Region = NY A  Sec 4            
   Nickname = Y Patriots             Coach  =   John Kermidas         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.9070129    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 328 A Cicero-North Syracuse  NY A  Sec 3   ( 6-10, 85.4)     3-18   
 329 H Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 85.3)     5-18   
 331 H Vestal                 NY B  Sec 4   (15- 4, 95.5)     6-18   
 404 A Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (13- 5, 97.1)     5-19   
 407 A Johnson City           NY C  Sec 4   (12- 6, 90.7)     8-17   
 411 H Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (15- 3, 99.9)     4-21   
 413 H Maine-Endwell          NY C  Sec 4   ( 6-11, 83.0)    10-14   
 415 A Corcoran               NY A  Sec 3   ( 8- 9, 85.3)     5-20   
 419 H Horseheads             NY B  Sec 4   ( 9- 8, 89.0)     7-15   
 421 A Owego Free Academy     NY C  Sec 4   ( 3-13, 78.4)    11-16   
 425 A Union-Endicott         NY B  Sec 4   ( 2-14, 76.4)     7- 8   
 426 H Seton Catholic Central NY D  Sec 4   ( 2-14, 67.3)    18- 4   
 428 H Elmira                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 5-11, 80.8)    18-11   
 502 H Corning                NY A  Sec 4   (13- 5, 97.1)     2-17   
 505 A Ithaca                 NY A  Sec 4   (15- 3, 99.9)     3-18   
 512 A Elmira                 NY A  Sec 4   ( 5-11, 80.8)    14- 3   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   328 A Cicero-North Syracuse   3-18     -15    -7          n/a  
   329 H Corcoran                5-18     -13    -6          n/a  
   331 H Vestal                  6-18     -12   -16           0.00
   404 A Corning                 5-19     -14   -19           0.00
   407 A Johnson City            8-17      -9   -12           1.00
   411 H Ithaca                  4-21     -17   -21           0.00
   413 H Maine-Endwell          10-14      -4    -4           0.53
   415 A Corcoran                5-20     -15    -7          n/a  
   419 H Horseheads              7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
   421 A Owego Free Academy     11-16      -5     0    --    -4.50
   425 A Union-Endicott          7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.54
   426 H Seton Catholic Central 18- 4      14    11           0.00
   428 H Elmira                 18-11       7    -2    +++    9.31
   502 H Corning                 2-17     -15   -18           0.00
   505 A Ithaca                  3-18     -15   -21           0.00
   512 A Elmira                 14- 3      11    -2    +++   12.84

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Owego Free Academy     11-16      -5     0    --    -4.50
   328 A Cicero-North Syracuse   3-18     -15    -7    -          
   329 H Corcoran                5-18     -13    -6    -          
   415 A Corcoran                5-20     -15    -7    -          
   425 A Union-Endicott          7- 8      -1     1    -     -2.54

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 H Elmira                 18-11       7    -2    +++    9.31
   512 A Elmira                 14- 3      11    -2    +++   12.84
   419 H Horseheads              7-15      -8   -10    +      2.00
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 78.21 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 72.00 Local SOS Rank.............     5
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.45 Local RPI Rank.............    12
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......     7
 Local Quality Win Rating.-30.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    12
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......   14.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  3-13 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -6.9
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 6 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -13.7
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -11.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/