Conf =  Dist-XI                   Region = PA    EPC-E            
   Nickname = A Patriots             Coach  =   Tony Fabrizio         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   83.1567688    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Easton Area            PA    EPC-E   (12- 9, 85.8)     5- 8   
 330 H Northampton Area       PA    EPC-W   ( 1-17, 58.5)    17- 0   
 403 A Moravian Academy       PA    Indep   ( 5-10, 73.5)    20- 9   
 404 A Emmaus                 PA    EPC-W   (13- 9, 87.0)     5-15   
 407 A Phillipsburg           NJ 4  North   (11- 7, 78.6)     7-11   
 408 H Allentown Central Cath PA    EPC-W   (22- 2, 94.9)     4-17   
 410 A Bethlehem Catholic     PA    EPC-W   ( 5-11, 71.5)    19- 4   
 411 H Parkland               PA    EPC-W   (20- 3, 95.7)     2-22   
 413 A Pleasant Valley        PA    EPC-E   ( 6-13, 70.5)    13- 9   
 418 H Nazareth Area          PA    EPC-E   ( 4-14, 72.5)    14-12   
 424 H Southern Lehigh        PA    Indep   (13- 7, 88.3)     4- 7   
 425 A Northampton Area       PA    EPC-W   ( 1-17, 58.5)    19- 3   
 427 H Pleasant Valley        PA    EPC-E   ( 6-13, 70.5)    16- 2   
 429 H Bethlehem Liberty      PA    EPC-E   ( 1-14, 62.3)    20- 3   
 502 H Bethlehem Catholic     PA    EPC-W   ( 5-11, 71.5)    11- 7   
 504 A Saucon Valley          PA    Indep   (11- 6, 80.7)     9- 8   
 508 A Bethlehem Liberty      PA    EPC-E   ( 1-14, 62.3)    15- 2   
 512 H Saucon Valley          PA    Indep   (11- 6, 80.7)    10-16   
 518 A Easton Area            PA    EPC-E   (12- 9, 85.8)     3-17   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Easton Area             5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.88
   330 H Northampton Area       17- 0      17    21           0.00
   403 A Moravian Academy       20- 9      11     5    ++     4.51
   404 A Emmaus                  5-15     -10    -8          -1.94
   407 A Phillipsburg            7-11      -4     0          n/a  
   408 H Allentown Central Cath  4-17     -13   -14           0.00
   410 A Bethlehem Catholic     19- 4      15     7    +      2.58
   411 H Parkland                2-22     -20   -15           0.00
   413 A Pleasant Valley        13- 9       4     8    --    -4.45
   418 H Nazareth Area          14-12       2     7    --    -5.76
   424 H Southern Lehigh         4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.96
   425 A Northampton Area       19- 3      16    20           0.00
   427 H Pleasant Valley        16- 2      14     9           0.21
   429 H Bethlehem Liberty      20- 3      17    18           0.00
   502 H Bethlehem Catholic     11- 7       4     8    --    -4.77
   504 A Saucon Valley           9- 8       1    -1    +      2.75
   508 A Bethlehem Liberty      15- 2      13    16           0.00
   512 H Saucon Valley          10-16      -6     0    --    -5.60
   518 A Easton Area             3-17     -14    -6    -     -3.12

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Phillipsburg            7-11      -4     0    --         
   413 A Pleasant Valley        13- 9       4     8    --    -4.45
   418 H Nazareth Area          14-12       2     7    --    -5.76
   502 H Bethlehem Catholic     11- 7       4     8    --    -4.77
   512 H Saucon Valley          10-16      -6     0    --    -5.60
   518 A Easton Area             3-17     -14    -6    -     -3.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   403 A Moravian Academy       20- 9      11     5    ++     4.51
   424 H Southern Lehigh         4- 7      -3    -7    ++     4.96
   328 A Easton Area             5- 8      -3    -6    +      3.88
   410 A Bethlehem Catholic     19- 4      15     7    +      2.58
   504 A Saucon Valley           9- 8       1    -1    +      2.75
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.63 Local Power Rank...........    47
 Local SOS Rating......... 52.86 Local SOS Rank.............    73
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.49 Local RPI Rank.............    47
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    41
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    40
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.1
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -20.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -16.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -2.3
/