Region = NY B  Sec 6            
   Nickname = Y Flames               Coach  =   Ed Greenway           

GAME LIST

 Team Power Rating =   84.6356354    

 Date  Opponent               Conference      (W-L, PR)      Score  
                                                          
 330 H Lake Shore Central     NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-11, 74.5)    12- 9   
 401 A Amherst Central        NY B  Sec 6   ( 2-13, 71.2)    14- 1   
 408 A North Tonawanda        NY B  Sec 6   ( 0-15, 62.3)    18- 2   
 413 H Sweet Home             NY B  Sec 6   (11- 5, 88.4)     7-12   
 415 A Grand Island           NY B  Sec 6   (13- 5, 85.7)     4- 5   
 418 A East Aurora            NY C  Sec 6   (13- 5, 87.6)     6- 7   
 420 H West Seneca East       NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.4)     8- 7   
 422 H Niagara Wheatfield     NY B  Sec 6   (12- 7, 90.1)     6-14   
 425 A Lancaster              NY A  Sec 6   (11- 7, 87.4)     4- 6   
 427 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.8)    11- 7   
 502 A Williamsville South    NY B  Sec 6   (11- 7, 85.9)     7- 9   
 503 N Rush-Henrietta         NY A  Sec 5   ( 2-15, 68.4)     6-10   
 504 A Iroquois Central       NY B  Sec 6   ( 4-13, 75.3)     8- 9   
 509 A Williamsville North    NY B  Sec 6   (14- 4, 89.9)     8-14   
 511 H Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (19- 1, 99.9)     2-20   
 517 H Frontier               NY A  Sec 6   ( 8-10, 83.0)     6-10   
 520 H West Seneca West       NY B  Sec 6   ( 6-11, 78.8)     7- 6   
 524 A Hamburg                NY B  Sec 6   (19- 1, 99.9)     2-18   

PREDICTION LIST

               -------------------------------------
               |Real   = actual goal margin        |
               |Pred   = predicted goal margin     |
               |+      = slightly above prediction |
               |++     = above prediction          |
               |+++    = well above prediction     |
               |-      = slightly below prediction |
               |--     = below prediction          |
               |---    = well below prediction     |
               |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-)  |
               |         prediction                |
               |n/a    = Outside division          |
               -------------------------------------


   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   330 H Lake Shore Central     12- 9       3     6    -     -3.34
   401 A Amherst Central        14- 1      13     7    +      2.26
   408 A North Tonawanda        18- 2      16    16           0.00
   413 H Sweet Home              7-12      -5    -7    +      2.53
   415 A Grand Island            4- 5      -1    -6    ++     5.79
   418 A East Aurora             6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.67
   420 H West Seneca East        8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.50
   422 H Niagara Wheatfield      6-14      -8    -9           1.27
   425 A Lancaster               4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.42
   427 H West Seneca West       11- 7       4     2           1.91
   502 A Williamsville South     7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.96
   503 N Rush-Henrietta          6-10      -4    11          n/a  
   504 A Iroquois Central        8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.66
   509 A Williamsville North     8-14      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   511 H Hamburg                 2-20     -18   -19           0.00
   517 H Frontier                6-10      -4    -2          -1.87
   520 H West Seneca West        7- 6       1     2          -1.09
   524 A Hamburg                 2-18     -16   -20           0.00

UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   503 N Rush-Henrietta          6-10      -4    11    ---        
   504 A Iroquois Central        8- 9      -1     3    --    -4.66
   330 H Lake Shore Central     12- 9       3     6    -     -3.34

OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES

   Date  Opponent               Score     Real Pred    +/-   Goals*
   418 A East Aurora             6- 7      -1    -8    +++    7.67
   425 A Lancaster               4- 6      -2    -8    +++    6.42
   415 A Grand Island            4- 5      -1    -6    ++     5.79
   420 H West Seneca East        8- 7       1    -4    ++     5.50
   502 A Williamsville South     7- 9      -2    -6    ++     4.96
   509 A Williamsville North     8-14      -6   -10    ++     4.00
   401 A Amherst Central        14- 1      13     7    +      2.26
   413 H Sweet Home              7-12      -5    -7    +      2.53
 LOCAL RATING BASED ON POWER RATING

 Local Power Rating....... 79.90 Local Power Rank...........    21
 Local SOS Rating......... 64.20 Local SOS Rank.............    12
 Local RPI Rating.........  0.47 Local RPI Rank.............    20
 Championship Probability .    0.1 Championship Rank .......    28
 Local Quality Win Rating.****** Local Quality Win Rank.....    21
    
 LOCAL PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING

 Ave Offensive Goals ....    7.6 Ave Defensive Goals ......    9.2
 Wins/Losses(all   )......  6-12 Ave Goal diff (all   ).....   -1.7
 Wins/Losses(top  5)......  0- 2 Ave Goal diff (top  5).....  -17.0
 Wins/Losses(top 10)......  0- 5 Ave Goal diff (top 10).....  -10.6
 Wins/Losses(top 20)......  1-10 Ave Goal diff (top 20).....   -5.6
 Wins/Losses(last 3)......  1- 2 Ave Goal diff (last 3).....   -6.3
/