boys probababilites for 11
2016 boys Connecticut CIAC
CHAMPIONSHIP PROBABILITIES
PR = Power Ratings
RPI = Ratings Percentage Index
SOS = Strength of Schedule
QWF = Quality Wins Factor
SOS & QWF SOS & QWF
based on PR based on RPI Probabilities (%)
Rnk Team Name Conference W L PR SOS QWF RPI SOS QWF Tot Champ %
1 Somers NWCIAC 19 2 10 42 10 5 4 5 14 0.10
2 Granby Memorial NWCIAC 16 5 21 36 17 9 1 11 21 0.10
3 Simsbury CCIAC 20 2 4 8 3 2 20 2 24 1.00
4 Wilton FCIAC 13 6 5 4 8 11 3 10 24 5.00
5 Glastonbury CCIAC 15 4 8 10 7 7 10 8 25 1.00
6 Guilford SCIAC 14 6 11 13 11 10 6 13 29 0.10
7 Fairfield Prep SCIAC 17 4 6 7 4 4 23 4 31 2.00
8 Ridgefield FCIAC 16 5 2 1 5 6 19 6 31 13.00
9 Fairfield-Ludlow FCIAC 12 7 15 9 12 16 2 16 34 0.10
10 East Catholic CCIAC 17 4 17 41 13 13 13 9 35 0.10
11 Darien FCIAC 23 0 1 2 1 1 38 1 40 66.00
12 Daniel Hand-Madi SCIAC 13 8 14 12 14 14 12 15 41 0.10
13 Conard-West Hart CCIAC 11 8 27 18 25 18 7 22 47 0.10
14 Greenwich HS FCIAC 11 8 9 5 9 12 25 12 49 5.00
15 Xavier SCIAC 12 6 13 14 16 15 16 18 49 0.10
16 Newtown SWCIAC 11 9 19 16 26 20 9 27 56 0.10
17 New Canaan FCIAC 19 4 3 3 2 3 53 3 59 6.00
18 Ellington NWCIAC 11 8 40 49 40 23 11 26 60 0.10
19 Staples-Westport FCIAC 16 4 7 6 6 8 48 7 63 1.00
20 Southington CCIAC 10 9 29 24 37 26 8 31 65 0.10
21 Avon HS CCIAC 8 10 33 29 43 29 5 37 71 0.10
22 North Haven SCIAC 10 8 25 23 31 25 22 30 77 0.10
23 St Joseph-Trumbu FCIAC 12 10 23 11 24 19 34 24 77 0.10
24 Old Lyme Shore 16 3 28 74 15 24 41 17 82 0.10
25 Cheshire HS SCIAC 12 6 16 39 22 30 36 20 86 0.10
26 Trumbull FCIAC 11 7 22 20 20 28 33 25 86 0.10
27 Shelton SCIAC 10 8 34 34 33 34 21 32 87 0.10
28 Weston SWCIAC 14 7 20 22 21 22 47 21 90 0.10
29 East Lyme ECIAC 11 8 39 44 36 21 32 38 91 0.10
30 Notre Dame-West SCIAC 12 6 24 38 23 32 37 23 92 0.10
31 Morgan-Clinton Shore 10 9 55 55 49 33 14 47 94 0.10
32 Joel Barlow SWCIAC 13 7 12 15 18 17 64 19 100 0.10
33 Rocky Hill CCIAC 16 4 32 63 19 31 56 14 101 0.10
34 Canton NWCIAC 8 9 65 51 51 35 27 42 104 0.10
35 New Fairfield SWCIAC 11 9 18 25 29 27 50 29 106 0.10
36 Suffield HS NWCIAC 9 9 43 54 50 43 24 41 108 0.10
37 Waterford ECIAC 13 6 52 80 35 37 42 35 114 0.10
38 Stamford FCIAC 7 10 51 27 39 54 17 45 116 0.10
39 South Windsor CCIAC 9 10 41 48 61 39 26 53 118 0.10
40 North Branford Shore 13 6 44 73 34 38 55 33 126 0.10
41 Northwest Cathol CCIAC 9 9 48 50 53 42 40 44 126 0.10
42 Haddam-Killingwo Shore 10 9 58 70 58 48 30 52 130 0.10
43 Hall-West Hartfo CCIAC 4 12 57 30 72 52 15 64 131 0.10
44 Fairfield-Warde FCIAC 9 8 26 26 28 44 52 36 132 0.10
45 Norwalk FCIAC 6 10 30 17 41 55 28 51 134 0.10
46 Danbury FCIAC 9 8 31 32 30 51 44 40 135 0.10
