Region = VA 5A No-Loud          
   Nickname = A Falcons              Coach  =   Bruce Lipson          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   99.4500198    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 320 A Hayfield               VA 6A Liberty ( 1-11, 69.7)    23- 1   
 323 A John Champe            VA 4A DullesE ( 9- 6, 86.2)    14-11   
 324 H Fairfax                VA 6A Liberty ( 6- 7, 82.3)    18- 6   
 328 A Potomac Falls          VA 5A No-Loud ( 5- 9, 79.6)    14- 5   
 329 A Centreville            VA 6A Concord ( 1-14, 74.3)    19- 1   
 404 H Stone Bridge           VA 5A No-Loud (15- 4, 95.6)     9- 6   
 406 A Broad Run              VA 5A No-Loud ( 8- 7, 89.3)    12- 7   
 408 A St Anne's-Belfield     VA 1  VIP     (17- 5, 99.9)     8-14   
 418 H Yorktown               VA 6A Liberty ( 5-12, 83.0)    14- 6   
 420 H Woodson                VA 6A Patriot (18- 6, 94.6)    20- 6   
 426 A Heritage-Leesburg      VA 4A DullesW ( 4-10, 79.8)    18- 6   
 428 A Westfield              VA 6A Concord (12- 6, 92.5)    12- 9   
 429 H Loudoun County         VA 4A DullesW (12- 6, 88.0)    11- 2   
 508 H Tuscarora              VA 5A No-Loud ( 3-12, 73.4)    23- 4   
 511 N Potomac Falls          VA 5A No-Loud ( 5- 9, 79.6)    15- 3   
 519 H Stone Bridge           VA 5A No-Loud (15- 4, 95.6)    11-10   
 530 N Edison                 VA 5A No-FFax ( 9- 5, 80.6)    22- 6   
 602 H Stone Bridge           VA 5A No-Loud (15- 4, 95.6)     8- 9   
 606 A Patrick Henry Roanoke  VA 5A So-NoWe (20- 1, 99.9)     8-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   320 A Hayfield               23- 1      22    26           0.00
   323 A John Champe            14-11       3    10    ---   -7.00
   324 H Fairfax                18- 6      12    16           0.00
   328 A Potomac Falls          14- 5       9    17          -1.00
   329 A Centreville            19- 1      18    22           0.00
   404 H Stone Bridge            9- 6       3     2           0.05
   406 A Broad Run              12- 7       5     7    -     -2.39
   408 A St Anne's-Belfield      8-14      -6    -3          n/a  
   418 H Yorktown               14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   420 H Woodson                20- 6      14     3    +++    6.03
   426 A Heritage-Leesburg      18- 6      12    16           0.00
   428 A Westfield              12- 9       3     4          -1.21
   429 H Loudoun County         11- 2       9    10          -1.00
   508 H Tuscarora              23- 4      19    25           0.00
   511 N Potomac Falls          15- 3      12    18           0.00
   519 H Stone Bridge           11-10       1     2          -1.95
   530 N Edison                 22- 6      16    17           0.00
   602 H Stone Bridge            8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.95
   606 A Patrick Henry Roanoke   8-10      -2    -3           1.24

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A John Champe            14-11       3    10    ---   -7.00
   406 A Broad Run              12- 7       5     7    -     -2.39
   408 A St Anne's-Belfield      8-14      -6    -3    -          
   418 H Yorktown               14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   602 H Stone Bridge            8- 9      -1     2    -     -3.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 H Woodson                20- 6      14     3    +++    6.03
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 97.61 Local Power Rank...........     4
 Local SOS Rating......... 70.55 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.64 Local RPI Rank.............     9
 Championship Probability .   11.0 Championship Rank .......     3
 Local Quality Win Rating.145.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   14.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 3 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    8.3
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  2- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    0.2
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  3- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.3
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/