Conf =  Dual County               Region = MA 1  North            
   Nickname = A Colonials            Coach  =   Pat Ammendolia        

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   92.9867630    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 H Andover HS             MA 1  North   (16- 5, 88.6)     4-10   
 408 A Melrose                MA 2  North   (12- 8, 85.0)    13- 8   
 411 A Marshfield             MA 1  South   (13- 7, 86.5)    10- 8   
 415 N Concord Carlisle       MA 2  CenEast (13- 9, 84.5)    13- 8   
 418 H Newton South           MA 1  South   (11- 7, 78.5)    20- 5   
 420 A Brookline              MA 1  South   (10- 9, 79.1)     7- 4   
 422 A Wakefield              MA 2  North   (20- 1, 94.7)     5-15   
 428 A Weston                 MA 3  CenEast ( 4-10, 72.6)    13- 2   
 430 H Algonquin              MA 2  CenWest ( 9-11, 82.1)    12- 8   
 502 H Waltham                MA 1  North   (12- 6, 85.4)    16-10   
 504 H Wayland                MA 2  CenEast (13- 6, 86.1)    15- 6   
 506 H Reading                MA 1  North   (16- 4, 90.5)     9- 8   
 509 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1  North   (19- 1, 99.9)     3-13   
 515 A Westford Academy       MA 1  North   ( 6-12, 77.4)    14- 7   
 518 H Concord Carlisle       MA 2  CenEast (13- 9, 84.5)    14- 4   
 520 H Framingham             MA 1  South   ( 6-13, 76.4)    15- 7   
 523 A Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   ( 9-11, 83.6)     8- 7  o
 525 A Needham                MA 1  South   (18- 4, 92.0)    12-13  o
 603 H Central Catholic       MA 1  North   (11- 9, 79.4)    17- 3   
 607 H Waltham                MA 1  North   (12- 6, 85.4)     7- 6   
 614 N Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1  North   (19- 1, 99.9)     7- 9   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Andover HS              4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.09
   408 A Melrose                13- 8       5     4           0.59
   411 A Marshfield             10- 8       2     2          -0.97
   415 N Concord Carlisle       13- 8       5     5          -0.58
   418 H Newton South           20- 5      15    12           0.00
   420 A Brookline               7- 4       3    10    ---   -7.00
   422 A Wakefield               5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.74
   428 A Weston                 13- 2      11    16           0.00
   430 H Algonquin              12- 8       4     8    --    -4.66
   502 H Waltham                16-10       6     5           0.63
   504 H Wayland                15- 6       9     4    ++     4.42
   506 H Reading                 9- 8       1     0           0.73
   509 A Lincoln-Sudbury         3-13     -10   -10           0.00
   515 A Westford Academy       14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00
   518 H Concord Carlisle       14- 4      10     6    +      3.78
   520 H Framingham             15- 7       8    14    -     -2.00
   523 A Catholic Memorial       8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.89
   525 A Needham                12-13  o   -1    -2           1.60
   603 H Central Catholic       17- 3      14    11           0.00
   607 H Waltham                 7- 6       1     5    --    -4.37
   614 N Lincoln-Sudbury         7- 9      -2    -9    +++    7.81

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 H Andover HS              4-10      -6     2    ---   -8.09
   420 A Brookline               7- 4       3    10    ---   -7.00
   422 A Wakefield               5-15     -10    -5    --    -4.74
   430 H Algonquin              12- 8       4     8    --    -4.66
   523 A Catholic Memorial       8- 7  o    1     5    --    -4.89
   607 H Waltham                 7- 6       1     5    --    -4.37
   515 A Westford Academy       14- 7       7    12    -     -3.00
   520 H Framingham             15- 7       8    14    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   614 N Lincoln-Sudbury         7- 9      -2    -9    +++    7.81
   504 H Wayland                15- 6       9     4    ++     4.42
   518 H Concord Carlisle       14- 4      10     6    +      3.78
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.09 Local Power Rank...........    16
 Local SOS Rating......... 68.12 Local SOS Rank.............     8
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    1.0 Championship Rank .......     9
 Local Quality Win Rating. 40.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.1 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.7
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 16- 5 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.5
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 3 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -7.3
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -5.8
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -4.7
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.3
/