Conf =  Sec5                      Region = MN 1  NoWest           
   Nickname = N Falcons              Coach  =   Luke Gellerman        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   89.0888290    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 421 A Centennial             MN 1  NoWest  ( 6- 9, 77.6)    10- 8   
 424 H Blaine                 MN 1  NoWest  (12- 5, 83.0)     5- 1   
 501 H Champlin Park          MN 1  NoWest  ( 4-10, 71.4)     8- 2   
 503 A Irondale               MN 1  NoWest  ( 8- 7, 79.8)     9- 1   
 508 H Elk River              MN 1  NoWest  ( 9- 7, 80.9)     9- 3   
 510 A Osseo-Park Center      MN 1  NoWest  ( 7- 9, 77.4)     4- 5 4o
 512 A Eden Prairie           MN 1  Lake    (17- 2, 94.3)     3- 7   
 515 H Maple Grove            MN 1  NoWest  (15- 1, 92.1)     6- 7   
 517 A Totino Grace           MN 1  NoWest  ( 2-11, 67.5)    10- 3   
 522 H Spring Lake Park       MN 1  NoWest  ( 5-11, 72.5)    14- 1   
 523 A Coon Rapids            MN 1  NoWest  ( 0-15, 60.3)    17- 0   
 524 H Andover                MN 1  NoWest  ( 9- 7, 79.5)     9- 4   
 531 H Breck                  MN 1  IMAC    ( 3-10, 68.8)    13- 1   
 605 A Blake                  MN 1  IMAC    ( 9- 7, 85.7)     8- 9  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   421 A Centennial             10- 8       2     7    --    -5.06
   424 H Blaine                  5- 1       4     3           0.38
   501 H Champlin Park           8- 2       6    15    --    -4.00
   503 A Irondale                9- 1       8     4    +      3.14
   508 H Elk River               9- 3       6     5           0.25
   510 A Osseo-Park Center       4- 5 4o   -1     7    ---   -8.29
   512 A Eden Prairie            3- 7      -4    -9    ++     5.63
   515 H Maple Grove             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.47
   517 A Totino Grace           10- 3       7    17    -     -3.00
   522 H Spring Lake Park       14- 1      13    14           0.00
   523 A Coon Rapids            17- 0      17    24           0.00
   524 H Andover                 9- 4       5     7    -     -2.16
   531 H Breck                  13- 1      12    17           0.00
   605 A Blake                   8- 9  o   -1     0          -0.03

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   510 A Osseo-Park Center       4- 5 4o   -1     7    ---   -8.29
   421 A Centennial             10- 8       2     7    --    -5.06
   501 H Champlin Park           8- 2       6    15    --    -4.00
   517 A Totino Grace           10- 3       7    17    -     -3.00
   524 H Andover                 9- 4       5     7    -     -2.16

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   512 A Eden Prairie            3- 7      -4    -9    ++     5.63
   515 H Maple Grove             6- 7      -1    -5    ++     4.47
   503 A Irondale                9- 1       8     4    +      3.14
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 85.66 Local Power Rank...........    22
 Local SOS Rating......... 54.93 Local SOS Rank.............    53
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.55 Local RPI Rank.............    24
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    17
 Local Quality Win Rating.-20.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    8.9 Ave Defensive Goals ......    3.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 10- 4 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -2.5
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.3
/