Conf =  SCIAC                     Region = CT L                   
   Nickname = T Falcons              Coach  =   Scott Basile          

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   87.6538696    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 407 A Conard-West Hartford   CT L          (11- 8, 76.3)     8- 3   
 411 A Hamden                 CT L          ( 6-10, 67.9)    17- 3   
 415 A Shelton                CT L          (10- 8, 73.0)    13- 4   
 418 H Notre Dame-West Haven  CT M          (12- 6, 78.1)    15- 5   
 421 H Daniel Hand-Madison    CT M          (13- 8, 81.7)     9- 6   
 423 H Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 84.4)     7-11   
 425 A Fairfield Prep         CT L          (17- 4, 88.8)     5- 9   
 427 A Simsbury               CT L          (20- 2, 89.1)     8-16   
 430 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT L          (12- 7, 81.6)     9-10  o
 503 H Southington            CT L          (10- 9, 75.8)    11- 6   
 505 A New Fairfield          CT M          (11- 9, 79.6)     6- 3   
 510 H Branford               CT M          ( 8- 9, 70.0)    14- 5   
 511 H Avon HS                CT M          ( 8-10, 73.4)    14- 4   
 514 H Cheshire HS            CT L          (12- 6, 81.0)    11- 9   
 516 A Amity Regional         CT L          ( 5-11, 71.4)    14- 6   
 519 A North Haven            CT M          (10- 8, 77.5)     9- 7   
 524 N Guilford               CT M          (14- 6, 84.4)     9-13   
 601 H Fairfield-Ludlowe      CT L          (12- 7, 81.6)     8- 9  o

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   407 A Conard-West Hartford    8- 3       5     5          -0.43
   411 A Hamden                 17- 3      14    13           0.00
   415 A Shelton                13- 4       9     8           0.27
   418 H Notre Dame-West Haven  15- 5      10     5    ++     4.78
   421 H Daniel Hand-Madison     9- 6       3     1           1.37
   423 H Guilford                7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.89
   425 A Fairfield Prep          5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.05
   427 A Simsbury                8-16      -8    -7          -0.62
   430 H Fairfield-Ludlowe       9-10  o   -1     1    -     -2.73
   503 H Southington            11- 6       5     7    -     -2.51
   505 A New Fairfield           6- 3       3     2           0.89
   510 H Branford               14- 5       9    13          -1.00
   511 H Avon HS                14- 4      10     9           0.15
   514 H Cheshire HS            11- 9       2     2          -0.29
   516 A Amity Regional         14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   519 A North Haven             9- 7       2     4    -     -2.18
   524 N Guilford                9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.09
   601 H Fairfield-Ludlowe       8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.73

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   423 H Guilford                7-11      -4    -1    -     -2.89
   430 H Fairfield-Ludlowe       9-10  o   -1     1    -     -2.73
   503 H Southington            11- 6       5     7    -     -2.51
   516 A Amity Regional         14- 6       8    10    -     -2.00
   519 A North Haven             9- 7       2     4    -     -2.18
   524 N Guilford                9-13      -4    -1    -     -2.09
   601 H Fairfield-Ludlowe       8- 9  o   -1     1    -     -2.73

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 H Notre Dame-West Haven  15- 5      10     5    ++     4.78
   425 A Fairfield Prep          5- 9      -4    -7    +      3.05
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 82.50 Local Power Rank...........    13
 Local SOS Rating......... 55.41 Local SOS Rank.............    14
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.62 Local RPI Rank.............    15
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    96
 Local Quality Win Rating. 10.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    16
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   10.4 Ave Defensive Goals ......    7.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )...... 12- 6 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    3.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 1 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....   -8.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -6.0
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  3- 6 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -1.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -1.0
/