47 Brien McMahon-No FCIAC 5 11 50 21 46 63 18 55 136 0.10
48 Branford SCIAC 8 9 45 43 42 50 45 43 138 0.10
49 Brookfield SWCIAC 9 10 35 35 54 41 39 58 138 0.10
50 Watertown WCLC 14 5 54 91 27 45 68 28 141 0.10
51 Stonington ECIAC 12 6 49 78 38 40 63 39 142 0.10
52 Bacon Academy ECIAC 8 9 63 61 57 49 46 54 149 0.10
53 Amity Regional SCIAC 5 11 37 31 64 53 35 65 153 0.10
54 Norwich Free Aca ECIAC 11 7 47 57 32 36 85 34 155 0.10
55 Berlin CCIAC 11 9 56 62 48 56 54 49 159 0.10
56 Farmington CCIAC 4 12 66 37 76 61 29 72 162 0.10
57 Valley Regional Shore 8 9 64 69 62 58 43 62 163 0.10
58 Masuk-Monroe SWCIAC 10 10 46 46 56 47 59 59 165 0.10
59 Hamden SCIAC 6 10 53 40 52 62 49 56 167 0.10
60 Bunnell-Stratfor SWCIAC 10 8 38 52 44 57 66 46 169 0.10
61 Pomperaug SWCIAC 10 11 42 45 67 46 58 68 172 0.10
62 Lewis Mills-Burl WCLC 10 9 67 81 55 60 57 57 174 0.10
63 St Paul Catholic WCLC 11 8 69 92 45 64 71 48 183 0.10
64 Trinity Catholic FCIAC 2 14 72 19 74 73 31 84 188 0.10
65 Bethel SWCIAC 7 11 36 33 69 59 61 71 191 0.10
66 Foran SCIAC 8 10 59 60 65 65 65 66 196 0.10
67 Immaculate Danbu SWCIAC 8 9 61 65 59 66 73 60 199 0.10
68 Montville ECIAC 9 8 76 87 47 70 81 50 201 0.10
69 RHAM CCIAC 6 10 70 67 71 69 70 67 206 0.10
70 Woodstock Academ ECIAC 8 9 73 85 63 67 76 63 206 0.10
71 Tolland CCIAC 4 13 79 58 87 74 51 85 210 0.10
72 West Haven SCIAC 8 9 71 75 60 71 78 61 210 0.10
73 Bristol Central CCIAC 6 11 81 83 77 78 67 76 221 0.10
74 Fitch-Groton ECIAC 5 11 77 76 81 72 69 80 221 0.10
75 Stratford SWCIAC 7 11 60 53 73 68 79 75 222 0.10
76 Lyman Hall SCIAC 7 10 78 77 68 75 80 69 224 0.10
77 Newington CCIAC 5 11 74 64 79 79 72 73 224 0.10
78 Housatonic Valle WCLC 6 11 82 90 78 82 75 77 234 0.10
79 Jonathan Law SCIAC 6 10 75 72 70 77 87 70 234 0.10
80 Cromwell Shore 3 13 87 71 90 85 60 90 235 0.10
81 Westhill FCIAC 3 13 68 28 66 76 91 74 241 0.10
82 Saint Bernard/Wh ECIAC 5 11 80 86 84 83 77 83 243 0.10
83 New Milford SWCIAC 4 12 62 47 75 80 86 78 244 0.10
84 Notre Dame-Fairf SWCIAC 3 13 86 56 89 81 74 89 244 0.10
85 Old Saybrook Shore 0 16 92 68 95 89 62 95 246 0.10
86 Ledyard ECIAC 3 13 85 79 86 84 83 87 254 0.10
87 Holy Cross WCLC 5 11 90 93 82 86 88 81 255 0.10
88 Rockville CCIAC 5 11 83 89 83 87 89 82 258 0.10
89 Griswold ECIAC 0 13 95 82 91 90 82 91 263 0.10
90 Bristol Eastern CCIAC 5 11 89 95 80 91 95 79 265 0.10
91 Sheehan SCIAC 2 14 84 66 92 88 84 93 265 0.10
92 Wamogo WCLC 1 11 94 94 85 93 93 86 272 0.10
93 Wilbur Cross SCIAC 2 14 91 84 93 92 90 94 276 0.10
94 Amistad Academy WCLC 1 12 96 96 88 96 96 88 280 0.10
95 Bridgeport Centr FCIAC 2 14 88 59 94 94 94 92 280 0.10
96 Windsor CCIAC 0 16 93 88 96 95 92 96 283 0.10
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