boys probababilites for 15
 
 

2016 boys Florida FHSAA

CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES

PR = Power Ratings RPI = Ratings Percentage Index SOS = Strength of Schedule QWF = Quality Wins Factor SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Ponte Vedra 23 1 3 10 2 3 4 1 8 19.00 2 St Thomas Aquina 19 0 2 8 1 2 7 2 11 8.00 3 Oxbridge Academy 19 3 5 16 4 8 2 5 15 4.00 4 Saint Andrew's 18 3 1 2 3 4 9 3 16 37.00 5 IMG Academy 14 1 4 3 5 1 12 4 17 17.00 6 Lake Highland Pr 12 9 12 1 7 5 5 9 19 3.00 7 Jupiter 13 6 6 4 11 11 3 8 22 5.00 8 Gulliver Prep 16 4 14 18 9 7 6 10 23 0.10 9 H.B. Plant 17 2 10 41 10 9 8 6 23 0.10 10 Maclay 17 4 15 23 13 6 13 11 30 0.10 11 Stoneman Douglas 13 5 11 15 14 10 10 18 38 2.00 12 Barron Collier 14 7 34 28 25 19 1 21 41 0.10 13 Benjamin School 15 6 7 6 8 12 19 12 43 3.00 14 Lake Brantley 14 4 9 20 6 15 15 13 43 1.00 15 Lake Mary 12 8 16 13 19 21 11 15 47 0.10 16 Melbourne Cent C 14 3 20 58 15 17 24 16 57 0.10 17 Vero Beach 10 5 13 11 23 13 20 30 63 1.00 18 Berkeley Prep 12 5 30 42 34 29 17 19 65 0.10 19 Creekside 14 4 23 36 17 22 30 14 66 0.10 20 Nease 13 7 17 14 31 14 21 33 68 0.10 21 Cardinal Mooney 15 6 38 62 42 18 16 40 74 0.10 22 Belen Jesuit 19 3 8 63 12 25 52 7 84 0.10 23 Jensen Beach 10 5 18 9 16 23 35 26 84 0.10 24 Pine Crest 13 5 19 33 35 28 23 34 85 0.10 25 Newsome 12 4 22 59 32 27 39 20 86 0.10 26 Bishop Moore 10 7 24 12 53 16 22 50 88 0.10 27 Oak Hall 13 6 25 39 40 20 34 35 89 0.10 28 Buchholz 12 5 31 54 37 32 38 28 98 0.10 29 Gulf Breeze 11 3 70 151 28 26 48 25 99 0.10 30 Apopka 14 4 36 67 24 31 43 27 101 0.10 31 Steinbrenner 9 6 48 40 72 24 25 52 101 0.10 32 Fleming Island 8 8 44 24 78 36 14 61 111 0.10 33 Amer Heritage/Pl 11 5 29 49 33 37 36 39 112 0.10 34 Viera 12 4 55 97 36 35 45 36 116 0.10 35 Winter Park 14 5 26 52 27 38 41 37 116 0.10 36 West Orange 13 5 35 51 50 30 46 49 125 0.10 37 Bishop Verot 14 6 62 110 62 44 27 55 126 0.10 38 Matanzas 11 8 27 27 39 33 51 43 127 0.10 39 Gulf Coast 14 4 52 115 38 42 62 31 135 0.10 40 Tampa Jesuit 9 10 54 22 94 46 18 76 140 0.10 41 West Boca Raton 11 7 49 25 49 45 47 48 140 0.10 42 Bolles 10 9 39 34 73 48 29 66 143 0.10 43 Dr. Phillips 14 5 21 64 22 41 82 23 146 0.10 44 Pensacola Cathol 10 2 74 177 21 34 94 24 152 0.10 45 Cypress Bay 14 5 51 92 29 47 64 42 153 0.10 46 Lawton Chiles 6 8 83 32 99 40 28 85 153 0.10 47 Wharton 10 5 61 66 58 39 61 53 153 0.10 48 Cardinal Gibbons 12 3 28 83 20 43 92 22 157 0.10 49 American Heritag 9 6 37 26 52 53 53 54 160 0.10 50 Saint Augustine 9 6 68 53 60 52 49 64 165 0.10 51 ODA Sarasota 11 4 59 135 44 59 66 41 166 0.10 52 Saint Edwards 7 8 50 21 71 61 26 81 168 0.10 53 Seminole 9 6 40 38 48 58 50 60 168 0.10 54 Naples 10 4 67 118 47 51 78 44 173 0.10 55 Bartram Trail 8 9 56 31 109 50 31 99 180 0.10 56 Boone 10 5 46 65 54 54 72 56 182 0.10 57 Holy Trinity Epi 13 4 63 133 30 67 88 32 187 0.10 58 Timber Creek 10 8 47 48 91 63 42 88 193 0.10 59 Coral Reef 10 6 58 86 57 49 87 58 194 0.10 60 Episcopal Jackso 11 6 43 76 59 62 75 59 196 0.10 61 Columbus Catholi 10 6 33 47 56 55 76 69 200 0.10 62 Hagerty 11 10 53 35 105 60 33 108 201 0.10 63 Saint John Paul 7 10 45 5 76 64 44 93 201 0.10 64 Boca Raton 7 12 42 7 103 56 37 112 205 0.10 65 