2016 boys Maryland MPSSAA 4321
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWFbased on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%) Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Hereford 17 2 5 18 3 3 1 3 7 3.00 2 Severna Park 17 2 1 2 1 1 8 1 10 51.00 3 Broadneck 15 2 2 7 2 6 10 5 21 12.00 4 Liberty 19 1 9 30 4 10 6 6 22 0.10 5 Wootton 11 5 23 27 22 7 5 16 28 0.10 6 City-Baltimore 12 2 75 130 16 13 11 14 38 0.10 7 Northern/Calv Ct 16 2 11 56 6 5 30 7 42 0.10 8 Walter Johnson 10 4 40 58 38 20 7 18 45 0.10 9 Huntingtown 13 4 35 89 29 23 4 19 46 0.10 10 Howard 14 5 8 5 9 9 23 17 49 4.00 11 Linganore 19 1 4 34 5 4 44 2 50 1.00 12 Churchill 16 2 3 29 7 2 50 4 56 5.00 13 Damascus 11 5 31 62 28 19 26 25 70 0.10 14 Urbana 11 6 34 49 48 33 3 34 70 0.10 15 Fallston 15 5 7 22 11 8 54 9 71 4.00 16 Oakdale 13 3 15 32 14 12 52 8 72 0.10 17 Kent Island 14 4 6 40 10 14 49 10 73 6.00 18 Towson 10 4 13 14 26 15 37 23 75 0.10 19 La Plata 9 5 42 76 45 36 9 33 78 0.10 20 Century 12 5 18 35 33 34 15 31 80 0.10 21 Harford Tech 13 2 24 71 15 24 43 15 82 0.10 22 South Carroll 9 7 38 16 41 37 2 48 87 0.10 23 Dunbar 11 3 90 142 34 31 32 28 91 0.10 24 Sparrows Point 12 3 46 104 20 30 41 21 92 0.10 25 Annapolis 13 4 10 11 8 11 77 12 100 11.00 26 Bel Air 12 7 21 9 24 17 57 27 101 0.10 27 Sherwood 9 6 50 45 63 26 20 56 102 0.10 28 South River 10 7 20 8 23 21 42 39 102 0.10 29 Glenelg HS 6 9 25 1 47 25 14 66 105 0.10 30 Middletown 9 6 32 46 40 48 13 44 105 0.10 31 Southern AA 12 6 22 33 31 27 39 42 108 0.10 32 Westminster 10 6 12 12 21 18 67 24 109 2.00 33 Mount Hebron 13 6 16 4 19 16 63 32 111 1.00 34 Douglass 9 4 102 138 43 46 28 41 115 0.10 35 Franklin 8 9 41 20 69 44 19 61 124 0.10 36 Arundel 7 9 33 6 54 39 17 69 125 0.10 37 River Hill 13 4 14 36 13 22 90 13 125 0.10 38 CM Wright 12 6 17 24 39 32 56 40 128 0.10 39 Leonardtown 9 6 55 81 53 51 27 53 131 0.10 40 Magruder 11 6 57 101 56 54 31 47 132 0.10 41 Merganthaler-Mer 8 5 92 132 62 49 34 51 134 0.10 42 Whitman 9 7 48 52 58 28 66 43 137 0.10 43 North Harford 8 8 27 15 51 45 33 62 140 0.10 44 Bowie 8 4 66 85 32 29 83 30 142 0.10 45 Dulaney 9 8 26 23 44 40 53 50 143 0.10 46 Chesapeake-AA 12 5 19 17 18 35 80 35 150 0.10 47 Marriotts Ridge 7 10 30 3 65 47 21 91 159 0.10 48 Perry Hall 5 6 39 28 67 55 45 63 163 0.10 49 Carver VoTech 5 7 130 137 104 58 25 96 179 0.10 50 Oxon Hill 5 4 89 103 36 52 91 36 179 0.10 51 Pikesville 12 4 72 108 37 42 102 37 181 0.10 52 Eleanor Roosevel 8 2 76 141 27 43 113 29 185 0.10 53 Blake 8 8 79 91 82 73 36 80 189 0.10 54 Springbrook 6 7 80 79 92 69 38 