Region = VA 1  VIC              
   Nickname = A Barons               Coach  =   John Hetzel           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.8146057    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 310 A St John Paul the Great VA 1  Indep   ( 4-12, 77.0)    13- 4   
 317 H Covenant School        VA 2  VIC     ( 3-10, 89.0)    12-11   
 321 H Woodberry Forest       VA 1  VIP     (10-12, 87.4)    12-18   
 325 N Baylor School          TN 1  East    ( 6-15, 77.7)    18- 2   
 328 H North Cross            VA 2  VIC     (13- 5, 99.9)    16-10   
 403 H Bishop O'Connell       DC    WCAC    (10-10, 90.9)     8-11   
 404 A Fork Union Mil Academy VA 1  Indep   ( 4-11, 72.8)    21- 9   
 407 H Collegiate School      VA 1  VIP     (14- 7, 92.7)     7-12   
 411 A Virginia Episcopal     VA 2  VIC     (10- 6, 99.2)    11-10  o
 420 H Hargrave Military Acad VA 2  VIC     (11- 5, 93.5)    19-10   
 428 A Bishop Sullivan        VA 1  Tidewtr (17- 5, 91.3)    11-13   
 429 A Christchurch           VA 2  Indep   ( 6-11, 88.2)    11- 8   
 504 H Roanoke Catholic       VA 2  VIC     ( 6- 6, 90.1)    13- 8   
 506 A Flint Hill             DC    MAC     (15- 6, 92.1)     7-20   
 508 H Hargrave Military Acad VA 2  VIC     (11- 5, 93.5)    18-17   
 510 H North Cross            VA 2  VIC     (13- 5, 99.9)    16- 8   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 A St John Paul the Great 13- 4       9    13          -1.00
   317 H Covenant School        12-11       1     3          n/a  
   321 H Woodberry Forest       12-18      -6     4    ---  -10.24
   325 N Baylor School          18- 2      16    13          n/a  
   328 H North Cross            16-10       6    -7          n/a  
   403 H Bishop O'Connell        8-11      -3     0          n/a  
   404 A Fork Union Mil Academy 21- 9      12    17           0.00
   407 H Collegiate School       7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.95
   411 A Virginia Episcopal     11-10  o    1    -9          n/a  
   420 H Hargrave Military Acad 19-10       9    -1          n/a  
   428 A Bishop Sullivan        11-13      -2    -1          -0.84
   429 A Christchurch           11- 8       3     1          n/a  
   504 H Roanoke Catholic       13- 8       5     2          n/a  
   506 A Flint Hill              7-20     -13    -2          n/a  
   508 H Hargrave Military Acad 18-17       1    -1          n/a  
   510 H North Cross            16- 8       8    -7          n/a  

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   321 H Woodberry Forest       12-18      -6     4    ---  -10.24
   506 A Flint Hill              7-20     -13    -2    ---        
   317 H Covenant School        12-11       1     3    -          
   403 H Bishop O'Connell        8-11      -3     0    -          
   407 H Collegiate School       7-12      -5    -1    -     -3.95

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 H North Cross            16-10       6    -7    +++        
   411 A Virginia Episcopal     11-10  o    1    -9    +++        
   420 H Hargrave Military Acad 19-10       9    -1    +++        
   510 H North Cross            16- 8       8    -7    +++        
   504 H Roanoke Catholic       13- 8       5     2    +          
   508 H Hargrave Military Acad 18-17       1    -1    +          
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.89 Local Power Rank...........     7
 Local SOS Rating......... 77.23 Local SOS Rank.............     7
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............     8
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     6
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     9
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   13.3 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.6
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -4.3
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  2- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.3
/