Melbourne 9 6 86 105 83 68 60 78 206 0.10 66 Martin County 8 9 32 19 69 57 55 97 209 0.10 67 Rockledge 12 6 76 126 70 70 71 71 212 0.10 68 Edgewater 8 6 65 68 68 78 68 68 214 0.10 69 Montverde Academ 10 4 57 111 46 71 96 47 214 0.10 70 Canterbury-Ft My 11 5 79 146 55 74 85 57 216 0.10 71 Fort Myers 9 5 87 138 63 73 86 62 221 0.10 72 University Schoo 5 9 64 17 114 66 32 125 223 0.10 73 Merritt Island 8 7 80 71 93 77 59 92 228 0.10 74 Key West 11 2 95 176 18 65 150 17 232 0.10 75 Winter Springs 9 8 75 57 95 72 57 104 233 0.10 76 Durant 7 7 88 69 98 75 65 96 236 0.10 77 First Academy 10 7 66 72 90 79 73 91 243 0.10 78 W.T. Dwyer 8 8 41 29 77 76 77 94 247 0.10 79 Riverview-Saraso 8 3 60 143 41 69 147 38 254 0.10 80 Archbishop McCar 6 8 91 60 102 81 70 105 256 0.10 81 Leon 9 10 99 98 134 87 56 113 256 0.10 82 Ransom Everglade 6 8 73 50 111 80 67 110 257 0.10 83 Lincoln-Tallahas 6 6 81 100 86 84 104 72 260 0.10 84 Wellington 7 10 85 37 115 83 63 116 262 0.10 85 Tampa Catholic 5 10 104 56 147 85 40 140 265 0.10 86 Gainesville 8 9 117 78 123 82 69 117 268 0.10 87 Providence Schoo 9 8 101 109 100 89 83 102 274 0.10 88 King's Academy 7 6 82 70 66 90 121 70 281 0.10 89 All Saints Acade 11 4 77 156 43 86 161 45 292 0.10 90 Calvary Christia 8 6 89 99 65 91 134 67 292 0.10 91 Menendez 7 7 90 89 97 93 103 98 294 0.10 92 Spanish River 5 9 78 30 113 98 91 114 303 0.10 93 Fletcher 9 6 96 144 82 94 127 84 305 0.10 94 Alonso 3 8 134 61 127 97 89 121 307 0.10 95 Cardinal Newman 10 3 69 166 26 107 173 29 309 0.10 96 Sickles 8 6 92 116 88 92 130 87 309 0.10 97 Trinity Catholic 4 5 131 107 85 88 142 82 312 0.10 98 Satellite 6 9 111 113 140 100 80 134 314 0.10 99 Palm Beach Centr 8 6 71 84 75 101 141 74 316 0.10 100 Lake Minneola 8 4 72 150 51 99 168 51 318 0.10 101 West Florida Tec 7 9 141 169 137 102 81 135 318 0.10 102 Estero 6 9 105 132 138 109 74 137 320 0.10 103 Palm Beach Garde 8 10 84 46 112 96 95 129 320 0.10 104 Freedom-Tampa 7 7 93 120 104 105 111 106 322 0.10 105 South Plantation 7 12 122 85 149 119 54 149 322 0.10 106 Miami Palmetto 2 11 142 43 155 112 58 153 323 0.10 107 St Stephen's Epi 5 8 128 114 126 113 98 115 326 0.10 108 Western-Davie 7 9 114 79 130 95 97 136 328 0.10 109 Stanton Prep 8 8 102 125 108 111 113 107 331 0.10 110 Windermere Prep 5 8 106 90 119 110 102 126 338 0.10 111 Community Sch-Na 6 7 118 128 110 115 125 100 340 0.10 112 Newberry 9 6 125 165 84 104 157 79 340 0.10 113 Oviedo 5 11 97 44 148 103 84 154 341 0.10 114 West Broward 8 7 115 145 101 108 133 103 344 0.10 115 Miami-Killian 7 5 107 149 64 118 169 63 350 0.10 116 Coral Shores 5 6 138 171 96 106 151 95 352 0.10 117 East Ridge 6 6 100 123 92 116 146 90 352 0.10 118 Olympia 6 7 98 101 107 120 123 109 352 0.10 119 Trinity Prep 7 8 94 95 118 114 119 119 352 0.10 120 Sebastian River 5 8 121 124 125 126 114 118 358 0.10 121 St Brendan 11 6 110 173 67 127 156 75 358 0.10 122 Immokalee 12 8 113 172 106 122 137 101 360 0.10 123 Mandarin 7 9 103 112 129 117 116 128 361 0.10 124 Washington 6 8 156 178 122 123 118 123 364 0.10 125 Jupiter Christia 5 5 140 179 79 128 176 77 381 0.10 126 South Fork 4 10 116 55 146 124 110 147 381 0.10 127 West Shore 3 10 144 117 153 131 100 152 383 0.10 128 Plantation 4 6 124 108 87 129 