2016 boys North Carolina NCHSAA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 NorthWest Guilfo 4A 23 1 2 34 2 3 3 1 7 12.00 2 Cardinal Gibbons 3A 19 3 1 2 4 1 10 2 13 26.00 3 Lake Norman 4A 17 7 7 1 1 2 15 3 20 11.00 4 Mount Tabor 4A 16 5 16 35 14 9 1 10 20 2.00 5 Weddington 3A 16 2 5 23 6 10 12 5 27 3.00 6 Marvin Ridge 3A 14 7 9 4 11 7 8 13 28 2.00 7 Leesville Road 4A 14 5 13 27 17 15 2 16 33 3.00 8 Middle Creek 4A 16 4 6 22 9 18 9 11 38 7.00 9 Northern Guilfor 3A 16 5 22 54 20 14 5 19 38 0.10 10 Broughton 4A 17 1 11 45 7 12 19 8 39 1.00 11 Holly Springs 4A 14 5 8 14 12 16 6 20 42 6.00 12 Greensboro Page 4A 17 3 17 50 19 11 23 9 43 0.10 13 Green Hope 4A 13 5 10 16 16 19 11 17 47 4.00 14 Community-Davids 1A 13 5 14 5 10 8 28 14 50 2.00 15 Wilmington Hogga 4A 18 3 12 36 8 5 41 6 52 1.00 16 East Forsyth 4A 11 8 30 41 35 23 4 31 58 0.10 17 Cedar Ridge 3A 15 4 27 57 25 17 24 23 64 0.10 18 Jacksonville 3A 15 4 46 86 26 24 22 25 71 0.10 19 Apex 4A 17 2 3 10 5 6 59 7 72 8.00 20 SouthWest Guilfo 4A 15 7 31 60 32 28 16 28 72 0.10 21 Carrboro 2A 15 2 20 71 13 21 40 12 73 0.10 22 Charlotte Cathol 4A 20 2 4 7 3 4 67 4 75 5.00 23 Wakefield 4A 12 6 19 39 28 29 17 30 76 0.10 24 R.J. Reynolds 4A 12 8 25 31 34 20 31 26 77 0.10 25 East Chapel Hill 4A 11 6 24 21 21 13 43 22 78 0.10 26 Millbrook 4A 12 7 28 44 30 35 14 34 83 0.10 27 Eastern Alamance 3A 14 8 41 68 50 31 21 36 88 0.10 28 Hough 4A 11 7 21 19 27 33 25 32 90 0.10 29 Butler 4A 9 9 33 13 33 39 13 40 92 0.10 30 Northside 2A 13 3 44 95 22 27 42 24 93 0.10 31 Wilmington New H 4A 10 7 26 53 37 34 29 33 96 0.10 32 Reagan 4A 11 8 35 40 31 25 47 27 99 0.10 33 Wilmington Laney 4A 11 5 29 56 24 30 48 21 99 0.10 34 Chapel Hill 3A 11 10 34 30 46 26 37 42 105 0.10 35 Myers Park 4A 12 9 18 6 18 22 65 18 105 5.00 36 Durham Jordan 4A 5 14 48 9 62 40 7 67 114 0.10 37 Greensboro Grims 4A 8 10 54 52 67 42 18 54 114 0.10 38 W.G. Enloe 4A 9 9 36 38 53 44 20 51 115 0.10 39 West Forsyth 4A 10 7 49 67 45 43 39 41 123 0.10 40 St. Stephen's 3A 14 2 32 81 15 36 75 15 126 0.10 41 Lake Norman Char 2A 4 11 50 3 36 37 53 37 127 0.10 42 Heritage 4A 9 9 37 47 52 48 30 52 130 0.10 43 Ardrey Kell 4A 12 7 15 17 23 32 71 29 132 2.00 44 J.M. Robinson 3A 5 9 40 11 44 52 33 50 135 0.10 45 Western Guilford 3A 6 10 62 51 61 53 27 58 138 0.10 46 New Bern 4A 9 6 55 94 42 46 54 46 146 0.10 47 Panther Creek 4A 6 11 45 28 54 57 26 66 149 0.10 48 Hillsborough Ora 3A 8 8 52 78 57 54 44 53 