84 191 0.10 55 Havre De Grace 8 8 44 41 73 53 59 81 193 0.10 56 Kenwood 8 5 94 116 59 62 76 57 195 0.10 57 Eastern Tech 5 9 81 55 118 70 16 110 196 0.10 58 Tuscarora 8 8 71 60 78 64 62 72 198 0.10 59 Winters Mill 6 8 43 19 93 68 29 105 202 0.10 60 Quince Orchard 9 8 59 70 87 57 75 74 206 0.10 61 Centennial 6 9 47 26 91 75 24 109 208 0.10 62 Dundalk 8 5 99 117 61 67 82 59 208 0.10 63 Poolesville 11 5 37 68 30 38 150 20 208 0.10 64 Edmondson 9 2 97 152 25 56 133 22 211 0.10 65 Easton 11 5 29 37 17 41 146 26 213 0.10 66 Rising Sun 11 3 28 90 35 50 126 38 214 0.10 67 Loch Raven 4 11 108 53 132 65 18 132 215 0.10 68 Patterson Mill 5 10 64 25 121 72 22 122 216 0.10 69 Catonsville 6 9 58 31 94 61 60 97 218 0.10 70 BDJ/Civitas 7 5 131 146 64 77 88 60 225 0.10 71 Wise 5 3 115 133 42 63 117 45 225 0.10 72 Bethesda/Chevy C 6 8 87 87 88 85 68 73 226 0.10 73 Boonsboro 13 2 45 106 12 60 157 11 228 0.10 74 NorthEast AA 5 11 52 10 106 74 35 121 230 0.10 75 North East Cecil 6 8 65 54 101 78 47 107 232 0.10 76 Chopticon 7 6 73 83 50 59 129 46 234 0.10 77 Lansdowne 6 8 117 114 108 89 40 106 235 0.10 78 Parkville 7 6 105 119 80 80 81 78 239 0.10 79 Queen Annes Coun 7 8 56 57 97 88 48 104 240 0.10 80 Walkersville 3 11 91 50 141 95 12 134 241 0.10 81 Clarksburg 6 7 98 99 99 87 70 86 243 0.10 82 Perryville 10 5 69 100 60 76 109 58 243 0.10 83 Old Mill 4 11 60 13 96 82 51 111 244 0.10 84 Patuxent 7 7 113 88 76 79 97 68 244 0.10 85 Atholton 8 7 36 42 68 83 85 79 247 0.10 86 Parkside 7 7 61 44 46 71 123 54 248 0.10 87 Cambridge SD 7 9 62 39 55 66 119 64 249 0.10 88 Owings Mills 8 6 111 139 75 92 87 76 255 0.10 89 North Carroll 3 12 63 21 122 84 55 124 263 0.10 90 Rockville 7 8 82 92 116 86 69 108 263 0.10 91 Calvert 8 8 85 86 89 91 106 70 267 0.10 92 JM Bennett 6 7 67 63 74 96 99 82 277 0.10 93 Richard Montgome 4 10 110 94 133 108 46 123 277 0.10 94 Douglass-PG 0 5 145 115 83 119 72 87 278 0.10 95 NorthWest 7 7 95 105 85 101 94 83 278 0.10 96 Brunswick 5 8 84 67 110 102 79 98 279 0.10 97 Oakland Mills 8 7 68 69 86 94 92 94 280 0.10 98 KASA 0 5 104 143 84 121 73 88 282 0.10 99 Paint Branch 9 6 88 120 72 105 114 71 290 0.10 100 Blair 7 8 101 113 112 104 86 101 291 0.10 101 North Point 5 7 127 112 102 107 93 92 292 0.10 102 Chesapeake-BC 7 4 116 155 49 97 147 49 293 0.10 103 Reservoir 7 9 49 48 107 93 84 117 294 0.10 104 Manchester Valle 7 7 51 38 70 81 140 75 296 0.10 105 North County 7 7 53 64 81 100 107 89 296 0.10 106 Elkton 7 5 54 102 66 103 132 65 300 0.10 107 Poly-Baltimore 6 8 128 135 103 90 115 95 300 0.10 108 Catoctin 4 10 83 65 123 99 89 118 