Conf =  L-1                       Region = NY A  Sec 11           
   Nickname = Y Colonials            Coach  =   Desmond Megna         

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   90.3458710    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 326 H Harborfields           NY B  Sec 11  ( 6- 9, 87.0)    10-15   
 329 A Lindenhurst            NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 83.9)    18-12   
 406 H Bay Shore              NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 89.3)     8-13   
 408 A Smithtown West         NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 95.9)     6-17   
 413 H Huntington             NY A  Sec 11  ( 8- 9, 90.5)    10-14   
 415 A Half Hollow Hills East NY A  Sec 11  (12- 6, 93.3)     5-13   
 416 H New Milford            CT L          ( 4-12, 65.7)    15- 8   
 418 A North Babylon          NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 81.7)    15- 7   
 420 H Longwood               NY A  Sec 11  ( 5-11, 78.9)    10- 6   
 426 H Patchogue-Medford      NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 75.2)    14- 3   
 428 A Sachem North           NY A  Sec 11  ( 9- 9, 93.0)    10-18   
 430 A Middle Country         NY A  Sec 11  ( 6-10, 82.8)    15- 5   
 503 H Copiague               NY A  Sec 11  ( 1-15, 66.9)    16- 3   
 505 A Riverhead              NY A  Sec 11  ( 7- 9, 88.9)     9-10   
 510 H Brentwood              NY A  Sec 11  ( 2-14, 73.4)    15- 7   
 512 H Commack                NY A  Sec 11  (11- 6, 92.9)    10-15   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Harborfields           10-15      -5     0    --    -4.72
   329 A Lindenhurst            18-12       6     1    ++     4.25
   406 H Bay Shore               8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.45
   408 A Smithtown West          6-17     -11   -10           0.00
   413 H Huntington             10-14      -4    -3          -0.25
   415 A Half Hollow Hills East  5-13      -8    -7          -0.35
   416 H New Milford            15- 8       7    21          n/a  
   418 A North Babylon          15- 7       8     3    ++     4.01
   420 H Longwood               10- 6       4     7    -     -3.88
   426 H Patchogue-Medford      14- 3      11    11           0.00
   428 A Sachem North           10-18      -8    -7          -0.69
   430 A Middle Country         15- 5      10     2    +++    7.17
   503 H Copiague               16- 3      13    19           0.00
   505 A Riverhead               9-10      -1    -3    +      2.28
   510 H Brentwood              15- 7       8    13    -     -2.00
   512 H Commack                10-15      -5    -6           1.16

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   326 H Harborfields           10-15      -5     0    --    -4.72
   406 H Bay Shore               8-13      -5    -2    -     -2.45
   416 H New Milford            15- 8       7    21    -          
   420 H Longwood               10- 6       4     7    -     -3.88
   510 H Brentwood              15- 7       8    13    -     -2.00

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   430 A Middle Country         15- 5      10     2    +++    7.17
   329 A Lindenhurst            18-12       6     1    ++     4.25
   418 A North Babylon          15- 7       8     3    ++     4.01
   505 A Riverhead               9-10      -1    -3    +      2.28
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 86.21 Local Power Rank...........    30
 Local SOS Rating......... 65.54 Local SOS Rank.............    39
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.43 Local RPI Rank.............    35
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    48
 Local Quality Win Rating.-95.00 Local Quality Win Rank.....    26
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....   11.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......   10.4
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  8- 8 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....    1.2
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....      
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....   -9.5
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -7.2
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....    0.7
/