Region = MI 1  Reg5-1           
   Nickname = I Black Hawks          Coach  =   Jerry Meter           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.5468750    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 323 A Birmingham             MI 1  Reg6-1  ( 4-13, 77.0)     8- 4   
 325 H Notre Dame Prep        MI 2  Reg16-2 (13- 7, 82.7)     4- 3   
 328 A Rochester Stoney Creek MI 1  Reg5-1  ( 8-10, 76.7)     9- 3   
 330 A University Liggett     MI 2  Reg15-2 ( 9- 6, 79.7)     9- 8  o
 411 A Troy                   MI 1  Reg6-1  (11- 8, 83.3)     6-11   
 413 H OL St Mary's           MI 2  Reg16-2 (12- 8, 84.7)     5- 8   
 418 H Troy Athens            MI 1  Reg6-1  (13- 5, 90.2)    11-18   
 424 A Lansing Waverly        MI 1  Reg2-1  (10- 6, 82.7)     6- 5  o
 427 H Clarkston              MI 1  Reg5-1  (12- 8, 87.3)     5- 4   
 504 H Lake Orion             MI 1  Reg5-1  (14- 5, 86.5)     8-10   
 505 H Midland                MI 1  Reg8-1  (13- 7, 85.1)     7-10   
 509 A Farmington             MI 2  Reg14-2 ( 4-14, 65.7)    15- 1   
 511 A South Lyon Unified     MI 1  Reg2-1  (14- 6, 85.5)     8- 7   
 515 H Grosse Pointe North    MI 2  Reg15-2 (14- 4, 87.4)     6- 5   
 517 H Huron Valley Unified   MI 1  Reg4-1  ( 7- 9, 77.8)    14- 7   
 522 H Rochester HS           MI 1  Reg5-1  ( 7-10, 73.1)    16- 2   
 525 H Clarkston              MI 1  Reg5-1  (12- 8, 87.3)     6-13   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   323 A Birmingham              8- 4       4     5          -1.40
   325 H Notre Dame Prep         4- 3       1     2          -1.63
   328 A Rochester Stoney Creek  9- 3       6     5           0.30
   330 A University Liggett      9- 8  o    1     2          -1.63
   411 A Troy                    6-11      -5     0    --    -4.08
   413 H OL St Mary's            5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.71
   418 H Troy Athens            11-18      -7    -4    -     -2.21
   424 A Lansing Waverly         6- 5  o    1     0           1.33
   427 H Clarkston               5- 4       1    -1    +      2.96
   504 H Lake Orion              8-10      -2    -1          -0.92
   505 H Midland                 7-10      -3     0    -     -3.33
   509 A Farmington             15- 1      14    16           0.00
   511 A South Lyon Unified      8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.18
   515 H Grosse Pointe North     6- 5       1    -1    +      2.97
   517 H Huron Valley Unified   14- 7       7     7          -0.58
   522 H Rochester HS           16- 2      14    12           0.00
   525 H Clarkston               6-13      -7    -1    --    -5.04

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 A Troy                    6-11      -5     0    --    -4.08
   525 H Clarkston               6-13      -7    -1    --    -5.04
   413 H OL St Mary's            5- 8      -3     0    -     -3.71
   418 H Troy Athens            11-18      -7    -4    -     -2.21
   505 H Midland                 7-10      -3     0    -     -3.33

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   511 A South Lyon Unified      8- 7       1    -3    ++     4.18
   427 H Clarkston               5- 4       1    -1    +      2.96
   515 H Grosse Pointe North     6- 5       1    -1    +      2.97
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 83.87 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.36 Local SOS Rank.............    24
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.60 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    23
 Local Quality Win Rating.-35.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    31
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.0
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -7.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/