306 0.10 109 Overlea 7 4 122 157 52 106 149 52 307 0.10 110 Aberdeen 4 11 103 80 142 112 61 138 311 0.10 111 Patterson 4 7 141 145 109 110 104 100 314 0.10 112 Great Mills 2 9 136 84 126 111 78 127 316 0.10 113 North Hagerstown 9 7 70 97 79 98 142 77 317 0.10 114 Western STES 4 9 124 129 130 114 74 131 319 0.10 115 Reginald Lewis 5 4 152 147 57 113 154 55 322 0.10 116 North Caroline 4 10 93 66 124 122 71 133 326 0.10 117 Stephen Decatur 4 9 74 51 77 109 134 85 328 0.10 118 Lackey 6 8 120 118 113 118 108 103 329 0.10 119 Meade 2 11 114 47 137 128 64 143 335 0.10 120 Wilde Lake 8 8 77 96 98 116 110 112 338 0.10 121 Francis Scott Ke 4 10 78 43 111 126 101 115 342 0.10 122 Gov. Thomas John 3 13 106 75 153 136 58 150 344 0.10 123 Northwestern-PG 3 6 134 128 95 115 138 93 346 0.10 124 Natl Academy Fou 4 5 142 156 71 127 153 67 347 0.10 125 Frederick 1 13 133 61 155 134 65 151 350 0.10 126 Digital Harbor 3 9 150 140 131 125 98 128 351 0.10 127 Forest Park 4 8 135 149 120 120 112 119 351 0.10 128 Joppatowne 3 7 112 77 100 117 136 99 352 0.10 129 Gaithersburg 4 9 109 110 129 123 100 130 353 0.10 130 MJ McDonough 5 9 125 124 127 124 103 129 356 0.10 131 Carver A&T 4 6 139 150 90 129 151 90 370 0.10 132 Patapsco 1 10 140 111 146 132 95 146 373 0.10 133 Gywnn Park 0 7 149 127 105 143 130 102 375 0.10 134 Glen Burnie 6 9 86 93 119 130 127 120 377 0.10 135 Northwood 7 8 119 134 115 131 135 114 380 0.10 136 Einstein 5 9 118 123 125 133 124 126 383 0.10 137 Watkins Mill 3 11 121 109 149 135 105 149 389 0.10 138 South Hagerstown 1 12 123 74 140 146 111 137 394 0.10 139 NorthWestern 1 7 96 151 117 137 143 116 396 0.10 140 SouthWestern 0 8 156 148 128 144 128 125 397 0.10 141 Kent County 2 10 132 73 134 141 121 136 398 0.10 142 New Town 1 10 143 122 145 139 116 145 400 0.10 143 Bohemia Manor 2 11 129 98 143 138 122 142 402 0.10 144 Seneca Valley 0 13 151 107 157 152 96 156 404 0.10 145 Wicomico 2 12 126 72 138 147 118 141 406 0.10 146 Smithsburg 3 12 107 95 139 142 131 140 413 0.10 147 Hammond 3 10 100 82 136 140 137 139 416 0.10 148 Milford Mill 2 7 153 154 114 149 155 113 417 0.10 149 Edgewood 1 12 138 78 150 150 120 153 423 0.10 150 Lake Clifton 1 9 157 144 135 145 145 135 425 0.10 151 Long Reach 0 12 137 59 152 151 125 154 430 0.10 152 Thomas Stone 2 12 146 126 148 148 141 147 436 0.10 153 St Charles 0 12 154 121 154 156 139 155 450 0.10 154 Westlake 2 10 147 136 144 154 152 144 450 0.10 155 Kennedy 2 12 144 131 151 153 148 152 453 0.10 156 Wheaton 1 13 148 125 156 155 144 157 456 0.10 157 Randallstown 0 10 155 153 147 157 156 148 461 0.10