Conf =  CathCon                   Region = MA 1  South            
   Nickname = A Hawks                Coach  =   Tim Gardner           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   93.5018845    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 410 A Walpole                MA 2  CenEast (15- 4, 88.7)    11- 5   
 412 H Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (19- 4, 94.3)    12- 9   
 415 A Malden Catholic        MA 2  North   (10-10, 80.9)    14- 4   
 416 H LaSalle Academy        RI 1  Div-1   (18- 0, 99.9)     8-10   
 418 H Duxbury                MA 1  South   (11- 8, 88.5)     8- 6   
 420 H Medfield               MA 2  CenEast (19- 5, 96.4)     7-16   
 423 A Needham                MA 1  South   (11- 8, 86.9)    11-12   
 426 H Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   (16- 6, 89.4)     7- 6   
 428 A St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1  North   ( 4-13, 79.2)    10- 8   
 430 A Bishop Guertin         NH 1          (20- 1, 99.9)    11-12   
 502 A Lincoln-Sudbury        MA 1  North   (19- 2, 99.9)     8-13   
 505 A Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (19- 4, 94.3)     7- 8  o
 509 A Catholic Memorial      MA 1  South   (16- 6, 89.4)     6- 9   
 512 H Malden Catholic        MA 2  North   (10-10, 80.9)    10- 6   
 516 H St Johns Prep Danvers  MA 1  North   ( 4-13, 79.2)    17- 6   
 523 A St Johns Shrewsbury    MA 2  CenWest (15- 7, 87.0)    12-10   
 525 H Billerica              MA 1  North   (16- 7, 89.3)     8- 7   
 602 H Wellesley              MA 1  South   ( 9-10, 82.5)    13- 5   
 605 H Franklin               MA 1  South   (14- 6, 88.2)    18-11   
 609 A Boston College HS      MA 1  South   (19- 4, 94.3)     9-10   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   410 A Walpole                11- 5       6     0    ++     5.41
   412 H Boston College HS      12- 9       3    -3    +++    6.33
   415 A Malden Catholic        14- 4      10     8           1.61
   416 H LaSalle Academy         8-10      -2    -8          n/a  
   418 H Duxbury                 8- 6       2     2          -0.45
   420 H Medfield                7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.61
   423 A Needham                11-12      -1     2    -     -3.34
   426 H Catholic Memorial       7- 6       1     1          -0.60
   428 A St Johns Prep Danvers  10- 8       2    10    ---   -8.00
   430 A Bishop Guertin         11-12      -1   -10          n/a  
   502 A Lincoln-Sudbury         8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   505 A Boston College HS       7- 8  o   -1    -5    ++     4.07
   509 A Catholic Memorial       6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.86
   512 H Malden Catholic        10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   516 H St Johns Prep Danvers  17- 6      11    11           0.00
   523 A St Johns Shrewsbury    12-10       2     2          -0.30
   525 H Billerica               8- 7       1     1          -0.66
   602 H Wellesley              13- 5       8     8          -0.50
   605 H Franklin               18-11       7     2    ++     4.20
   609 A Boston College HS       9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.07

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   428 A St Johns Prep Danvers  10- 8       2    10    ---   -8.00
   512 H Malden Catholic        10- 6       4    10    ---   -6.00
   420 H Medfield                7-16      -9    -5    -     -3.61
   423 A Needham                11-12      -1     2    -     -3.34
   509 A Catholic Memorial       6- 9      -3     0    -     -2.86

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   412 H Boston College HS      12- 9       3    -3    +++    6.33
   416 H LaSalle Academy         8-10      -2    -8    +++        
   430 A Bishop Guertin         11-12      -1   -10    +++        
   410 A Walpole                11- 5       6     0    ++     5.41
   502 A Lincoln-Sudbury         8-13      -5   -10    ++     5.00
   505 A Boston College HS       7- 8  o   -1    -5    ++     4.07
   605 H Franklin               18-11       7     2    ++     4.20
   609 A Boston College HS       9-10      -1    -5    ++     4.07
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 90.13 Local Power Rank...........    10
 Local SOS Rating......... 76.46 Local SOS Rank.............     1
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.67 Local RPI Rank.............     6
 Championship Probability .    5.0 Championship Rank .......     4
 Local Quality Win Rating. 70.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    11
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    8.6
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  1- 4 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -2.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  6- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....    0.1
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    4.7
/