170 86 385 0.10 129 Pensacola 3 9 161 170 145 134 106 146 386 0.10 130 Cypress Lake 2 12 155 96 174 136 79 172 387 0.10 131 Miami Country Da 6 9 123 104 124 125 124 138 387 0.10 132 North Broward Pr 5 10 109 82 131 121 128 142 391 0.10 133 Westminster Chri 9 8 132 181 116 132 148 111 391 0.10 134 University HS 6 8 108 119 121 130 145 122 397 0.10 135 Lake Howell 5 13 137 74 169 133 90 176 399 0.10 136 Flanagan 4 5 126 168 81 139 178 83 400 0.10 137 Park Vista 2 12 120 45 168 135 99 168 402 0.10 138 Bloomingdale 4 10 133 103 150 137 120 150 407 0.10 139 Palmetto Ridge 7 12 143 167 163 141 108 160 409 0.10 140 Pine School 1 2 158 186 45 177 186 46 409 0.10 141 Suncoast-Riviera 5 9 112 94 117 145 135 130 410 0.10 142 Coral Springs Ch 1 12 162 87 177 142 93 177 412 0.10 143 Lely 2 12 149 121 175 143 107 170 420 0.10 144 Lyman 4 12 136 80 160 148 109 165 422 0.10 145 Paxon 7 9 135 157 135 138 152 132 422 0.10 146 Tampa Prep 7 9 119 162 132 146 158 124 428 0.10 147 Santa Fe 0 3 187 184 61 183 182 65 430 0.10 148 Ocoee 1 11 177 77 162 152 115 166 433 0.10 149 Port Charlotte 2 8 157 134 136 140 162 133 435 0.10 150 Edgewood 5 11 139 155 156 149 131 156 436 0.10 151 Sandalwood 6 9 127 164 139 144 154 139 437 0.10 152 Lake Nona 5 11 150 129 157 150 132 157 439 0.10 153 Taravella 4 12 153 139 165 153 122 164 439 0.10 154 Flagler Palm Coa 1 14 167 73 185 155 101 185 441 0.10 155 Escambia 2 5 176 185 89 173 183 89 445 0.10 156 Calvary Christia 1 4 182 187 74 187 187 73 447 0.10 157 Eastside 4 10 145 154 151 151 149 148 448 0.10 158 Orangewood Chris 1 13 163 75 179 162 105 181 448 0.10 159 Piper 0 4 179 180 80 186 184 80 450 0.10 160 Sarasota Mil Aca 2 12 168 137 176 156 126 171 453 0.10 161 East River 4 9 129 122 143 147 164 144 455 0.10 162 Freedom 2 12 160 88 172 154 129 175 458 0.10 163 Robinson 2 11 152 102 161 157 143 159 459 0.10 164 Wekiva 0 12 172 81 180 165 117 179 461 0.10 165 Cocoa Beach 2 8 166 148 133 158 174 131 463 0.10 166 Golden Gate 1 11 169 136 166 163 140 162 465 0.10 167 Riverdale 1 14 174 142 186 171 112 186 469 0.10 168 Atlantic Coast 4 8 148 182 128 167 179 127 473 0.10 169 Tampa Bay Tech 2 11 159 127 164 166 144 163 473 0.10 170 P.K. Yonge 3 10 154 159 152 160 163 151 474 0.10 171 Immaculata LaSal 1 12 175 130 173 161 136 178 475 0.10 172 International Co 5 9 130 153 141 164 175 141 480 0.10 173 Palmer Trinity 1 11 164 161 167 159 155 167 481 0.10 174 Florida Christia 2 11 171 163 159 169 153 161 483 0.10 175 Cooper City 4 9 146 174 142 170 171 143 484 0.10 176 Adm Farragut Aca 1 8 181 175 120 185 185 120 490 0.10 177 John I. Leonard 0 9 165 93 144 175 172 145 492 0.10 178 Eau Gallie 0 13 183 131 183 174 138 183 495 0.10 179 Bishop Snyder 0 15 185 141 187 179 139 187 505 0.10 180 Father Lopez 4 13 151 152 181 168 159 180 507 0.10 181 Jefferson 0 12 170 106 178 176 160 173 509 0.10 182 Atlantic-Delray 2 12 147 91 171 172 165 174 511 0.10 183 Celebration 0 10 173 140 154 180 177 155 512 0.10 184 Pines Charter 0 10 184 158 158 182 181 158 521 0.10 185 Lee 2 13 178 160 182 178 166 182 526 0.10 186 John Carroll Cat 0 13 180 147 184 181 167 184 532 0.10 187 Seacoast Collegi 0 11 186 183 170 184 180 169 533 0.10
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