Boulder Creek                 5 - 7


 
                                     Region = AZ 1  Div-1            
   Nickname = Z Jaguars              Coach  =   Ben Prepchuk          



 
GAME LIST 


 
 Team Power Rating =   89.4793091    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 225 A Arcadia                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 7- 7, 88.6)     4-10   
 301 H Perry                  AZ 1  Div-1   ( 7- 7, 88.4)     9- 8   
 303 A Chaparral              AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8- 6, 88.6)     6- 9   
 306 H Pinnacle               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 3-11, 82.8)    11- 7   
 315 H Notre Dame Prep        AZ 1  Div-1   (15- 2, 99.9)     6-13   
 331 H Corona del Sol         AZ 1  Div-1   ( 0-14, 72.2)    18- 5   
 405 A Brophy Prep            AZ 1  Div-1   (13- 3, 96.0)     2-13   
 413 H Desert Vista           AZ 1  Div-1   ( 8-12, 87.8)     5-12   
 415 A Salpointe Catholic     AZ 1  Div-1   (12- 4, 93.5)     6-17   
 417 A Gilbert                AZ 1  Div-1   ( 4-12, 84.2)     9- 8   
 420 A Glendale               AZ 1  Div-1   ( 6- 8, 88.6)     4-12   
 422 H Sabino                 AZ 1  Div-1   ( 1-12, 75.5)     1- 0   


 
PREDICTION LIST



 
               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   225 A Arcadia                 4-10      -6    -4          -1.86
   301 H Perry                   9- 8       1    -1    +      2.92
   303 A Chaparral               6- 9      -3    -4           1.08
   306 H Pinnacle               11- 7       4     3           0.29
   315 H Notre Dame Prep         6-13      -7   -13    +      3.00
   331 H Corona del Sol         18- 5      13    14           0.00
   405 A Brophy Prep             2-13     -11   -11           0.00
   413 H Desert Vista            5-12      -7    -1    --    -5.63
   415 A Salpointe Catholic      6-17     -11    -9          -0.97
   417 A Gilbert                 9- 8       1     0           0.73
   420 A Glendale                4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.91


 
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   413 H Desert Vista            5-12      -7    -1    --    -5.63
   420 A Glendale                4-12      -8    -4    -     -3.91


 
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES



 
   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   301 H Perry                   9- 8       1    -1    +      2.92
   315 H Notre Dame Prep         6-13      -7   -13    +      3.00




 
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.49 Local Power Rank...........    14
 Local SOS Rating......... 71.93 Local SOS Rank.............     9
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  5- 7 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -3.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 7 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.0


  
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