boys probababilites for 15
2016 boys Florida FHSAA
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Ponte Vedra 23 1 3 10 2 3 4 1 8 19.00
2 St Thomas Aquina 19 0 2 8 1 2 7 2 11 8.00
3 Oxbridge Academy 19 3 5 16 4 8 2 5 15 4.00
4 Saint Andrew's 18 3 1 2 3 4 9 3 16 37.00
5 IMG Academy 14 1 4 3 5 1 12 4 17 17.00
6 Lake Highland Pr 12 9 12 1 7 5 5 9 19 3.00
7 Jupiter 13 6 6 4 11 11 3 8 22 5.00
8 Gulliver Prep 16 4 14 18 9 7 6 10 23 0.10
9 H.B. Plant 17 2 10 41 10 9 8 6 23 0.10
10 Maclay 17 4 15 23 13 6 13 11 30 0.10
11 Stoneman Douglas 13 5 11 15 14 10 10 18 38 2.00
12 Barron Collier 14 7 34 28 25 19 1 21 41 0.10
13 Benjamin School 15 6 7 6 8 12 19 12 43 3.00
14 Lake Brantley 14 4 9 20 6 15 15 13 43 1.00
15 Lake Mary 12 8 16 13 19 21 11 15 47 0.10
16 Melbourne Cent C 14 3 20 58 15 17 24 16 57 0.10
17 Vero Beach 10 5 13 11 23 13 20 30 63 1.00
18 Berkeley Prep 12 5 30 42 34 29 17 19 65 0.10
19 Creekside 14 4 23 36 17 22 30 14 66 0.10
20 Nease 13 7 17 14 31 14 21 33 68 0.10
21 Cardinal Mooney 15 6 38 62 42 18 16 40 74 0.10
22 Belen Jesuit 19 3 8 63 12 25 52 7 84 0.10
23 Jensen Beach 10 5 18 9 16 23 35 26 84 0.10
24 Pine Crest 13 5 19 33 35 28 23 34 85 0.10
25 Newsome 12 4 22 59 32 27 39 20 86 0.10
26 Bishop Moore 10 7 24 12 53 16 22 50 88 0.10
27 Oak Hall 13 6 25 39 40 20 34 35 89 0.10
28 Buchholz 12 5 31 54 37 32 38 28 98 0.10
29 Gulf Breeze 11 3 70 151 28 26 48 25 99 0.10
30 Apopka 14 4 36 67 24 31 43 27 101 0.10
31 Steinbrenner 9 6 48 40 72 24 25 52 101 0.10
32 Fleming Island 8 8 44 24 78 36 14 61 111 0.10
33 Amer Heritage/Pl 11 5 29 49 33 37 36 39 112 0.10
34 Viera 12 4 55 97 36 35 45 36 116 0.10
35 Winter Park 14 5 26 52 27 38 41 37 116 0.10
36 West Orange 13 5 35 51 50 30 46 49 125 0.10
37 Bishop Verot 14 6 62 110 62 44 27 55 126 0.10
38 Matanzas 11 8 27 27 39 33 51 43 127 0.10
39 Gulf Coast 14 4 52 115 38 42 62 31 135 0.10
40 Tampa Jesuit 9 10 54 22 94 46 18 76 140 0.10
41 West Boca Raton 11 7 49 25 49 45 47 48 140 0.10
42 Bolles 10 9 39 34 73 48 29 66 143 0.10
43 Dr. Phillips 14 5 21 64 22 41 82 23 146 0.10
44 Pensacola Cathol 10 2 74 177 21 34 94 24 152 0.10
45 Cypress Bay 14 5 51 92 29 47 64 42 153 0.10
46 Lawton Chiles 6 8 83 32 99 40 28 85 153 0.10
47 Wharton 10 5 61 66 58 39 61 53 153 0.10
48 Cardinal Gibbons 12 3 28 83 20 43 92 22 157 0.10
49 American Heritag 9 6 37 26 52 53 53 54 160 0.10
50 Saint Augustine 9 6 68 53 60 52 49 64 165 0.10
51 ODA Sarasota 11 4 59 135 44 59 66 41 166 0.10
52 Saint Edwards 7 8 50 21 71 61 26 81 168 0.10
53 Seminole 9 6 40 38 48 58 50 60 168 0.10
54 Naples 10 4 67 118 47 51 78 44 173 0.10
55 Bartram Trail 8 9 56 31 109 50 31 99 180 0.10
56 Boone 10 5 46 65 54 54 72 56 182 0.10
57 Holy Trinity Epi 13 4 63 133 30 67 88 32 187 0.10
58 Timber Creek 10 8 47 48 91 63 42 88 193 0.10
59 Coral Reef 10 6 58 86 57 49 87 58 194 0.10
60 Episcopal Jackso 11 6 43 76 59 62 75 59 196 0.10
61 Columbus Catholi 10 6 33 47 56 55 76 69 200 0.10
62 Hagerty 11 10 53 35 105 60 33 108 201 0.10
63 Saint John Paul 7 10 45 5 76 64 44 93 201 0.10
64 Boca Raton 7 12 42 7 103 56 37 112 205 0.10
65 Melbourne 9 6 86 105 83 68 60 78 206 0.10
66 Martin County 8 9 32 19 69 57 55 97 209 0.10
