  
   324 N Asheville School        8- 7       1     2          -1.43
   329 A Wilmington New Hanover  6-18     -12     2          n/a  
   330 A St. David's School     20- 6      14    10           0.00
   401 H Clayton                18-14       4   -10          n/a  
   404 A Parrott Academy        17- 5      12    10           0.00
   407 A Wilmington Ashley      20-10      10    18          n/a  
   410 H Epiphany School        16- 4      12    27           0.00
   411 H North Raleigh Christia 17- 8       9    13          -1.00
   418 H Ravenscroft School      4-13      -9    -1    ---   -7.48
   419 H Wilmington Ashley      20-10      10    20          n/a  
   421 A Cary Christian         21-10      11    17           0.00
   427 H Wilmington New Hanover 13-14      -1     4          n/a  
   505 H Cary Christian         16- 0      16    20           0.00
   513 H Covenant Day           15- 5      10    17           0.00
   516 H Asheville School       16-14       2     3          -1.59
   520 A Forsyth Cou Day        13-12       1     3    -     -2.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 H Wilmington Laney       11-10       1     7    ---        
   329 A Wilmington New Hanover  6-18     -12     2    ---        
   418 H Ravenscroft School      4-13      -9    -1    ---   -7.48
   304 A Charlotte Cou Day       4-16     -12    -5    --    -4.27
   427 H Wilmington New Hanover 13-14      -1     4    --         
   520 A Forsyth Cou Day        13-12       1     3    -     -2.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 H Clayton                18-14       4   -10    +++        
   303 A Cox Mill LC             6-12      -6   -12    ++         
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.94 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 60.03 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.56 Local RPI Rank.............     7
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.105.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     6
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  8- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/