151 0.10 49 Athens Drive 4A 9 9 23 8 29 38 72 44 154 0.10 50 Pinecrest 4A 5 10 51 15 51 56 34 64 154 0.10 51 Durham Riverside 4A 3 12 59 12 63 41 56 59 156 0.10 52 W.M. Williams 3A 6 6 53 69 43 50 68 39 157 0.10 53 Bishop McGuinnes 1A 9 7 56 75 47 51 66 47 164 0.10 54 Cary HS 4A 5 11 57 26 55 64 36 69 169 0.10 55 Wilmington Ashle 4A 9 9 43 49 38 45 89 35 169 0.10 56 Sanderson 4A 5 9 58 46 59 59 51 62 172 0.10 57 Mooresville 4A 10 7 42 65 40 58 73 45 176 0.10 58 Northwood 3A 11 6 39 74 41 49 90 38 177 0.10 59 Croatan 3A 11 7 60 91 48 47 84 49 180 0.10 60 Cuthbertson 3A 8 10 38 33 49 55 78 48 181 0.10 61 Topsail 3A 6 9 61 62 66 61 64 57 182 0.10 62 First Flight 2A 5 10 76 88 77 63 45 75 183 0.10 63 Southern Alamanc 4A 7 9 72 79 68 62 60 63 185 0.10 64 J.H. Rose 4A 6 10 73 89 78 65 52 76 193 0.10 65 Garner 4A 2 14 77 42 90 74 32 90 196 0.10 66 Hickory 3A 6 7 75 92 39 60 95 43 198 0.10 67 Fuquay-Varina 4A 4 12 63 32 64 72 49 78 199 0.10 68 R.B. Glenn 4A 7 11 74 80 76 68 58 74 200 0.10 69 Wake Forest 4A 1 13 83 37 89 79 38 89 206 0.10 70 Havelock 3A 4 13 80 90 91 73 46 91 210 0.10 71 High Point Centr 4A 2 15 92 61 94 80 35 95 210 0.10 72 Davie 4A 5 12 70 59 85 66 63 82 211 0.10 73 Watauga 4A 4 8 78 77 56 71 86 55 212 0.10 74 Rolesville 4A 2 13 81 43 87 76 50 88 214 0.10 75 Independence 4A 2 12 64 20 75 78 57 80 215 0.10 76 West Stokes 2A 8 10 68 76 60 67 93 56 216 0.10 77 Western Alamance 3A 3 12 82 70 84 77 62 81 220 0.10 78 Northern Durham 4A 5 10 66 66 65 82 81 60 223 0.10 79 Providence HS 4A 1 13 65 18 80 83 55 87 225 0.10 80 Sun Valley 3A 1 11 79 25 73 87 69 72 228 0.10 81 South Brunswick 3A 2 15 87 63 82 75 77 79 231 0.10 82 Ragsdale-Jamesto 4A 5 13 69 64 83 70 79 84 233 0.10 83 Northern Vance 3A 3 11 84 83 69 84 85 65 234 0.10 84 South Mecklenbur 4A 7 12 47 29 70 69 94 71 234 0.10 85 Friendship 4A 1 14 67 24 81 85 61 92 238 0.10 86 Roxboro Communit 1A 2 10 86 58 74 81 87 70 238 0.10 87 Asheboro 3A 5 11 85 93 79 89 76 77 242 0.10 88 Patton-Morganton 3A 2 11 89 82 58 93 91 61 245 0.10 89 West Brunswick 3A 0 14 94 55 86 86 80 83 249 0.10 90 Freedom-Morganto 3A 0 8 96 96 71 96 92 68 256 0.10 91 West Carteret 3A 0 15 95 87 96 91 70 96 257 0.10 92 Porter Ridge 4A 3 14 71 48 72 90 96 73 259 0.10 93 Eastern Guilford 3A 2 15 91 85 92 92 82 86 260 0.10 94 Atkins 1A 0 17 93 73 95 94 74 93 261 0.10 95 J.F. Webb 3A 1 15 90 72 93 88 83 94 265 0.10 96 SouthEast Guilfo 4A 1 14 88 84 88 95 88 85 268 0.10