67 Rockledge 12 6 76 126 70 70 71 71 212 0.10
68 Edgewater 8 6 65 68 68 78 68 68 214 0.10
69 Montverde Academ 10 4 57 111 46 71 96 47 214 0.10
70 Canterbury-Ft My 11 5 79 146 55 74 85 57 216 0.10
71 Fort Myers 9 5 87 138 63 73 86 62 221 0.10
72 University Schoo 5 9 64 17 114 66 32 125 223 0.10
73 Merritt Island 8 7 80 71 93 77 59 92 228 0.10
74 Key West 11 2 95 176 18 65 150 17 232 0.10
75 Winter Springs 9 8 75 57 95 72 57 104 233 0.10
76 Durant 7 7 88 69 98 75 65 96 236 0.10
77 First Academy 10 7 66 72 90 79 73 91 243 0.10
78 W.T. Dwyer 8 8 41 29 77 76 77 94 247 0.10
79 Riverview-Saraso 8 3 60 143 41 69 147 38 254 0.10
80 Archbishop McCar 6 8 91 60 102 81 70 105 256 0.10
81 Leon 9 10 99 98 134 87 56 113 256 0.10
82 Ransom Everglade 6 8 73 50 111 80 67 110 257 0.10
83 Lincoln-Tallahas 6 6 81 100 86 84 104 72 260 0.10
84 Wellington 7 10 85 37 115 83 63 116 262 0.10
85 Tampa Catholic 5 10 104 56 147 85 40 140 265 0.10
86 Gainesville 8 9 117 78 123 82 69 117 268 0.10
87 Providence Schoo 9 8 101 109 100 89 83 102 274 0.10
88 King's Academy 7 6 82 70 66 90 121 70 281 0.10
89 All Saints Acade 11 4 77 156 43 86 161 45 292 0.10
90 Calvary Christia 8 6 89 99 65 91 134 67 292 0.10
91 Menendez 7 7 90 89 97 93 103 98 294 0.10
92 Spanish River 5 9 78 30 113 98 91 114 303 0.10
93 Fletcher 9 6 96 144 82 94 127 84 305 0.10
94 Alonso 3 8 134 61 127 97 89 121 307 0.10
95 Cardinal Newman 10 3 69 166 26 107 173 29 309 0.10
96 Sickles 8 6 92 116 88 92 130 87 309 0.10
97 Trinity Catholic 4 5 131 107 85 88 142 82 312 0.10
98 Satellite 6 9 111 113 140 100 80 134 314 0.10
99 Palm Beach Centr 8 6 71 84 75 101 141 74 316 0.10
100 Lake Minneola 8 4 72 150 51 99 168 51 318 0.10
101 West Florida Tec 7 9 141 169 137 102 81 135 318 0.10
102 Estero 6 9 105 132 138 109 74 137 320 0.10
103 Palm Beach Garde 8 10 84 46 112 96 95 129 320 0.10
104 Freedom-Tampa 7 7 93 120 104 105 111 106 322 0.10
105 South Plantation 7 12 122 85 149 119 54 149 322 0.10
106 Miami Palmetto 2 11 142 43 155 112 58 153 323 0.10
107 St Stephen's Epi 5 8 128 114 126 113 98 115 326 0.10
108 Western-Davie 7 9 114 79 130 95 97 136 328 0.10
109 Stanton Prep 8 8 102 125 108 111 113 107 331 0.10
110 Windermere Prep 5 8 106 90 119 110 102 126 338 0.10
111 Community Sch-Na 6 7 118 128 110 115 125 100 340 0.10
112 Newberry 9 6 125 165 84 104 157 79 340 0.10
113 Oviedo 5 11 97 44 148 103 84 154 341 0.10
114 West Broward 8 7 115 145 101 108 133 103 344 0.10
115 Miami-Killian 7 5 107 149 64 118 169 63 350 0.10
116 Coral Shores 5 6 138 171 96 106 151 95 352 0.10
117 East Ridge 6 6 100 123 92 116 146 90 352 0.10
118 Olympia 6 7 98 101 107 120 123 109 352 0.10
119 Trinity Prep 7 8 94 95 118 114 119 119 352 0.10
120 Sebastian River 5 8 121 124 125 126 114 118 358 0.10
121 St Brendan 11 6 110 173 67 127 156 75 358 0.10
122 Immokalee 12 8 113 172 106 122 137 101 360 0.10
123 Mandarin 7 9 103 112 129 117 116 128 361 0.10
124 Washington 6 8 156 178 122 123 118 123 364 0.10
125 Jupiter Christia 5 5 140 179 79 128 176 77 381 0.10
126 South Fork 4 10 116 55 146 124 110 147 381 0.10
127 West Shore 3 10 144 117 153 131 100 152 383 0.10
128 Plantation 4 6 124 108 87 129 170 86 385 0.10
129 Pensacola 3 9 161 170 145 134 106 146 386 0.10
