Conf =  SWCIAC                    Region = CT M                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   John Distler          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   86.2663422    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 401 A Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 7, 87.0)     9-16   
 404 H New Milford            CT L          (11- 9, 73.8)    15- 5   
 407 H Stratford              CT M          ( 8-10, 65.7)    15- 3   
 411 H Weston                 CT M          (15- 5, 82.5)    15- 8   
 413 A Brookfield             CT M          (10- 9, 72.6)    13- 5   
 418 H Wantagh                NY B  Sec 8   ( 9- 6, 89.8)     8-10   
 420 A New Fairfield          CT M          (18- 3, 85.7)     7-11   
 422 H Simsbury               CT L          (11- 9, 80.4)     5-14   
 427 A Bethel                 CT M          ( 4-12, 63.5)    14- 6   
 429 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (14- 8, 80.4)     4-12   
 503 H Newtown                CT L          (11- 9, 79.9)    14-10   
 509 A Pomperaug              CT M          (14- 6, 75.5)    19-10   
 510 A Glastonbury            CT L          (17- 4, 89.6)     5-14   
 511 H Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          (12- 7, 78.6)    13- 7   
 515 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   CT S          ( 3-13, 58.5)    16- 4   
 520 A Guilford               CT M          ( 9- 9, 78.2)    11-12  o
 523 H Weston                 CT M          (15- 5, 82.5)    11- 7   
 525 N New Fairfield          CT M          (18- 3, 85.7)     8- 9  o
 527 H East Lyme              CT M          (11- 8, 73.6)    16- 5   
 531 A New Fairfield          CT M          (18- 3, 85.7)     4-11   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   401 A Bay Shore               9-16      -7    -7          n/a  
   404 H New Milford            15- 5      10     6    +      3.63
   407 H Stratford              15- 3      12    14           0.00
   411 H Weston                 15- 8       7    -2    +++    9.35
   413 A Brookfield             13- 5       8     6           1.77
   418 H Wantagh                 8-10      -2    -9          n/a  
   420 A New Fairfield           7-11      -4    -6    +      2.85
   422 H Simsbury                5-14      -9     0    ---   -8.74
   427 A Bethel                 14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00
   429 H Daniel Hand-Madison     4-12      -8     0    ---   -7.69
   503 H Newtown                14-10       4     0    +      3.73
   509 A Pomperaug              19-10       9     3    ++     5.64
   510 A Glastonbury             5-14      -9   -10           1.00
   511 H Notre Dame-West Haven  13- 7       6     1    ++     4.46
   515 A Notre Dame-Fairfield   16- 4      12    20           0.00
   520 A Guilford               11-12  o   -1     0          -1.70
   523 H Weston                 11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.35
   525 N New Fairfield           8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.22
   527 H East Lyme              16- 5      11     6    +      3.51
   531 A New Fairfield           4-11      -7    -6          -0.15

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   422 H Simsbury                5-14      -9     0    ---   -8.74
   429 H Daniel Hand-Madison     4-12      -8     0    ---   -7.69
   427 A Bethel                 14- 6       8    15    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   411 H Weston                 15- 8       7    -2    +++    9.35
   418 H Wantagh                 8-10      -2    -9    +++        
   523 H Weston                 11- 7       4    -2    +++    6.35
   509 A Pomperaug              19-10       9     3    ++     5.64
   511 H Notre Dame-West Haven  13- 7       6     1    ++     4.46
   525 N New Fairfield           8- 9  o   -1    -6    ++     5.22
   404 H New Milford            15- 5      10     6    +      3.63
   420 A New Fairfield           7-11      -4    -6    +      2.85
   503 H Newtown                14-10       4     0    +      3.73
   527 H East Lyme              16- 5      11     6    +      3.51
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.50 Local Power Rank...........    19
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.67 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.61 Local RPI Rank.............    14
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    43
 Local Quality Win Rating. -5.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    19
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.9
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 11- 9 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    2.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -9.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.2
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  4- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/