Conf =  Sec3                      Region = MN 1  SoSub            
   Nickname = N Lightning            Coach  =   Tim Roche             

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   97.4056244    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 420 A Rochester Century      MN 1  Big9    ( 6- 8, 77.7)    13- 1   
 425 H Lakeville North        MN 1  SoSub   ( 9- 9, 89.3)    11- 4   
 427 H Rosemount              MN 1  SoSub   (11- 4, 91.2)     7- 6   
 429 H Bloom Jefferson        MN 1  MetWest ( 8- 7, 84.1)    10- 7   
 502 A Burnsville             MN 1  SoSub   ( 3-12, 79.1)    11- 5   
 504 A Lakeville South        MN 1  SoSub   ( 7- 9, 84.8)    13- 7   
 506 H Academy Holy Angels    MN 1  Indep   ( 5- 9, 83.1)    11- 6   
 509 A Apple Valley           MN 1  SoSub   ( 2-11, 78.1)    11- 3   
 511 H Farmington             MN 1  SoSub   ( 7- 8, 82.8)    14- 5   
 513 H Minnetonka             MN 1  Lake    ( 9- 7, 88.5)    13- 7   
 516 A Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   (14- 5, 93.0)    10- 5   
 518 H Eagan                  MN 1  SoSub   (18- 1, 99.9)    12- 7   
 523 A Shakopee               MN 1  SoSub   ( 9- 6, 85.6)    12- 5   
 602 H Burnsville             MN 1  SoSub   ( 3-12, 79.1)    16- 5   
 606 N Edina                  MN 1  Lake    ( 6- 9, 84.8)    11- 4   
 608 N Prior Lake             MN 1  SoSub   (14- 5, 93.0)     5- 6   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   420 A Rochester Century      13- 1      12    17           0.00
   425 H Lakeville North        11- 4       7     7          -0.98
   427 H Rosemount               7- 6       1     6    --    -5.10
   429 H Bloom Jefferson        10- 7       3    13    ---   -7.00
   502 A Burnsville             11- 5       6    16    --    -4.00
   504 A Lakeville South        13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   506 H Academy Holy Angels    11- 6       5    14    --    -5.00
   509 A Apple Valley           11- 3       8    17    -     -2.00
   511 H Farmington             14- 5       9    14          -1.00
   513 H Minnetonka             13- 7       6     8    -     -2.85
   516 A Prior Lake             10- 5       5     2    +      2.64
   518 H Eagan                  12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.58
   523 A Shakopee               12- 5       7     9    -     -2.79
   602 H Burnsville             16- 5      11    18           0.00
   606 N Edina                  11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00
   608 N Prior Lake              5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.32

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   429 H Bloom Jefferson        10- 7       3    13    ---   -7.00
   427 H Rosemount               7- 6       1     6    --    -5.10
   502 A Burnsville             11- 5       6    16    --    -4.00
   504 A Lakeville South        13- 7       6    10    --    -4.00
   506 H Academy Holy Angels    11- 6       5    14    --    -5.00
   608 N Prior Lake              5- 6      -1     3    --    -4.32
   509 A Apple Valley           11- 3       8    17    -     -2.00
   513 H Minnetonka             13- 7       6     8    -     -2.85
   523 A Shakopee               12- 5       7     9    -     -2.79
   606 N Edina                  11- 4       7    11    -     -3.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   518 H Eagan                  12- 7       5    -2    +++    7.58
   516 A Prior Lake             10- 5       5     2    +      2.64
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 96.36 Local Power Rank...........     2
 Local SOS Rating......... 69.01 Local SOS Rank.............    11
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.65 Local RPI Rank.............     5
 Championship Probability .   12.0 Championship Rank .......     2
 Local Quality Win Rating.155.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....     3
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.2 Ave Defensive Goals ......    5.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 15- 1 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    6.1
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....    5.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....    3.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  5- 1 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    3.8
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    5.7
/