130 Cypress Lake 2 12 155 96 174 136 79 172 387 0.10
131 Miami Country Da 6 9 123 104 124 125 124 138 387 0.10
132 North Broward Pr 5 10 109 82 131 121 128 142 391 0.10
133 Westminster Chri 9 8 132 181 116 132 148 111 391 0.10
134 University HS 6 8 108 119 121 130 145 122 397 0.10
135 Lake Howell 5 13 137 74 169 133 90 176 399 0.10
136 Flanagan 4 5 126 168 81 139 178 83 400 0.10
137 Park Vista 2 12 120 45 168 135 99 168 402 0.10
138 Bloomingdale 4 10 133 103 150 137 120 150 407 0.10
139 Palmetto Ridge 7 12 143 167 163 141 108 160 409 0.10
140 Pine School 1 2 158 186 45 177 186 46 409 0.10
141 Suncoast-Riviera 5 9 112 94 117 145 135 130 410 0.10
142 Coral Springs Ch 1 12 162 87 177 142 93 177 412 0.10
143 Lely 2 12 149 121 175 143 107 170 420 0.10
144 Lyman 4 12 136 80 160 148 109 165 422 0.10
145 Paxon 7 9 135 157 135 138 152 132 422 0.10
146 Tampa Prep 7 9 119 162 132 146 158 124 428 0.10
147 Santa Fe 0 3 187 184 61 183 182 65 430 0.10
148 Ocoee 1 11 177 77 162 152 115 166 433 0.10
149 Port Charlotte 2 8 157 134 136 140 162 133 435 0.10
150 Edgewood 5 11 139 155 156 149 131 156 436 0.10
151 Sandalwood 6 9 127 164 139 144 154 139 437 0.10
152 Lake Nona 5 11 150 129 157 150 132 157 439 0.10
153 Taravella 4 12 153 139 165 153 122 164 439 0.10
154 Flagler Palm Coa 1 14 167 73 185 155 101 185 441 0.10
155 Escambia 2 5 176 185 89 173 183 89 445 0.10
156 Calvary Christia 1 4 182 187 74 187 187 73 447 0.10
157 Eastside 4 10 145 154 151 151 149 148 448 0.10
158 Orangewood Chris 1 13 163 75 179 162 105 181 448 0.10
159 Piper 0 4 179 180 80 186 184 80 450 0.10
160 Sarasota Mil Aca 2 12 168 137 176 156 126 171 453 0.10
161 East River 4 9 129 122 143 147 164 144 455 0.10
162 Freedom 2 12 160 88 172 154 129 175 458 0.10
163 Robinson 2 11 152 102 161 157 143 159 459 0.10
164 Wekiva 0 12 172 81 180 165 117 179 461 0.10
165 Cocoa Beach 2 8 166 148 133 158 174 131 463 0.10
166 Golden Gate 1 11 169 136 166 163 140 162 465 0.10
167 Riverdale 1 14 174 142 186 171 112 186 469 0.10
168 Atlantic Coast 4 8 148 182 128 167 179 127 473 0.10
169 Tampa Bay Tech 2 11 159 127 164 166 144 163 473 0.10
170 P.K. Yonge 3 10 154 159 152 160 163 151 474 0.10
171 Immaculata LaSal 1 12 175 130 173 161 136 178 475 0.10
172 International Co 5 9 130 153 141 164 175 141 480 0.10
173 Palmer Trinity 1 11 164 161 167 159 155 167 481 0.10
174 Florida Christia 2 11 171 163 159 169 153 161 483 0.10
175 Cooper City 4 9 146 174 142 170 171 143 484 0.10
176 Adm Farragut Aca 1 8 181 175 120 185 185 120 490 0.10
177 John I. Leonard 0 9 165 93 144 175 172 145 492 0.10
178 Eau Gallie 0 13 183 131 183 174 138 183 495 0.10
179 Bishop Snyder 0 15 185 141 187 179 139 187 505 0.10
180 Father Lopez 4 13 151 152 181 168 159 180 507 0.10
181 Jefferson 0 12 170 106 178 176 160 173 509 0.10
182 Atlantic-Delray 2 12 147 91 171 172 165 174 511 0.10
183 Celebration 0 10 173 140 154 180 177 155 512 0.10
184 Pines Charter 0 10 184 158 158 182 181 158 521 0.10
185 Lee 2 13 178 160 182 178 166 182 526 0.10
186 John Carroll Cat 0 13 180 147 184 181 167 184 532 0.10
187 Seacoast Collegi 0 11 186 183 170 184 180 169 533 0.10
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