Conf =  4A                        Region = NC    Conf-03          
   Nickname = C Jaguars              Coach  =   Tom Wetherby          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   88.3425751    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 228 A Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (15- 5, 89.3)    11-12   
 303 H Fuquay-Varina          NC    Conf-03 ( 1-16, 68.0)    17- 2   
 307 A Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (22- 0, 99.9)     6-14   
 310 H Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-10, 78.4)    10-11   
 316 H Cary HS                NC    Conf-03 ( 4-13, 72.3)    14- 6   
 317 H Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-10, 85.9)    10- 9  o
 321 A Friendship             NC    Conf-03 ( 4-13, 74.3)    14- 7   
 322 H Durham Jordan          NC    Conf-05 (14- 5, 83.1)    13-14  o
 324 A Green Hope             NC    Conf-03 (14- 5, 88.7)     4-12   
 328 H Apex                   NC    Conf-03 (15- 5, 89.3)     3-15   
 330 A Panther Creek          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-10, 78.4)    13-10   
 331 A Fuquay-Varina          NC    Conf-03 ( 1-16, 68.0)    17- 5   
 404 H Middle Creek           NC    Conf-03 (22- 0, 99.9)     3-19   
 418 A Cary HS                NC    Conf-03 ( 4-13, 72.3)    11- 7   
 421 A Holly Springs          NC    Conf-03 ( 9-10, 85.9)     6-12   
 427 H Friendship             NC    Conf-03 ( 4-13, 74.3)    16-10   
 428 H Green Hope             NC    Conf-03 (14- 5, 88.7)     8-11   
 503 A East Chapel Hill       NC    Conf-05 (10- 6, 79.3)    17-11   
 505 A Wilmington Hoggard     NC    Conf-01 (18- 2, 91.2)    13-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Apex                   11-12      -1    -8    +++    7.17
   303 H Fuquay-Varina          17- 2      15    14           0.00
   307 A Middle Creek            6-14      -8   -18    +      2.00
   310 H Panther Creek          10-11      -1     4    --    -5.23
   316 H Cary HS                14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   317 H Holly Springs          10- 9  o    1    -3    ++     4.27
   321 A Friendship             14- 7       7     6           0.19
   322 H Durham Jordan          13-14  o   -1     0          -0.45
   324 A Green Hope              4-12      -8    -7          -0.39
   328 H Apex                    3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.33
   330 A Panther Creek          13-10       3     2           0.27
   331 A Fuquay-Varina          17- 5      12    13           0.00
   404 H Middle Creek            3-19     -16   -17           0.00
   418 A Cary HS                11- 7       4     8    --    -4.81
   421 A Holly Springs           6-12      -6    -4          -1.24
   427 H Friendship             16-10       6     8    -     -2.30
   428 H Green Hope              8-11      -3    -6    +      3.11
   503 A East Chapel Hill       17-11       6     1    ++     4.25
   505 A Wilmington Hoggard     13-18      -5   -10    ++     5.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   310 H Panther Creek          10-11      -1     4    --    -5.23
   418 A Cary HS                11- 7       4     8    --    -4.81
   316 H Cary HS                14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   328 H Apex                    3-15     -12    -6    -     -3.33
   427 H Friendship             16-10       6     8    -     -2.30

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   228 A Apex                   11-12      -1    -8    +++    7.17
   317 H Holly Springs          10- 9  o    1    -3    ++     4.27
   503 A East Chapel Hill       17-11       6     1    ++     4.25
   505 A Wilmington Hoggard     13-18      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   307 A Middle Creek            6-14      -8   -18    +      2.00
   428 H Green Hope              8-11      -3    -6    +      3.11
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 81.84 Local Power Rank...........    27
 Local SOS Rating......... 63.27 Local SOS Rank.............    13
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.53 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    12
 Local Quality Win Rating.-70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    36
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.8 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.8
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  9-10 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -12.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.7
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 8 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -6.4
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -0.7
/