Conf =  Merrimack                 Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Golden Warrior       Coach  =   Wayne Puglisi         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   91.2622833    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Acton Boxborough       MA 1  North   (16- 5, 90.1)    10- 4   
 409 A Methuen                MA 1  North   ( 8-12, 68.3)    16- 1   
 411 A Haverhill              MA 1  North   ( 5-14, 68.5)    17- 2   
 413 H Dracut                 MA 2  North   ( 5-15, 70.7)    13- 2   
 418 N Hingham                MA 2  South   (23- 3, 96.3)     4-13   
 420 N Concord Carlisle       MA 2  CenEast (13- 9, 84.5)     6- 4   
 422 N Wellesley              MA 1  South   (14- 6, 86.7)    14-11   
 425 A Billerica              MA 1  North   (13-10, 84.8)    13- 9   
 427 H Lowell                 MA 1  North   ( 8-12, 72.7)    12- 8   
 428 A Central Catholic       MA 1  North   (11- 9, 79.4)    15- 3   
 501 H Tewksbury Memorial     MA 2  North   ( 3-15, 68.1)    18- 5   
 503 A Reading                MA 1  North   (16- 4, 90.5)     7- 8   
 506 H Haverhill              MA 1  North   ( 5-14, 68.5)    19- 2   
 508 H Central Catholic       MA 1  North   (11- 9, 79.4)     9- 5   
 510 A Chelmsford             MA 1  North   (14- 5, 86.4)     9- 8   
 512 A North Andover          MA 1  North   (13- 6, 87.1)     5- 4   
 515 A Lowell                 MA 1  North   ( 8-12, 72.7)    19- 5   
 518 H Pinkerton Academy      NH 1          (19- 2, 98.3)     7- 8   
 520 H Methuen                MA 1  North   ( 8-12, 68.3)    18- 2   
 524 H Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1  North   (19- 1, 99.9)     5-17   
 603 H Waltham                MA 1  North   (12- 6, 85.4)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Acton Boxborough       10- 4       6    -2    +++    8.09
   409 A Methuen                16- 1      15    19           0.00
   411 A Haverhill              17- 2      15    19           0.00
   413 H Dracut                 13- 2      11    18           0.00
   418 N Hingham                 4-13      -9    -7          -1.30
   420 N Concord Carlisle        6- 4       2     4    -     -2.12
   422 N Wellesley              14-11       3     1           1.09
   425 A Billerica              13- 9       4     3           0.80
   427 H Lowell                 12- 8       4    16    ---   -6.00
   428 A Central Catholic       15- 3      12     8           1.40
   501 H Tewksbury Memorial     18- 5      13    21           0.00
   503 A Reading                 7- 8      -1    -2           1.46
   506 H Haverhill              19- 2      17    20           0.00
   508 H Central Catholic        9- 5       4     9    --    -5.88
   510 A Chelmsford              9- 8       1     1          -0.58
   512 A North Andover           5- 4       1     0           0.07
   515 A Lowell                 19- 5      14    15           0.00
   518 H Pinkerton Academy       7- 8      -1    -9          n/a  
   520 H Methuen                18- 2      16    21           0.00
   524 H Lincoln-Sudbury         5-17     -12   -10           0.00
   603 H Waltham                 9-10      -1     3    --    -4.91

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   427 H Lowell                 12- 8       4    16    ---   -6.00
   508 H Central Catholic        9- 5       4     9    --    -5.88
   603 H Waltham                 9-10      -1     3    --    -4.91
   420 N Concord Carlisle        6- 4       2     4    -     -2.12

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Acton Boxborough       10- 4       6    -2    +++    8.09
   518 H Pinkerton Academy       7- 8      -1    -9    +++        
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 88.63 Local Power Rank...........    18
 Local SOS Rating......... 61.36 Local SOS Rank.............    27
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    19
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    18
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    17
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.7 Ave Defensive Goals ......    6.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    5.4
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 3 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.0
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    1.0
/