Region = NE 1  West             
   Nickname = A Bears                Coach  =   Andrew D'Ambrosio     

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.3599777    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 405 H Deerfield              NE 1  West    (14- 2, 99.9)     6-20   
 408 A Salisbury School       NE 1  West    (12- 5, 94.9)     1-18   
 410 A Northfield Mt Hermon   NE 1  West    ( 1-13, 73.2)    15- 4   
 412 A Avon Old Farms         NE 1  West-FL (15- 2, 97.1)     6-18   
 415 H Loomis Chaffee         NE 1  West-FL ( 6-12, 84.5)     7- 9   
 419 H Hotchkiss              NE 1  West-FL ( 7- 8, 87.5)     6- 4   
 422 H Kent School            NE 1  West-FL ( 2-13, 78.2)     9- 3   
 426 H Williston Northampton  NE 2  West    (11- 6, 97.8)    13- 4   
 428 H Gunnery School         NE 2  West    (11- 9, 96.2)     7- 5   
 429 A Trinity-Pawling        NE 1  West-FL ( 9- 6, 92.7)     2-15   
 503 H Albany Academy         NE 2  West    ( 4- 9, 92.3)     9- 6   
 505 A Taft School            NE 1  West-FL (11- 6, 92.6)    11-17   
 506 H Choate                 NE 1  West-FL ( 9- 8, 90.1)     4-11   
 510 H Westminster School     NE 1  West-FL ( 5-11, 86.1)     5- 7   
 513 A Wilbraham & Monson     NE 2  West    (10- 4, 98.3)     8- 4   
 515 A Canterbury School      NE 2  West    ( 6-12, 91.0)    17- 3   
 517 A Millbrook School       NE 2  West    ( 9- 7, 97.0)     8- 7  o
 520 H Brunswick School       NE 1  West    (15- 1, 99.0)     5-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   405 H Deerfield               6-20     -14   -12           0.00
   408 A Salisbury School        1-18     -17    -7    -     -2.69
   410 A Northfield Mt Hermon   15- 4      11    14           0.00
   412 A Avon Old Farms          6-18     -12    -9          -0.53
   415 H Loomis Chaffee          7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.08
   419 H Hotchkiss               6- 4       2     0           1.85
   422 H Kent School             9- 3       6     9    -     -3.46
   426 H Williston Northampton  13- 4       9    -9          n/a  
   428 H Gunnery School          7- 5       2    -7          n/a  
   429 A Trinity-Pawling         2-15     -13    -5    --    -4.90
   503 H Albany Academy          9- 6       3    -4          n/a  
   505 A Taft School            11-17      -6    -4          -1.01
   506 H Choate                  4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.48
   510 H Westminster School      5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.50
   513 A Wilbraham & Monson      8- 4       4   -11          n/a  
   515 A Canterbury School      17- 3      14    -3          n/a  
   517 A Millbrook School        8- 7  o    1    -9          n/a  
   520 H Brunswick School        5-13      -8   -11    +      2.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   415 H Loomis Chaffee          7- 9      -2     3    --    -5.08
   429 A Trinity-Pawling         2-15     -13    -5    --    -4.90
   506 H Choate                  4-11      -7    -2    --    -4.48
   408 A Salisbury School        1-18     -17    -7    -     -2.69
   422 H Kent School             9- 3       6     9    -     -3.46
   510 H Westminster School      5- 7      -2     1    -     -3.50

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   426 H Williston Northampton  13- 4       9    -9    +++        
   428 H Gunnery School          7- 5       2    -7    +++        
   503 H Albany Academy          9- 6       3    -4    +++        
   513 A Wilbraham & Monson      8- 4       4   -11    +++        
   515 A Canterbury School      17- 3      14    -3    +++        
   517 A Millbrook School        8- 7  o    1    -9    +++        
   520 H Brunswick School        5-13      -8   -11    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 87.60 Local Power Rank...........     8
 Local SOS Rating......... 81.15 Local SOS Rank.............     3
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    11
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating.-15.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.3
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.8
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -8.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 9 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    2.3
/